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Sarpsborg Stadion
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Sarpsborg 08 FF
47%
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Sarpsborg 08 FF vs KFUM Oslo prediction: this Eliteserien clash pits a mid-table home side against a struggling away outfit fighting to avoid the drop. Sarpsborg sit ninth with 24 points, unbeaten in their last two league outings with draws against Valerenga and Tromso, and have won four of nine at Sarpsborg Stadion this season.
KFUM Oslo arrive in the relegation zone at 14th, conceding 33 goals in 19 games and having lost 10 of their 19 matches. Their away form is particularly troubling, with just one win from nine trips and 22 goals shipped on the road, though they did beat Rosenborg and Sandefjord earlier in the campaign.
Both sides carry injury concerns, but KFUM's list is far more damaging, missing several regulars including Aleesami and Eikrem, plus a suspension from a red card. Sarpsborg's absentees are isolated to a handful of squad players rather than key contributors.
With Sarpsborg's superior points-per-game and home comfort against a leaky KFUM defense, expect the hosts to edge this. However, Sarpsborg's own inconsistency (six draws in 19 games) keeps a stalemate firmly in play, making this a competitive rather than one-sided fixture.
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2026 Season
Last 8 head-to-head matchups
These two have met regularly in recent seasons, with Sarpsborg winning the most recent encounter at home in October 2025...
These two have met regularly in recent seasons, with Sarpsborg winning the most recent encounter at home in October 2025 (2-1) after KFUM won the reverse fixture in Oslo back in April 2026 (1-0). Results have swung both ways across the last two years, including a 2024 meeting won by KFUM away at Sarpsborg. No dominant pattern has emerged, though home advantage has generally been effective for whichever side is hosting.
Last 15 matches across all competitionsEliteserien matches highlighted
12 of 15 in Eliteserien
Form Rating
5.7/10
Sarpsborg have drawn six of their last ten and sit ninth with a modest -3...
Sarpsborg have drawn six of their last ten and sit ninth with a modest -3 goal difference, but their home record of four wins, three draws and just two losses from nine games shows real resilience at Sarpsborg Stadion. Their last two matches produced draws against Valerenga and Tromso, both without conceding heavily. Injury concerns are limited to fringe contributors like Carstensen and Rosted rather than first-team regulars. Their balanced 1.16 goals scored and 1.32 conceded per game reflects a team capable of grinding out results rather than dominating, making them a solid but not overwhelming home banker.
12 of 15 in Eliteserien
Form Rating
3.3/10
KFUM Oslo are mired in the relegation zone at 14th, having lost ten of 19...
KFUM Oslo are mired in the relegation zone at 14th, having lost ten of 19 league games and conceded 33 goals, the joint-worst defensive record among mid-to-lower table sides. Their away form is especially concerning: just one win in nine road trips with 22 goals conceded. Recent results include heavy losses to Molde and Start, though they showed spirit with a cup win over IF Ready. A lengthy injury list including Aleesami, Grodem, Soras and Eikrem, plus a suspension, badly weakens their options heading into this fixture, compounding their defensive fragility on the road.
Showing 1-5 of 8 injuries
Availability data is sourced from official team reports and may not reflect real-time updates.
Sarpsborg 08 FF vs KFUM Oslo - Match Analysis
Sarpsborg hold a five-place position advantage and a stronger points-per-game rate, backed by a solid home record of four wins and three draws in nine matches. KFUM Oslo, by contrast, have won just once away from home all season and carry a heavily depleted squad due to injuries and suspension, making Sarpsborg the clear statistical and situational favorite in this Eliteserien matchup.
Draw No Bet on Sarpsborg is the standout alternative, protecting against their frequent home draws while still capturing value from their quality edge. Over 2.5 goals also appeals given KFUM's leaky defense and the combined 2.21 goals per game across both sides, offering bettors a goals-based alternative to the standard match-result market.
Sarpsborg have been unbeaten in their last two games, drawing against Valerenga and Tromso, showing defensive stability at home. KFUM Oslo have lost two of their last three league matches, including a heavy defeat to Start, and their overall form shows just one win in five outings. This form gap reinforces Sarpsborg as the stronger side heading into this fixture.
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