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Jotun Arena
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AI Predicted Winner
Sandefjord
47%
#Confidence
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Sandefjord vs Start prediction: this Eliteserien clash at Jotun Arena pits two struggling sides fighting to avoid the drop. Sandefjord sit 12th with 20 points, while Start are bottom-but-one on 13 points and already marked for relegation to OBOS-ligaen.
Sandefjord's home form is their saving grace, unbeaten in their last two at Jotun Arena with draws against Viking and Brann, though they've won only twice in ten home games. Start arrive off a confidence-boosting 2-0 win over Brann, but their away record is dreadful, just one win in ten on the road with 26 goals conceded.
Sandefjord's defense, while leaky, has conceded far fewer per game than Start's error-prone backline, which has shipped 41 goals in 20 matches. Injuries hit Sandefjord's squad depth with several players missing, but Start's threadbare group faces similar issues.
Expect a tight, low-quality contest given both sides' poor points-per-game returns. Sandefjord's home advantage and Start's shocking away form make the hosts the logical pick, though the draw remains a live outcome given how error-strewn both teams have been this season.
Moderate
Moderate
Even
High
2026 Season
Last 10 head-to-head matchups
Recent meetings between these sides are sparse within the last two years, with the only qualifying encounter being a friendly...
Recent meetings between these sides are sparse within the last two years, with the only qualifying encounter being a friendly in March 2026 that Sandefjord won 3-2. Competitive Eliteserien meetings go back further, but under the two-year window there's limited data to draw firm conclusions. The one recent result favors Sandefjord, though a friendly carries less predictive weight than league form.
Last 15 matches across all competitionsEliteserien matches highlighted
14 of 15 in Eliteserien
Form Rating
4/10
Sandefjord have won just five of nineteen league games, but their home record is respectable...
Sandefjord have won just five of nineteen league games, but their home record is respectable with two wins and five draws from ten matches, conceding only slightly more than a goal per game at Jotun Arena. Recent results show back-to-back draws against Viking and Brann, both goalless or narrow, reflecting a side that's hard to beat but struggles to score, netting just 0.84 goals per game overall. Several squad absences through injury will test depth, but the underlying home form suggests resilience even without star firepower.
13 of 15 in Eliteserien
Form Rating
3.7/10
Start have lost twelve of twenty league matches and sit second-from-bottom, already facing relegation, but...
Start have lost twelve of twenty league matches and sit second-from-bottom, already facing relegation, but they showed spirit with a 2-0 win over Brann in their last outing. Their away form remains the major concern, just one win in ten road trips with 26 goals conceded, highlighting a defense that regularly breaks down against stronger and weaker opposition alike. With 41 goals conceded overall, Start's backline is the league's most porous, and that vulnerability travels badly into this fixture.
Showing 1-5 of 6 injuries
Availability data is sourced from official team reports and may not reflect real-time updates.
Sandefjord vs Start - Match Analysis
Sandefjord hold a four-place and 0.37 points-per-game advantage, but the bigger factor is location splits: Sandefjord have lost just three of ten at home, while Start have won only once in ten away matches. Start's defense has also conceded far more goals per game on the road, making Sandefjord's home fortress status the decisive edge in this matchup.
Given both teams' defensive frailties but modest attacking output, Under 2.5 Goals stands out as a smart alternative given the 1.94 combined goals per game average. Draw No Bet: Sandefjord also offers protection against a stalemate while still capturing the home team's edge, both representing solid alternative markets to the straight moneyline.
Start are already effectively resigned to relegation, sitting 16th and four points from safety with few games left to close the gap. Sandefjord, sitting mid-table, have little to fear from either result but will want continued home form to solidify a safe mid-table finish. The urgency clearly favors Start needing points, though history shows desperation doesn't always translate to results on the road.
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