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Torino
Torino14th in Serie A (1-0-3)
VS
AS Roma
AS Roma1st in Serie A (4-0-0)

Torino vs AS Roma

Monday, Sep 14, 2026 · --:--

Stadio Olimpico di Torino

Final
Torino
0–2
AS Roma

AS Roma won

Our prediction was correct
✓

Our Prediction

AI Match Analysis

Torino host AS Roma at the Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino in a Serie A clash where the visitors arrive as clear favourites. Roma's underlying numbers back up that status, with an expected goals tally of 55.0 this season ranking sixth in the division, well clear of Torino's 45.8 mark in ninth. That gap reflects a Roma side that remains unbeaten and defensively well-organized, giving them the platform to control games against mid-table opposition.

Torino's home advantage offers some resistance, and the 15% win probability assigned to them shouldn't be dismissed entirely, but the tactical picture favours a Roma team capable of dictating tempo and limiting clear-cut chances against them. With no injury concerns, suspensions, or lineup surprises reported for either side, the market has had little reason to shift, and bookmaker prices continue to anchor firmly around an away win.

From a betting angle, Roma's superior attacking metrics combined with their defensive solidity make an away win or away win-and-under-goals combination worth considering, particularly given Torino's more modest xG output suggesting limited firepower to trouble Roma's backline. A draw at 21% remains a live possibility given Serie A's competitive nature, but it doesn't outweigh the statistical case for the visitors.

Overall, this analysis points to AS Roma extending their unbeaten run, with the quality gap in expected goals and squad depth proving decisive over 90 minutes in Turin.

Key Factors

Last 10 head-to-head matchups

Torino (2)Draws (2)AS Roma (6)
Jan 18, 26
(H)Torino0 - 2AS Roma(A)
A
Jan 13, 26
(H)AS Roma2 - 3Torino(A)
A
Sep 14, 25
(H)AS Roma0 - 1Torino(A)
A
May 25, 25
(H)Torino0 - 2AS Roma(A)
A
Oct 31, 24
(H)AS Roma1 - 0Torino(A)
H
Feb 26, 24
(H)AS Roma3 - 2Torino(A)
H
Sep 24, 23
(H)Torino1 - 1AS Roma(A)
D
Apr 8, 23
(H)Torino0 - 1AS Roma(A)
A
Nov 13, 22
(H)AS Roma1 - 1Torino(A)
D
May 20, 22
(H)Torino0 - 3AS Roma(A)
A

Expert H2H Analysis

AI Insight

Recent meetings heavily favor Roma. Since 2025, Roma have won three of four encounters, including a 2-0 Serie A win...

Recent meetings heavily favor Roma. Since 2025, Roma have won three of four encounters, including a 2-0 Serie A win in January 2026 and a 1-0 victory in September 2025, with Torino's only success coming in a Coppa Italia tie hosted by Roma. Torino have struggled to find the net against Roma in league play during this period, managing just two goals across those meetings, reinforcing the pattern of Roma's dominance in this fixture.

Last 15 matches across all competitionsSerie A matches highlighted

Torino

9 of 15 in Serie A

W
L
L
L
W
W
W
L
W
D
L
W
L
D
D

Form Rating

5/10

Torino Form Analysis

Trending

Torino sit 13th with one win, no draws, and two losses from three league games,...

Torino sit 13th with one win, no draws, and two losses from three league games, conceding five while scoring four. Their only home league match this season ended in a loss, and their sole midweek win came in Coppa Italia against Monza before losing to Fiorentina in league play most recently. The defense looks vulnerable, having shipped multiple goals in consecutive fixtures against Milan and Sassuolo. Injuries to Israel and Pellegri, plus Casadei's rest and Coco's fitness doubt, thin an already stretched squad. Duvan Zapata remains the focal point going forward, but Torino will need a much-improved defensive display to trouble a rampant Roma side on home turf.

AS Roma

9 of 15 in Serie A

D
W
W
W
D
L
W
L
D
W
W
W
W
W
D

Form Rating

7.3/10

AS Roma Form Analysis

Analysis

AS Roma are unbeaten through their opening three Serie A fixtures, winning all three and...

AS Roma are unbeaten through their opening three Serie A fixtures, winning all three and boasting a league-best goal difference of plus nine. They've scored ten while conceding just once, with clean sheets in two of three matches, and sit second in the table with maximum points. A midweek Champions League draw against Fenerbahce adds slight fatigue with only three days' rest before this trip. Pellegrini and Bah are missing through injury, but Roma's depth has papered over absences so far. Their attacking output — over three goals per game — makes them one of the league's most in-form sides heading into Turin.

Season Overview

2026/2027 Season

Record
Torino1-0-233.3%
AS Roma3-0-0100.0%
Goals Scored
Torino4
AS Roma10
Goals Conceded
Torino5
AS Roma1

shieldTorino4

  • P. Pellegri profile photo

    P. Pellegri

    Knee Injury
    Out
  • F. Israel profile photo

    F. Israel

    Shoulder Injury
    Out
  • S. Coco profile photo

    S. Coco

    Injury
    Questionable
  • C. Casadei profile photo

    C. Casadei

    Rest
    Out
P. PellegriTorino
F. IsraelTorino
S. CocoTorino
C. CasadeiTorino

shieldAS Roma2

  • L. Pellegrini profile photo

    L. Pellegrini

    Thigh Injury
    Out
  • M. Bah profile photo

    M. Bah

    Knee Injury
    Out
L. PellegriniAS Roma
M. BahAS Roma

Availability data is sourced from official team reports and may not reflect real-time updates.

More Predictions

All statistics and predictions are for informational purposes only. Please gamble responsibly.

High Value

Torino vs Monza

Fri, Oct 23, 06:45 PM

AI: Torino46%
Strong Pick

Como vs Sassuolo

Sat, Oct 24, 01:00 PM

AI: Como61%
Close Match

Napoli vs AS Roma

Sat, Oct 24, 04:00 PM

AI: AS Roma40%
Home Advantage

Moderate

Recent Form

Moderate

H2H Record

Even

Injury Impact

High

Goal Difference
Torino-1
AS Roma+9

Torino vs AS Roma - Match Analysis

Why is AS Roma strongly favored to beat Torino?

Roma have won all three league games this season, sit second in Serie A, and boast a league-best plus-nine goal difference. Torino, by contrast, are 13th with a shaky home record and defensive injuries to key players like Israel and Pellegri. The 11-place table gap and Roma's superior attacking output make them clear favorites at odds around 1.57.

Could Torino cause an upset against AS Roma at home?

It's unlikely but not impossible. Roma played a Champions League fixture just three days before this match, carrying medium fatigue risk after a draw against Fenerbahce. Torino have scored in every match this season, so if they can capitalize on Roma's tired legs early, there's a slim opening. However, Torino's own defensive injuries make containing Roma's attack a tall order.

What alternative bets should I consider for Torino vs AS Roma?

Over 2.5 Goals stands out given both teams' attacking tendencies and Torino's leaky defense, with combined goals per game near 4.66 this season. For bettors wanting exposure to Roma's dominance without accepting short outright odds, Roma -1 Asian Handicap offers better value while still reflecting their clear superiority over Torino.

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