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Stadio Luigi Ferraris
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AI Predicted Winner
AC Milan
52%
#Confidence
| Sportsbook | Genoa | Draw | AC Milan✦ AI Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
1xBetBest Odds | |||
Marathonbet | |||
Pinnacle | |||
| Best Odds |
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Our Genoa vs AC Milan prediction leans towards the visitors at Stadio Luigi Ferraris, where a Serie A preview shows a clear gap in quality and momentum. Genoa sit 13th with 10 points from nine games and have scored just 0.89 goals per game, while AC Milan are fourth with 21 points and average 2.0 goals.
Milan arrive after a 3-1 win over Inter, though they also lost 4-2 at home to Bologna and 3-0 at Bournemouth in the Europa League during a busy month. Genoa have won two in a row at home, beating Juventus 2-0 and Venezia 1-0, and they are tougher to beat at Ferraris, where they have three wins from six. Away from home they have lost all three league trips.
Milan's injury list is the main caveat. Tomori, Gabbia, Saelemaekers, Chukwueze and Loftus-Cheek were all listed as missing for their last fixture, which weakens defensive depth and midfield options. Genoa are missing only Venturino.
Bookmakers price Milan at 54%, with Genoa at 19.5%. Our football tips today back that view: Milan's attack should create enough, but with a midweek Europa League tie against Ferencvaros looming, a low-margin win is the most likely outcome. Expect Milan to edge it.
Moderate
Moderate
Favorable
Moderate
2026/2027 Season
Last 10 head-to-head matchups
Recent head-to-head favours Milan. Since November 2024, the sides have met four times: Milan won twice, both 2-1 at Genoa...
Recent head-to-head favours Milan. Since November 2024, the sides have met four times: Milan won twice, both 2-1 at Genoa (May 2025 and May 2026), and two draws came at San Siro (0-0 in December 2024 and 1-1 in January 2026). Genoa have not beaten Milan in that run. Every meeting was tight, with two one-goal Milan wins and two stalemates, so the margin has rarely been comfortable for the visitors.
Last 15 matches across all competitionsSerie A matches highlighted
10 of 15 in Serie A
Form Rating
4.3/10
Genoa have won three of their last five Serie A matches, but their season record...
Genoa have won three of their last five Serie A matches, but their season record of three wins, one draw and five defeats from nine games keeps them in 13th. The home wins over Fiorentina, Venezia and Juventus came by narrow margins, while the 4-1 loss to Como showed how exposed they can be. Attack is the issue, with only eight league goals and three games failing to score. Defensively they concede 1.44 per game. Away form is poor, with three losses from three, though they are much stronger at home. L. Venturino is the only listed absentee.
10 of 15 in Serie A
Form Rating
6.3/10
AC Milan have five wins, three draws and one loss in nine league games, averaging...
AC Milan have five wins, three draws and one loss in nine league games, averaging 2.0 points per game and scoring in every match. Their latest result, a 3-1 win over Inter, was a statement, but the 4-2 home defeat to Bologna exposed defensive fragility, and they concede 1.22 goals per game. On the road they are unbeaten in the league with two wins and three draws from five. Europa League results have been mixed, including a 3-0 loss at Bournemouth. Five injuries, including Tomori, Gabbia and Loftus-Cheek, thin the squad, and a midweek European tie adds rotation questions.
No reported injuries
Availability data is sourced from official team reports and may not reflect real-time updates.
Genoa vs AC Milan - Match Analysis
Milan sit fourth with 21 points against Genoa's 10, average 2.0 goals per game against 0.89, and have not lost away in Serie A this season. The bookmaker consensus gives them 54%, and their win over Inter shows their attacking quality. Genoa have lost all three league games on the road and struggle to score, so Milan hold the clearer edge overall.
Yes, an upset is plausible. Genoa have won three of six at home, including a 2-0 win over Juventus, and Milan are missing five players, among them Tomori, Gabbia and Loftus-Cheek. Milan also conceded four to Bologna and three at Bournemouth recently. Genoa's weak scoring record limits their upside, but a narrow home win is realistic at 19.5%.
Milan Draw No Bet is the safest alternative, protecting against a draw, which happened in two of the last four meetings. Over 1.5 Goals is another solid option as Milan have scored in all nine league games and Genoa concede 1.44 per game. Avoid heavy handicap lines, since the last two Milan wins at Genoa were by a single goal.
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