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Stade de l'Abbé-Deschamps
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AI Predicted Winner
Paris FC
45%
#Confidence
| Sportsbook | Auxerre | Draw | Paris FC✦ AI Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
1xBetBest Odds | |||
Betano | |||
Dafabet | |||
| Best Odds |
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This Auxerre vs Paris FC prediction pits a leaky home side against one of Ligue 1's more organised newcomers. Auxerre sit 12th on 10 points after eight games, conceding 2.25 goals per game, while Paris FC occupy sixth on 14 points with a +4 goal difference and a far tighter defence at 1.12 conceded per game.
Auxerre's recent run is uneven. They beat Le Havre 3-1 away but were hammered 4-1 at Rennes, then held Le Mans to a 1-1 draw at home. Their home record of two wins, one draw and one loss is respectable, yet their defence has shipped at least three goals in four league games this season. Injuries to Okoh, Fofana, Diousse and Labeau Lascary thin the squad further.
Paris FC arrive with mixed recent results, losing 2-1 at Lens after a thrilling 4-3 home win over Rennes. Their away form is the weak spot, with one win in four on the road. Absences for Ikone, Koleosho, Camara and Chergui, plus goalkeeper Trapp's illness, blunt that edge.
Bookmakers rate Paris FC at 48.4% and Auxerre at 26.3%, with the draw at 25.3%. Our model leans toward the visitors on defensive superiority and league position, but the road form and injury list keep this tighter than the market suggests. Expert pick: Paris FC to edge a competitive, goal-friendly contest.
Moderate
Moderate
Unfavorable
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2026/2027 Season
Last 10 head-to-head matchups
Recent head-to-head meetings are tight. In the last two years, Auxerre and Paris FC have drawn twice in Ligue 1:...
Recent head-to-head meetings are tight. In the last two years, Auxerre and Paris FC have drawn twice in Ligue 1: 1-1 in Paris in November 2025 and a goalless stalemate at Auxerre in February 2026. Neither side could find a breakthrough in the second meeting. The pattern points to low margins between these sides, which supports respecting the draw even though Paris FC hold the form and defensive edge this season.
Last 15 matches across all competitionsLigue 1 matches highlighted
9 of 15 in Ligue 1
Form Rating
4.7/10
Auxerre have won three of eight league games, drawn one and lost four, averaging 1.5...
Auxerre have won three of eight league games, drawn one and lost four, averaging 1.5 goals scored but conceding 2.25 per game. The 3-1 win at Le Havre showed their attacking potential, yet the 4-1 defeat at Rennes exposed defensive frailty. At home they have taken two wins and a draw from their last four, including a 2-1 win over Brest and a 1-0 win over Nice. Knee, groin and hamstring issues to several squad members hurt depth, while 12 days of rest means fresh legs. Their problem remains stopping goals against quality opposition.
9 of 15 in Ligue 1
Form Rating
5.7/10
Paris FC have four wins, two draws and two defeats, scoring 1.62 and conceding just...
Paris FC have four wins, two draws and two defeats, scoring 1.62 and conceding just 1.12 per game, with three clean sheets. Their 4-3 home win over Rennes and 3-2 win at Marseille show attacking quality, though losses at Lens (2-1) and Lorient (1-0) highlight inconsistency on the road, where they have won once in four. Absences for Ikone, Koleosho and Camara reduce attacking options, and goalkeeper Trapp's illness is a concern. With 13 days of rest, they should be fresh. Their organised defensive structure is the main reason they sit sixth.
Availability data is sourced from official team reports and may not reflect real-time updates.
Auxerre vs Paris FC - Match Analysis
Paris FC are favored because of a stronger defence, conceding 1.12 goals per game against Auxerre's 2.25, and a higher league position of sixth versus twelfth. They also average more points per game at 1.75 compared to 1.25. Bookmakers price the visitors at roughly 48%, and our model agrees that Paris FC hold the edge, though it is not overwhelming.
Over 2.5 goals stands out, as the teams combine for 3.12 goals per game and Auxerre concede over two per match. Draw No Bet on Paris FC protects against the stalemates seen in both recent meetings. Both Teams to Score is another sensible angle given Auxerre's home scoring record and Paris FC's recent attacking output.
Yes. Auxerre have taken two wins and a draw from their last four home league games, including victories over Nice and Brest, and Paris FC have won only one of four away matches. Both recent H2H games ended level. Paris FC's injuries to Ikone, Koleosho and Camara also reduce their attacking threat, so an Auxerre win or draw is realistic at odds of 3.60.
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