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AI Predicted Winner
Bologna
44%
#Confidence
| Sportsbook | Bologna✦ AI Pick | Draw | Monza |
|---|---|---|---|
1xBetBest Odds | |||
Betfair | |||
Bet365 | |||
| Best Odds |
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Bologna vs Monza kicks off Serie A matchday ten with both sides searching for the consistency that has eluded them all season. Bologna sit 13th on eight points from eight games, while Monza are just two places and a point behind in 15th.
Neither team arrives in good form. Bologna have failed to win any of their four home matches this season, picking up two draws and two losses while scoring just four and conceding seven at home. Monza's away record is even more alarming — no wins in five trips, with only a single draw and four defeats, shipping twelve goals along the way.
Injuries complicate things further. Bologna are without Orsolini, Holm and Piccoli, while Monza are missing Ziolkowski, Pessina and Maye. Both attacks have shown flashes, with Monza netting four against Cagliari last time out, but defensive fragility on both sides points toward an open, goal-filled contest.
The head-to-head picture favors Bologna, who won both meetings in the last two years, including a 3-1 league win and a 4-0 Coppa Italia rout. Combined with Monza's wretched away form, that tips this Bologna vs Monza prediction toward a narrow home win, though the draw can't be dismissed given how shaky Bologna have looked at their own ground. Expect goals at both ends regardless of the final scoreline.
Moderate
Moderate
Even
High
2026/2027 Season
Last 7 head-to-head matchups
Bologna have dominated recent meetings, winning both encounters within the last two years — a 3-1 Serie A victory in...
Bologna have dominated recent meetings, winning both encounters within the last two years — a 3-1 Serie A victory in January 2025 and a one-sided 4-0 Coppa Italia win in December 2024. Prior to that stretch, matches between these sides were tighter, including back-to-back scoreless draws in 2023 and 2024. The recent trend strongly favors the hosts, and with Monza's away form collapsing this season, history adds further weight to a Bologna edge in this fixture.
Last 15 matches across all competitionsSerie A matches highlighted
9 of 15 in Serie A
Form Rating
4.3/10
Bologna have won just two of eight league games, sitting mid-table with a negative goal...
Bologna have won just two of eight league games, sitting mid-table with a negative goal difference. Their home form is particularly concerning — zero wins in four matches at home, with two draws and two losses, scoring only four times. However, they arrive off back-to-back away wins over Cagliari and Lecce sandwiched around a heavy loss to Inter, showing some attacking spark on the road. Orsolini, Holm and Piccoli are all sidelined through injury, stripping valuable creativity and pace from the squad. Bologna need to find home comfort quickly, and this match against a struggling Monza side offers a genuine opportunity to end their winless home run.
9 of 15 in Serie A
Form Rating
3.7/10
Monza have won two of eight matches but their away form is the standout problem...
Monza have won two of eight matches but their away form is the standout problem — no victories in five road trips, just one draw, and four defeats while conceding twelve goals. They do have scoring ability, netting four against Cagliari and two in several other outings, but a leaky defense conceding 2.25 goals per game away undermines any attacking promise. Key absences for Ziolkowski, Pessina and Maye weaken an already stretched squad. With momentum firmly against them on the road, Monza will need a much-improved defensive display to avoid another difficult afternoon away from home.
Availability data is sourced from official team reports and may not reflect real-time updates.
Bologna vs Monza - Match Analysis
Bologna have won both recent meetings with Monza, but their home form this season undercuts a stronger prediction — zero wins in four home games with just two draws and two losses. That inconsistency at home, even against a struggling Monza side with a poor away record, keeps this match closer than the head-to-head record alone would suggest, hence only a moderate rather than strong favorite tag.
Over 2.5 Goals is the strongest alternative market, backed by a combined 2.88 goals per game and leaky defenses on both sides this season. For those wary of Bologna's shaky home form, Draw No Bet: Bologna offers a safer route to backing the hosts without losing the stake if the match ends level, balancing value with reduced risk.
Monza's away form is their biggest weakness — no wins in five road matches, just one draw, and four losses while conceding twelve goals. That poor away record, combined with Bologna's head-to-head dominance in recent seasons, makes it difficult to back Monza confidently, even though their attack has shown occasional sharpness, like the recent 4-0 win over Cagliari.
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