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Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia
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AI Predicted Winner
Como
68%
#Confidence
| Sportsbook | Como✦ AI Pick | Draw | Venezia |
|---|---|---|---|
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Bet365 | |||
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| Best Odds |
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Como vs Venezia carries one of the widest form and table gaps in this Serie A round, with the hosts sitting fourth and the visitors rock bottom. This Como vs Venezia prediction leans heavily toward the home side, who have won five of their last eight across competitions, including statement Champions League victories, and sit unbeaten at Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia in three home league games this season.
Venezia arrive in freefall, losing seven of their last eight matches and still searching for their first away win of the campaign. Their defense has leaked over two goals per game on the road, a statistic that plays directly into Como's attacking strengths.
Como does carry some squad concerns, with several first-team players ruled out through injury, but their depth has still produced comfortable scorelines in recent weeks. Venezia's own injury list is far shorter, yet their collective form offers little resistance regardless of personnel.
Given the 16-place table gap, the 1.74 points-per-game differential, and Venezia's inability to keep clean sheets away from home, Como should control this match from the opening whistle. Expect goals, home dominance, and a routine three points for the hosts as they continue their push toward the European spots. This is a strong candidate among today's football tips for backing the in-form side with confidence.
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2026/2027 Season
Last 6 head-to-head matchups
The two most recent meetings, from December 2024 and March 2025, both ended in draws, with Como sharing the spoils...
The two most recent meetings, from December 2024 and March 2025, both ended in draws, with Como sharing the spoils home and away. However, those results came when both clubs were closer in quality. The current gap — Como challenging for Europe, Venezia bottom of the table — makes those draws far less relevant now. Recent head-to-head history offers little predictive value given how dramatically form and league position have diverged this season.
Last 15 matches across all competitionsSerie A matches highlighted
9 of 15 in Serie A
Form Rating
7/10
Como have won five of their last eight matches, scoring 14 and conceding just seven...
Como have won five of their last eight matches, scoring 14 and conceding just seven in that span, while sitting fourth in Serie A with 17 points. Their home record of two wins and a draw from three games underlines defensive solidity, and recent Champions League routs of Manchester United and RB Leipzig show attacking quality carrying across competitions. Several injuries, including forward Kean, hit the squad, but depth has masked the impact so far. Watch for the frontline combinations stepping up in Kean's absence to keep driving the 1.75 goals-per-game average that has fueled this strong campaign.
9 of 15 in Serie A
Form Rating
3/10
Venezia's season has been disastrous, losing seven of their last eight league matches and sitting...
Venezia's season has been disastrous, losing seven of their last eight league matches and sitting bottom of Serie A with just three points. They've managed only one win all season, conceding over two goals per game and failing to keep a clean sheet in four away fixtures. Their away form is winless across the board, with a goal difference of minus 11 highlighting a defense in crisis. Injuries are minimal this week, but a lack of quality and confidence, not personnel, remains the core issue. Any attacking spark will need to come from limited opportunities on the counter.
Availability data is sourced from official team reports and may not reflect real-time updates.
Como vs Venezia - Match Analysis
Como sit fourth in Serie A with strong home form and a +1.74 points-per-game advantage over Venezia, who are rock bottom with just three points. Venezia have lost seven of their last eight matches and remain winless away all season, conceding heavily in every road fixture. The statistical gap in league position, scoring rate, and defensive solidity all strongly favor the home side in this matchup.
Beyond backing Como to win outright, Over 2.5 Total Goals offers strong value given Como's attacking output and Venezia's leaky defense conceding over two goals per game away. Como -1.5 Asian Handicap suits bettors confident in a comfortable margin, while Draw No Bet: Como provides a safer alternative that still captures most of the expected value with reduced downside risk.
It's unlikely given Venezia's winless away record and a defense conceding over two goals per game on the road. Como's only real vulnerability is a congested fixture schedule with Champions League and Inter matches sandwiching this game, which could prompt squad rotation. Still, Como's depth has absorbed injuries well this season, making a genuine upset a low-probability outcome.
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