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Fredrikstad Stadion
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AI Predicted Winner
Fredrikstad
42%
#Confidence
No odds data available for this match.
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This Fredrikstad vs Sarpsborg 08 FF prediction centers on a tightly-contested Eliteserien clash between two mid-table sides separated by just one place in the standings. Fredrikstad sit eighth with 26 points, while Sarpsborg sit ninth with 24, and the points-per-game gap between them is marginal at 0.11.
Fredrikstad's home form is their biggest asset, with five wins from nine at Fredrikstad Stadion, but their overall form has been streaky - a heavy loss to Bodo/Glimt sandwiched between wins over Lillestrom and Kristiansund. Four injury absences, including Kvile and Nysveen, thin out their options.
Sarpsborg arrive having drawn three of their last five, a pattern reflecting their league-high draw rate of nearly 28%. They've been hard to beat but also short on victories, with just six wins all season.
With combined goals per game at 2.32 and a modest combined draw rate of 19.1%, this looks set to be a competitive, moderately open contest. Fredrikstad's home advantage and superior recent scoring form give them a slight edge, but Sarpsborg's resilience away from home suggests a narrow margin. Expect goals at both ends with Fredrikstad edging it in a tight home win.
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2026 Season
Last 8 head-to-head matchups
These sides have met three times in the past two years, with results split evenly - Sarpsborg won 2-1 away...
These sides have met three times in the past two years, with results split evenly - Sarpsborg won 2-1 away in May 2026, Fredrikstad won 2-1 in the NM Cupen back in March, and Sarpsborg won 2-0 at home in November 2025. A 1-1 draw at Fredrikstad Stadion in June 2025 also stands out. The head-to-head has been consistently close, with no side dominating recent meetings, reinforcing the competitive nature of Saturday's clash.
Last 15 matches across all competitionsEliteserien matches highlighted
11 of 15 in Eliteserien
Form Rating
5.7/10
Fredrikstad have been inconsistent but capable of big results, including a 4-1 away win over...
Fredrikstad have been inconsistent but capable of big results, including a 4-1 away win over Lillestrom and a 7-1 cup thrashing of Eidsvold. However, heavy defeats to Rosenborg (0-4) and Bodo/Glimt (1-2, 0-1) expose defensive fragility against top sides. Their home record is solid - five wins, one draw, three losses this season - and they've kept clean sheets in low-scoring victories over Kristiansund and Sandefjord. Injuries to Kvile, Nysveen, Okpaleke, and Ghebreyohannes will test squad depth. With eight days' rest and a manageable fixture schedule, fatigue shouldn't be a factor, and their home scoring output remains a strength to watch.
12 of 15 in Eliteserien
Form Rating
5.7/10
Sarpsborg have drawn three of their last five matches, including back-to-back stalemates against Valerenga and...
Sarpsborg have drawn three of their last five matches, including back-to-back stalemates against Valerenga and Tromso, reflecting a team that's hard to break down but struggling to convert draws into wins. Their away record is modest with just two wins from ten, though they've shown flashes of quality, beating Viking and Ham-Kam on the road. Three injury absences, including Carstensen and Rosted, weaken their options further. With seven days' rest and low fixture congestion, fatigue isn't a concern, but their away form suggests they'll need a more clinical edge to leave Fredrikstad Stadion with anything.
Availability data is sourced from official team reports and may not reflect real-time updates.
Fredrikstad vs Sarpsborg 08 FF - Match Analysis
Fredrikstad hold a narrow edge due to home advantage and a stronger home record this season, but the gap between the sides is minimal - just one league position and 0.11 points per game. Sarpsborg's resilience, reflected in their high draw rate, and inconsistent recent form for Fredrikstad, including heavy losses to Rosenborg and Bodo/Glimt, keep this from being a clear-cut favorite scenario.
Beyond the straight win market, Over 2.5 Goals looks appealing given the combined goals per game average of 2.32 and defensive frailties on both sides. Draw No Bet: Fredrikstad also offers a lower-risk alternative for backing the home side without losing your stake if the match ends level, given how tightly matched these teams are on paper.
Both sides are missing key players - Fredrikstad without four contributors including Kvile and Nysveen, Sarpsborg missing three including Carstensen and Rosted. These absences add uncertainty to squad depth on both ends, potentially opening space for goals and making the match harder to predict with full confidence despite the underlying form and statistical trends.
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