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Venezia
Venezia19th in Serie A (0-0-2)
VS
Fiorentina
Fiorentina20th in Serie A (0-0-2)

Venezia vs Fiorentina

Friday, Sep 11, 2026 · --:--

Stadio Pierluigi Penzo

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AI Confidence: 32%
Venezia33%Draw 32%Fiorentina35%

AI Predicted Winner

Draw

32%

#Confidence

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SportsbookVeneziaDraw✦ AI PickFiorentina
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AI Match Analysis

Venezia vs Fiorentina prediction: this Serie A clash at Stadio Pierluigi Penzo pits two winless sides at the bottom of the table, both still searching for their first points of the season.

Venezia sit 19th having lost both league games without scoring a single goal, conceding four in the process. Fiorentina are even worse off in 20th, shipping seven goals across two defeats to Frosinone and Roma while also drawing a blank in both fixtures. Neither side has found the net in Serie A so far, which is a striking statistical parallel heading into this meeting.

Fiorentina's injury list includes Parisi and Sottil, further weakening a defense already leaking goals at an alarming 3.5 per game. Venezia's back line has its own absentees but has conceded fewer overall. Bookmakers rate this essentially a coin flip with Fiorentina marginal favorites, reflecting how shapeless both teams have looked early on.

Given the shared struggles in front of goal and defensive fragility on both sides, this looks like a low-quality, tight contest where a draw carries real weight alongside a narrow win for either side. Expect a cagey affair with few clear-cut chances and plenty of nervous defending from two teams desperate to open their account.

Key Factors

Home Advantage

Moderate

Recent Form

Weak

H2H Record

Unfavorable

Injury Impact

High

Season Overview

2026/2027 Season

Record
Venezia0-0-20.0%
Fiorentina0-0-20.0%
Goals Scored
Venezia0
Fiorentina0
Goals Conceded
Venezia4
Fiorentina7
Goal Difference
Venezia-4
Fiorentina-7

More Predictions

All statistics and predictions are for informational purposes only. Please gamble responsibly.

Last 4 head-to-head matchups

Venezia (2)Draws (1)Fiorentina (1)
May 12, 25
(H)Venezia2 - 1Fiorentina(A)
H
Aug 25, 24
(H)Fiorentina0 - 0Venezia(A)
D
Apr 16, 22
(H)Fiorentina1 - 0Venezia(A)
H
Oct 18, 21
(H)Venezia1 - 0Fiorentina(A)
H

Expert H2H Analysis

AI Insight

The two sides have met four times since 2021, with only two encounters falling in the last two years. Venezia...

The two sides have met four times since 2021, with only two encounters falling in the last two years. Venezia won 2-1 at home in May 2025, while the August 2024 meeting in Florence ended goalless. That split record shows no clear psychological edge for either club recently, and with both teams now in worse form than during those meetings, historical trends carry limited weight here.

Last 15 matches across all competitionsSerie A matches highlighted

Venezia

2 of 15 in Serie A

L
L
L
W
D
L
W
W
W
W
D
W
W
D
W

Form Rating

6.3/10

Venezia Form Analysis

Trending

Venezia have lost both Serie A matches this season without scoring, following relegation from Serie...

Venezia have lost both Serie A matches this season without scoring, following relegation from Serie A last term after a solid playoff run. Their pre-season friendlies showed attacking spark, including an 8-0 rout, but that hasn't translated into league goals yet. Key defensive absences include Rrahmani and Franjic, compounding early defensive fragility. Adorante is also out through injury, removing a forward option. Watch for their response after back-to-back scoreless league defeats, with low fatigue risk given nine days' rest before this fixture offering a chance to reset.

Fiorentina

7 of 15 in Serie A

L
L
W
D
D
D
W
L
W
W
D
W
D
L
D

Form Rating

5.3/10

Fiorentina Form Analysis

Analysis

Fiorentina have endured a torrid start, shipping seven goals in two league defeats to Frosinone...

Fiorentina have endured a torrid start, shipping seven goals in two league defeats to Frosinone and Roma while failing to score in either. Their defense looks shaky, and star forward Kean's exit for transfer negotiations leaves an attacking void. Parisi and Sottil are also sidelined through injury. With 13 days' rest and only moderate fixture congestion, there's time to regroup, but confidence looks fragile after such porous defending. Any forward stepping up in Kean's absence will be crucial if Fiorentina are to end their goal drought here.

shieldVenezia5

  • A. Adorante profile photo

    A. Adorante

    Hernia
    Out
  • B. Franjic profile photo

    B. Franjic

    Injury
    Out
  • M. Sverko profile photo

    M. Sverko

    Hip Injury
    Out
  • A. Rrahmani profile photo

    A. Rrahmani

    Injury
    Out
  • M. Moreno profile photo

    M. Moreno

    Health problems
    Out
A. AdoranteVenezia
B. FranjicVenezia
M. SverkoVenezia
A. RrahmaniVenezia
M. MorenoVenezia

shieldFiorentina3

  • M. Kean profile photo

    M. Kean

    Transfer negotiations
    Out
  • R. Sottil profile photo

    R. Sottil

    Back Injury
    Out
  • F. Parisi profile photo

    F. Parisi

    Knee Injury
    Out
M. KeanFiorentina
R. SottilFiorentina
F. ParisiFiorentina

Availability data is sourced from official team reports and may not reflect real-time updates.

Venezia vs Fiorentina - Match Analysis

Why is a draw a realistic outcome for Venezia vs Fiorentina?

Both teams have lost their opening two Serie A matches without scoring a single goal, highlighting deep struggles in attack. With market odds nearly split evenly and defensive frailties on both sides, neither team looks capable of imposing itself. A cagey, low-event draw fits the profile of two sides still searching for their first points and first goals of the campaign.

What alternative bets should I consider for Venezia vs Fiorentina?

Under 2.5 Goals stands out given both teams have failed to score in every league game so far this season. Draw No Bet on Venezia is another sensible option, leveraging home advantage while protecting against a defeat. Backing either side to win outright carries more risk given how porous both defenses have looked in the opening weeks.

What are the stakes for Venezia and Fiorentina in this match?

Both clubs sit rock bottom of Serie A without a point, making this an early relegation six-pointer. Fiorentina, given their pedigree, will feel real pressure to arrest a shocking start, while Venezia need a result to build belief after their promotion push. Whoever breaks their scoring duck first could gain a crucial psychological edge in this relegation battle.

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