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Bluenergy Stadium - Stadio Friuli
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AI Predicted Winner
AS Roma
62%
#Confidence
| Sportsbook | Udinese | Draw | AS Roma✦ AI Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
Bet365 | |||
1xBetBest Odds | |||
Betfair | |||
| Best Odds |
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Our Udinese vs AS Roma prediction leans clearly toward the visitors in this Serie A matchup at Stadio Friuli. Udinese sit 17th with four points from seven games, having lost five of their last six league outings and conceded 16 goals in that run. Roma arrive third, unbeaten in eight league matches with five wins and three draws, and boast the league's strongest defensive record relative to output at 0.75 goals conceded per game.
The gap in quality is stark. Roma average 2.38 goals per game against Udinese's 1.29, and Udinese have failed to win any of their four home league matches. Their most recent home outing, a 3-0 defeat to Lecce, underlined the defensive fragility. Roma's away record of two wins and two draws shows they travel well, and they have kept five clean sheets.
Injuries slightly dent Roma, with Dybala, Pellegrini, Kone, Bah and Svilar all listed as missing, but Udinese carry their own absentee list including Solet, Bayo and Alaba. Fixture congestion is high for both sides, with Roma juggling a Champions League trip to Manchester United next week.
Bookmakers price Roma at 61.9% to win, and the data supports that. Our prediction is an away win, with Udinese's draw potential limited by their leaky defence.
Moderate
Moderate
Favorable
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2026/2027 Season
Last 10 head-to-head matchups
Recent head-to-head favours Roma. Since late 2024, Roma won 3-0 at home in September 2024, edged Udinese 2-1 in Udine...
Recent head-to-head favours Roma. Since late 2024, Roma won 3-0 at home in September 2024, edged Udinese 2-1 in Udine in January 2025, and won 2-0 in Udine's return in November 2025. Udinese's lone success in this window came in February 2026, a narrow 1-0 home win. Roma have won three of the last four meetings, scoring seven goals while conceding just one in the two most recent Roma victories. Udinese's home record against this opponent is respectable historically, but Roma's defensive solidity has usually been enough to decide these games.
Last 15 matches across all competitionsSerie A matches highlighted
9 of 15 in Serie A
Form Rating
4.3/10
Udinese's form is alarming. They have lost five of their last seven matches, with a...
Udinese's form is alarming. They have lost five of their last seven matches, with a single win and one draw, and sit 17th with just four points. They have scored 9 and conceded 16, averaging 2.29 goals against per game with no clean sheets all season. Home form is the real concern: no wins from four, including defeats to Lazio, Cagliari and a 3-0 loss to Lecce. They did show attacking spark in a 3-5 defeat at Inter, so goals are possible. Absences for Solet, Bayo, Alaba, Gueye and Zanoli further thin the squad. Zaniolo's thigh issue is another concern.
9 of 15 in Serie A
Form Rating
7/10
Roma are one of Serie A's most consistent sides, unbeaten in eight league games with...
Roma are one of Serie A's most consistent sides, unbeaten in eight league games with five wins and three draws. They have scored 19 and conceded only 6, with five clean sheets. Their latest result was a thrilling 3-3 draw at Napoli, followed by a 4-0 Champions League rout of Slovan Bratislava. On the road they have two wins and two draws without defeat, including a 2-0 win at Torino. Dybala, Pellegrini, Kone, Bah and Svilar are all injury concerns, which could affect depth and goalkeeping. Still, their attack remains potent and efficient.
Showing 1-5 of 6 injuries
Availability data is sourced from official team reports and may not reflect real-time updates.
Udinese vs AS Roma - Match Analysis
Roma sit third and are unbeaten in eight league matches, while Udinese are 17th with four points. Roma average 2.38 goals scored and just 0.75 conceded per game, compared with Udinese's 1.29 scored and 2.29 conceded. Udinese have not won at home this season. Bookmakers price Roma at 61.9%, and the underlying numbers back that confidence.
Over 2.5 Goals looks the best alternative, given Udinese concede over two goals per game and combined scoring averages 3.67. Double Chance (Draw or Roma) is a safer play that covers a possible stalemate. Roma -1 Asian Handicap offers a higher return if you expect a comfortable margin, though injuries to Roma's squad add some risk.
An upset is possible but unlikely. Udinese have lost five of seven and failed to win any home league match, while key players like Solet, Bayo and Alaba are out. Roma's own injuries (Dybala, Pellegrini, Kone, Svilar) and a heavy schedule including Manchester United next week offer a small opening, but Udinese's defence has been too fragile to trust.
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