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Napoli
Napoli9th in Serie A (3-1-3)
VS
AS Roma
AS Roma2nd in Serie A (5-2-0)

Napoli vs AS Roma

Saturday, Oct 24, 2026 · --:--

Stadio Diego Armando Maradona

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AI Confidence: 40%
Napoli33%Draw 27%AS Roma40%

AI Predicted Winner

AS Roma

40%

#Confidence

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SportsbookNapoliDrawAS Roma✦ AI Pick
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AI Match Analysis

Napoli vs AS Roma at the Stadio Diego Armando Maradona pits a Napoli side still finding consistency against a Roma team that has quietly been one of Serie A's best performers this season. This clash carries real weight, with Roma sitting third and Napoli ninth, six places adrift.

Napoli have blown hot and cold, beating Frosinone 3-0 at home but suffering Champions League defeat to Villarreal and a league loss at Inter. Roma, by contrast, are unbeaten in the league across their last six, conceding just three goals all season and shipping zero on the road in three away fixtures.

Centre-back Alessandro Buongiorno is out for Napoli with a knee issue, a blow to a defense that has already conceded ten goals in six matches. Roma's M. Bah is also missing, though the impact looks less significant given their defensive depth elsewhere.

Bookmakers slightly favor Roma (40.2%) over Napoli (32.1%), with a 27.7% draw chance reflecting how close recent head-to-head meetings have been. Given Roma's superior points-per-game, goal difference, and road form, this prediction leans toward an away win, though Napoli's home record this season keeps the door open for an upset or a share of the spoils. Expect goals at both ends given the attacking numbers on show.

Key Factors

Home Advantage

Moderate

Recent Form

Moderate

H2H Record

Unfavorable

Injury Impact

Moderate

Season Overview

2026/2027 Season

Record
Napoli3-1-342.9%
AS Roma5-2-071.4%
Goals Scored
Napoli10
AS Roma16
Goals Conceded
Napoli7
AS Roma3
Goal Difference
Napoli+3
AS Roma+13

More Predictions

All statistics and predictions are for informational purposes only. Please gamble responsibly.

Last 10 head-to-head matchups

Napoli (4)Draws (5)AS Roma (1)
Feb 15, 26
(H)Napoli2 - 2AS Roma(A)
D
Nov 30, 25
(H)AS Roma0 - 1Napoli(A)
A
Feb 2, 25
(H)AS Roma1 - 1Napoli(A)
D
Nov 24, 24
(H)Napoli1 - 0AS Roma(A)
H
Apr 28, 24
(H)Napoli2 - 2AS Roma(A)
D
Dec 23, 23
(H)AS Roma2 - 0Napoli(A)
H
Jan 29, 23
(H)Napoli2 - 1AS Roma(A)
H
Oct 23, 22
(H)AS Roma0 - 1Napoli(A)
A
Apr 18, 22
(H)Napoli1 - 1AS Roma(A)
D
Oct 24, 21
(H)AS Roma0 - 0Napoli(A)
D

Expert H2H Analysis

AI Insight

The last two meetings between these sides split evenly: a 2-2 draw in Naples in February 2026 and a 1-0...

The last two meetings between these sides split evenly: a 2-2 draw in Naples in February 2026 and a 1-0 Roma win in Rome in November 2025. Napoli haven't beaten Roma in either of their last two encounters, a pattern that aligns with Roma's current superior form. With both matches tightly contested and low-scoring, history suggests another close affair rather than a one-sided result in either direction.

Last 15 matches across all competitionsSerie A matches highlighted

Napoli

8 of 15 in Serie A

L
L
W
D
W
L
L
L
W
W
D
W
W
L
W

Form Rating

5.3/10

Napoli Form Analysis

Trending

Napoli arrive with a mixed record, winning three of six league games but losing two,...

Napoli arrive with a mixed record, winning three of six league games but losing two, including a damaging 2-3 defeat to Inter. Their home form is actually solid, with two wins from three at the Maradona this season, scoring five and conceding just two. However, their Champions League exertions have taken a toll, with a midweek 1-3 loss to Villarreal exposing defensive frailties. The absence of Alessandro Buongiorno due to a knee injury is a real concern given his importance to the back line. Napoli have scored in every match this season, so firepower isn't the issue — it's defensive consistency that needs addressing against a clinical Roma attack.

AS Roma

8 of 15 in Serie A

W
L
D
D
W
D
W
W
W
D
L
W
L
D
W

Form Rating

6.3/10

AS Roma Form Analysis

Analysis

AS Roma are unbeaten in their last six Serie A matches, winning four and drawing...

AS Roma are unbeaten in their last six Serie A matches, winning four and drawing two, while conceding only three goals in that span. Their away form is particularly impressive — two wins and a draw from three road trips, with a perfect clean-sheet record in those matches. A narrow 3-4 Champions League loss to Real Madrid was their only blemish recently, and that came against elite opposition. With M. Bah sidelined, Roma's depth should mitigate the loss. Their attack has been devastatingly efficient, averaging 2.33 goals per game, making them one of the league's most in-form sides heading into Naples.

shieldNapoli1

  • A. Buongiorno profile photo

    A. Buongiorno

    Jumpers Knee
    Out
A. BuongiornoNapoli

shieldAS Roma1

  • M. Bah profile photo

    M. Bah

    Jumpers Knee
    Out
M. BahAS Roma

Availability data is sourced from official team reports and may not reflect real-time updates.

Napoli vs AS Roma - Match Analysis

Why is AS Roma favored over Napoli despite playing away from home?

Roma's underlying numbers are significantly stronger — a 2.33 points-per-game average compared to Napoli's 1.67, a +11 goal difference versus +4, and an unbeaten run of six league matches. Their away form is particularly impressive, with two wins and a draw from three road trips and zero goals conceded in those games. This statistical gap, combined with Napoli missing key defender Alessandro Buongiorno, explains the bookmakers' preference for Roma.

Why might Napoli cause an upset against AS Roma at home?

Napoli have won two of their three home league games this season, scoring five and conceding just two, showing the Maradona remains a tough venue. Recent head-to-head history also favors competitiveness — their last meeting in Naples ended 2-2. If Napoli's attack, which has scored in every match this season, finds rhythm early, they have enough quality to trouble a Roma side coming off a tough Champions League defeat to Real Madrid.

What alternative bets should I consider for Napoli vs AS Roma?

Given the tight scoreline history and Roma's edge in quality, Draw No Bet: AS Roma provides insurance against a stalemate while still backing the stronger side. For goals, Over 2.5 Goals stands out given Roma average 2.33 goals scored per game and Napoli have found the net in every match this season, suggesting an open, attacking contest is likely at the Maradona.

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