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Parc des Princes
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AI Predicted Winner
Paris Saint Germain
82%
#Confidence
| Sportsbook | Paris Saint Germain✦ AI Pick | Draw | Estac Troyes |
|---|---|---|---|
1xBetBest Odds | |||
Betano | |||
Pinnacle | |||
| Best Odds |
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Paris Saint Germain vs Estac Troyes at Parc des Princes pits the Ligue 1 leaders against a side sitting 17th in the relegation zone, and the data points firmly one way. PSG arrive with five straight wins, including a 5-1 victory at Le Havre and a 2-0 home win over Lyon, and have scored 16 league goals in eight matches.
Troyes have collected just five points from eight games, scoring only 0.62 goals per match while conceding two. They have failed to score in five of eight fixtures and were beaten 3-1 by Lens and 2-0 by Marseille in their last two home outings. A goalless draw at Toulouse was their only recent bright spot. Their away record offers little comfort at one win in four.
PSG are managing injuries to Nuno Mendes, Dembele, Kvaratskhelia and Marquinhos, yet the squad depth is more than enough against a team this limited in attack. A midweek Champions League trip to Villarreal looms, which may bring some rotation, though PSG had eight days of rest beforehand. Bookmakers price PSG at 83.5%, and our expert picks agree: a comfortable PSG win is the clear call, with Troyes struggling to threaten.
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2026/2027 Season
Last 10 head-to-head matchups
There have been no meetings between these sides in the last two years, so the recent head-to-head window is empty....
There have been no meetings between these sides in the last two years, so the recent head-to-head window is empty. The longer record still tells the story: PSG won nine of the last ten meetings in the supplied data, with one draw, including a 4-3 home win in October 2022 and a 2-2 draw in May 2022. Troyes' wins came only when hosting, and the clubs have not met in the league since May 2023. This is effectively a fresh matchup, so current form and squad quality matter far more than history.
Last 15 matches across all competitionsLigue 1 matches highlighted
9 of 15 in Ligue 1
Form Rating
7.7/10
PSG are the league's top side on 20 points and have won their last five...
PSG are the league's top side on 20 points and have won their last five matches across Ligue 1 and the Champions League. They beat Barcelona 4-2 and Manchester City 4-2 in the Champions League, then followed with a 2-0 win over Lyon and a 5-1 win at Le Havre. Their only league defeat was a 2-1 home loss to Monaco, and they have scored two goals per game while conceding 1.12. Home form is slightly less dominant, with two wins and a loss in three. Several key attackers and defenders are sidelined, yet results have not suffered.
9 of 15 in Ligue 1
Form Rating
5/10
Troyes are in deep trouble, winning just one of eight league games and sitting 17th...
Troyes are in deep trouble, winning just one of eight league games and sitting 17th on five points. They have lost five times, including 6-2 at home to Strasbourg, 2-0 to Marseille and 3-1 to Lens. The attack is the core issue, scoring only five goals and failing to find the net in five matches. They conceded two per game and have won only once, a 2-1 success at Lorient. Four players are injured, including Kone and Ouzenadji with knee problems, thinning an already stretched squad before a daunting trip to Paris.
Availability data is sourced from official team reports and may not reflect real-time updates.
Paris Saint Germain vs Estac Troyes - Match Analysis
PSG lead Ligue 1 with 20 points and have won five straight matches, scoring heavily against elite opposition like Barcelona and Manchester City. Troyes sit 17th with five points, score just 0.62 goals per game and concede two. The 16-place gap, home advantage at Parc des Princes and bookmaker odds implying 83.5% all support a convincing PSG win.
The PSG -1.5 Asian Handicap is the standout alternative, as Troyes have been beaten by two or more goals in several recent matches. Team total over 2.5 PSG goals is another option given their attacking output. Troyes' failure to score in five of eight games also supports the Both Teams to Score No market as a lower-risk selection.
PSG are missing Nuno Mendes, Dembele, Kvaratskhelia and Marquinhos, and travel to Villarreal in the Champions League four days after this game. Some rotation is possible. However, they had eight days of rest beforehand, and their squad depth has already delivered a 5-1 win without several of these players. Troyes' poor form means the risk of an upset remains small.
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