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Stade Louis II
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AI Predicted Winner
Monaco
63%
#Confidence
| Sportsbook | Monaco✦ AI Pick | Draw | Auxerre |
|---|---|---|---|
1xBetBest Odds | |||
Marathonbet | |||
Pinnacle | |||
| Best Odds |
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Monaco vs Auxerre prediction: Monaco host Auxerre at Stade Louis II in Ligue 1 round 11, with the bookmakers pricing the hosts at roughly 67% to win. Monaco sit seventh on 16 points, while Auxerre are 14th with 10 and a goal difference of minus 11.
Monaco's form is steady rather than spectacular. They have won four, drawn four and lost two of their ten, and are unbeaten in four home matches. Their home record includes two wins and two draws, and they have conceded only 1.1 goals per game. Ansu Fati and Idumbo-Muzambo are both out injured, which dulls their attacking depth slightly, but the hosts arrive with 13 days of rest and low fixture congestion.
Auxerre's defence is the central problem. They concede 2.4 goals per game, including a 5-1 defeat at Strasbourg and a 4-1 loss at Rennes, and have won just once away from home. Okoh and Dioussé are both sidelined, thinning their options further.
The clear gap in defensive quality and home advantage points to a Monaco win. Auxerre will score on occasion given their attacking output, so a narrow home victory is the most probable outcome. These Ligue 1 football tips favour Monaco as the safer pick, though the draw remains live given Monaco's tendency to share points.
Moderate
Moderate
Favorable
Moderate
2026/2027 Season
Last 10 head-to-head matchups
Monaco hold a clear edge in recent meetings. Since late 2024, they have beaten Auxerre in each of their last...
Monaco hold a clear edge in recent meetings. Since late 2024, they have beaten Auxerre in each of their last four competitive encounters, scoring 4-2 at home in February 2025 and winning twice at Auxerre by 2-1 scorelines. The most recent meeting, in April 2026, finished 2-2 at Monaco. Goals have been a feature, with Auxerre scoring in four of the last five clashes. Monaco's home record in this fixture is strong, but the late draw shows Auxerre can hurt them.
Last 15 matches across all competitionsLigue 1 matches highlighted
10 of 15 in Ligue 1
Form Rating
7.3/10
Monaco have won four, drawn four and lost two of their last ten league matches,...
Monaco have won four, drawn four and lost two of their last ten league matches, a profile that screams consistency without dominance. They drew 1-1 at Le Mans in their latest league outing, following a 2-0 Europa Conference League win over Nordsjaelland. The 3-1 loss at Paris FC is the main blemish recently. At home, Monaco are unbeaten, with two wins and two draws, scoring 1.3 goals per game and conceding 1.1. Fati and Idumbo-Muzambo are absent, so they may lean on collective output rather than individual brilliance. Rest is not an issue after a two-week gap.
10 of 15 in Ligue 1
Form Rating
4.7/10
Auxerre have lost six of their last ten, with just three wins and one draw,...
Auxerre have lost six of their last ten, with just three wins and one draw, and the defensive numbers are alarming at 2.4 goals conceded per game. Their last two league results were a 1-0 home loss to Paris FC and a 5-1 thrashing at Strasbourg. Away from home they have won only once in five and have conceded heavily, including four at Rennes. They did beat Le Havre 3-1 in October, showing they can score on the road. Okoh and Dioussé are both injured, so defensive reinforcements are limited. Monaco should find chances against this back line.
Availability data is sourced from official team reports and may not reflect real-time updates.
Monaco vs Auxerre - Match Analysis
Monaco sit seventh against Auxerre's 14th and are unbeaten at home this season. Their defence concedes 1.1 goals per game versus 2.4 for Auxerre, a major gap. Auxerre have also won just once away from home. Combined with bookmakers rating Monaco at roughly 67%, the hosts are clear favorites.
Over 2.5 goals is attractive because Auxerre concede heavily and have scored in most recent meetings. Draw No Bet on Monaco offers protection if the hosts stumble, given their frequent draws. Monaco -1 Asian Handicap carries more risk but a better price. Choose based on how much variance you want.
Monaco have taken points in most of their recent games and remain unbeaten at home, though their four draws show they struggle to close games out. Auxerre have lost six of ten, including a 5-1 defeat at Strasbourg. That contrast strongly supports a Monaco result.
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