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Stadio Ennio Tardini
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AI Predicted Winner
Torino
38%
#Confidence
| Sportsbook | Parma | Draw | Torino✦ AI Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
1xBetBest Odds | |||
Pinnacle | |||
Marathonbet | |||
| Best Odds |
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This Parma vs Torino prediction centers on two struggling Serie A sides looking to climb out of the lower reaches of the table. Parma sit 18th with just four points from six games, winless in four of their last five outings and sitting firmly in the relegation zone. Torino are only marginally better off at 15th, also on four points, though their underlying numbers show slightly sharper home/away splits and a touch more firepower going forward.
Parma's home form has flattered them somewhat with a win and a draw from three, but their away record is winless in three, and their most recent outing was a heavy 3-0 defeat to Inter. Several squad absences, including Nicolussi Caviglia and Almqvist, compound their defensive issues, having shipped ten goals in six matches.
Torino arrive with 30 days of rest after their last fixture, a notable edge in freshness, though their own home form this season is winless in two. Their away record shows one win, one draw, and one loss, suggesting they travel reasonably well.
Bookmakers rate this a tight three-way affair, with Torino marginal favorites at 38.4% implied probability, Parma at 31.0%, and the draw close behind at 30.6%. Given both teams' defensive frailties and inconsistent attacking output, a low-scoring, tightly contested match looks likely, with Torino's slight edge in recent scoring form tipping this toward an away win or draw.
Moderate
Moderate
Unfavorable
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2026/2027 Season
Last 10 head-to-head matchups
The two sides have met twice in the past two years, split evenly. Torino thrashed Parma 4-1 away in March...
The two sides have met twice in the past two years, split evenly. Torino thrashed Parma 4-1 away in March 2026, while Parma won 2-1 at home in September 2025. There's no dominant pattern recently, with both teams capable of finding the net against each other. Given the current struggles of both sides defensively, this head-to-head history suggests goals could flow again, though neither team has shown true consistency.
Last 15 matches across all competitionsSerie A matches highlighted
8 of 15 in Serie A
Form Rating
3.7/10
Parma have won just once in their last six matches, a troubling stretch that includes...
Parma have won just once in their last six matches, a troubling stretch that includes a heavy 3-0 loss to Inter and a narrow defeat to Como. Their home record offers some comfort with a win and a draw in three games, but they've managed only four goals total this season, failing to score in three matches. Injuries to Nicolussi Caviglia, Almqvist, and Ndiaye further weaken an already fragile squad. Valenti's absence was reportedly a coaching decision rather than injury. With ten goals conceded in six games, defensive solidity remains the biggest concern, and Parma will need a big response at home to avoid sinking deeper into the relegation zone.
9 of 15 in Serie A
Form Rating
5.3/10
Torino have struggled similarly, winning only once in their last five with a draw against...
Torino have struggled similarly, winning only once in their last five with a draw against Bologna their most recent result. Their away form shows promise though, with a win, draw, and loss across three road trips this season, and they've scored five goals in five matches overall. A 30-day rest period since their last fixture gives them a notable freshness advantage over Parma. Injuries to Israel and Pellegri will test squad depth, but Torino's slightly better goals-per-game average and tactical freshness make them marginal favorites here. Their away record suggests they can be competitive even without home comforts.
Availability data is sourced from official team reports and may not reflect real-time updates.
Parma vs Torino - Match Analysis
Torino hold a narrow edge due to better recent scoring output and a significant rest advantage after 30 days off, compared to Parma's compressed schedule. However, both teams sit near the bottom of Serie A with identical points totals, meaning the gap in quality is minimal. Parma's decent home record and h2h history keep this match genuinely competitive rather than a clear mismatch.
Double Chance: Torino or Draw is a sensible alternative, capturing the away team's slight edge while hedging against an upset without needing an outright win. Under 2.5 Goals also looks attractive given both teams' defensive struggles and modest attacking numbers this season, with a combined goals-per-game rate under 1.7 supporting a tight, low-scoring contest in Parma.
Both teams enter this fixture in poor form, with Parma winless in four of five and Torino winning just once in five. Parma's lone bright spot is a competitive home record, while Torino's freshness from a month off could prove decisive. Neither side's form inspires confidence, which is why the draw carries a genuinely high probability alongside the narrow favorite tag for Torino.
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