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Stade de l'Aube
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AI Predicted Winner
Estac Troyes
48%
#Confidence
| Sportsbook | Estac Troyes✦ AI Pick | Draw | Le Havre |
|---|---|---|---|
1xBetBest Odds | |||
Pinnacle | |||
Betano | |||
| Best Odds |
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Estac Troyes vs Le Havre is a Ligue 1 relegation six-pointer at Stade de l'Aube, with the bottom two sides in the table meeting in Round 11. Troyes sit 17th on 8 points, while Le Havre are rooted to the bottom with just 2 points from ten matches, a gap of six points that makes this a genuine mismatch of confidence.
Troyes arrive with a modest but clear edge. They have taken 8 points from ten games, including a 2-0 home win over Le Mans on 31 October, and held Toulouse to a goalless draw away. Their weakness is scoring: just 7 goals in ten matches, with six blanks. Le Havre have been worse defensively, conceding 22 goals (2.2 per game) and losing eight of ten, including heavy defeats to Paris Saint Germain (5-1) and Marseille (4-3).
The injury picture favors the hosts. Troyes are missing only Y. Kone, while Le Havre are without five players: Jelert, Mpasi, Mambimbi, Zagadou and Pembélé. Both sides have had 12 days of rest, so fatigue is not a factor.
Our Estac Troyes vs Le Havre prediction is a home win. Bookmakers price Troyes at roughly 45%, and the form, points-per-game gap and injury list all support that. With a combined 1.6 goals per game, expect a low-scoring, tense contest in which one goal could decide it.
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2026/2027 Season
Last 10 head-to-head matchups
There are no competitive meetings between these clubs in the last two years, as the most recent record is a...
There are no competitive meetings between these clubs in the last two years, as the most recent record is a 2022 friendly and earlier Ligue 2 fixtures. Historically Troyes hold a slight edge in the supplied data, winning more of the older head-to-head matches, including a 2-0 Ligue 2 win in 2020. That history is too dated to drive this prediction, so current form and league position matter far more.
Last 15 matches across all competitionsLigue 1 matches highlighted
10 of 15 in Ligue 1
Form Rating
4.3/10
Troyes have won two, drawn two and lost six of their ten Ligue 1 matches,...
Troyes have won two, drawn two and lost six of their ten Ligue 1 matches, sitting 17th with 8 points. Their attack is the main concern, scoring just 0.7 goals per game and failing to score in six matches. Defensively they concede 1.7 per game, which is poor but notably better than Le Havre's record. Their last outing was a narrow 1-0 loss away at Paris Saint Germain, a respectable result against the league leaders. The 2-0 win over Le Mans shows they can deliver at home. Y. Kone is the only absentee, with a knee problem. Home form is modest, with one win, one draw and three defeats from five.
10 of 15 in Ligue 1
Form Rating
2.3/10
Le Havre are in dire form, winless in ten league matches with two draws and...
Le Havre are in dire form, winless in ten league matches with two draws and eight defeats. They sit bottom with 2 points and a goal difference of minus 13. They concede 2.2 goals per game and have kept only one clean sheet, while scoring 0.9 per game. Recent results include a 2-0 home loss to Lorient, a 5-1 defeat to Paris Saint Germain and a 4-3 loss at Marseille, showing some attacking spark but no defensive structure. Five players are unavailable: Jelert, Mpasi, Mambimbi, Zagadou and Pembélé. Their away record shows one draw and three defeats from four.
Availability data is sourced from official team reports and may not reflect real-time updates.
Estac Troyes vs Le Havre - Match Analysis
Troyes hold a clear edge on the numbers. They have 8 points to Le Havre's 2, average 0.8 points per game against 0.2, and concede fewer goals per match. They are also at home, with Le Havre missing five players against Troyes' one absentee. Le Havre are winless in ten league games, which makes the hosts the logical choice despite their own scoring problems.
Draw No Bet on Troyes is the strongest alternative, as it covers the roughly 26% draw chance. Under 2.5 Goals is also appealing, since the teams combine for only 1.6 goals per game and Troyes have failed to score in six matches. Cautious bettors can use Double Chance Troyes or Draw. Avoid negative handicaps, because Troyes rarely score enough to win by a big margin.
This is a relegation battle between the 17th and 18th placed sides. A Troyes win would extend their lead over Le Havre to nine points and ease immediate pressure. A Le Havre win would be their first of the season and a major lift for morale, closing the gap to three points. Both clubs are in the relegation zone, so a draw helps neither much.
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