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Stade Pierre-Mauroy
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AI Predicted Winner
Lille
42%
#Confidence
| Sportsbook | Lille✦ AI Pick | Draw | Lyon |
|---|---|---|---|
Pinnacle | |||
1xBetBest Odds | |||
Dafabet | |||
| Best Odds |
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Lille vs Lyon prediction: this Ligue 1 clash at Stade Pierre-Mauroy pits second-placed Lille (21 points) against fifth-placed Lyon (17 points), with Lille the narrow favourite in a tight contest.
Lille have lost just once in ten matches, winning six and drawing three, and boast one of the league's best defences at 0.7 goals conceded per game. They are unbeaten at home in five (three wins, two draws) and arrive after a long 13-day rest following a 2-1 win at Rennes. Lyon average 1.5 goals per game but have been inconsistent, losing their last league outing 2-0 at Brest and failing to score in three matches. Their away record of one win in five is the main concern.
Injuries tilt things slightly further. Lyon are missing five players, including striker Openda, Morton, Sulc and Ouedraogo, which thins their attacking options. Lille are without Ueda, Tiago Santos and Igamane.
History favours Lyon, who won three of the last four meetings. But Lille's home form, defensive record and rest advantage matter more here. Bookmakers price Lille at 40.5% with the draw at 27.7%, and our football tips today lean Lille in a low-margin game where a draw is a real threat.
Moderate
Moderate
Unfavorable
High
2026/2027 Season
Last 10 head-to-head matchups
Lyon have owned this fixture recently. Of the five meetings since November 2024, Lyon won four: 2-1 in April 2025,...
Lyon have owned this fixture recently. Of the five meetings since November 2024, Lyon won four: 2-1 in April 2025, 1-0 at Lille in September 2025, 2-1 in the Coupe de France in January 2026, and 1-0 in February 2026. The other meeting was a 1-1 draw in November 2024. Lille have not beaten Lyon in that spell and scored just four goals across five games. The pattern is tight, low-scoring matches decided by one goal, but Lille's current defensive form is much stronger than in those meetings.
Last 15 matches across all competitionsLigue 1 matches highlighted
10 of 15 in Ligue 1
Form Rating
6/10
Lille have lost once in their last ten, winning six and drawing three. Their defence...
Lille have lost once in their last ten, winning six and drawing three. Their defence is the standout, conceding just 0.7 goals per game with five clean sheets, while they have scored in every match. At home they are unbeaten in five, with three wins and two draws. The 2-1 win at Rennes and 1-0 home win over Lens show a team grinding out results. Thirteen days of rest should have everyone fresh. Absences of Ueda, Tiago Santos and Igamane cost some depth, but the core is intact. Their Champions League workload has barely affected league form, and a Bayern match follows, though that is days away.
10 of 15 in Ligue 1
Form Rating
5.7/10
Lyon have won five of their last ten, drawing two and losing three, scoring 1.5...
Lyon have won five of their last ten, drawing two and losing three, scoring 1.5 goals per game while conceding 0.9. The real split is home versus away: four wins and a draw at home, but just one win in five on the road. They failed to score in three matches, including the recent 2-0 defeat at Brest and a 2-0 loss at PSG. Five absentees, led by Openda, Morton and Sulc, hurt both attack and depth. Lyon did show quality in beating Nice 2-1 and Angers 2-0, and their strong head-to-head record gives confidence, but travelling to a settled Lille side is a stern test.
Availability data is sourced from official team reports and may not reflect real-time updates.
Lille vs Lyon - Match Analysis
Lille sit second with 21 points, are unbeaten at home in five and concede only 0.7 goals per game. Lyon have won just one of five away matches and are missing five players, including Openda. Bookmakers make Lille 40.5% favourites, and the 13-day rest gives them a freshness edge, though the margin is slim.
Lille Draw No Bet is the safest angle, protecting against a draw while backing the better home side. Under 3.5 Goals also fits, given both teams' tight defences and the low-scoring recent H2H record. Both markets suit a close match better than a heavy handicap, as Lyon have won recent meetings by a single goal.
Yes. Lyon won four of the last five meetings, including a 1-0 win at Lille in September 2025. They are also dangerous when they score first, but their away form is poor and they failed to score in three recent games. With key attackers injured, an upset is plausible rather than likely, at around 32%.
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