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Bologna
Bologna14th in Serie A (1-2-3)
VS
Inter
Inter1st in Serie A (5-1-0)

Bologna vs Inter

Saturday, Oct 17, 2026 · --:--

Unknown

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AI Confidence: 59%
Bologna17%Draw 24%Inter59%

AI Predicted Winner

Inter

59%

#Confidence

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AI Match Analysis

Bologna vs Inter prediction: Saturday's Serie A clash at the Stadio Renato Dall'Ara pits a struggling home side against the division's in-form leaders. Inter sit top with 16 points from six games, winning five and drawing one, while Bologna languish in 14th with just five points after one win, two draws, and three losses.

Inter's form is the headline story — they've scored 18 goals in six league matches, averaging 3.0 per game, and their only blemish domestically is a single draw. A midweek Champions League defeat to Club Brugge shows they're not invincible, but Serie A form remains outstanding, especially on the road where they've won four of four this season in all away venues combined.

Bologna's issues are offensive rather than defensive collapse — they've failed to score in three of six matches and sit with a negative goal difference. Injuries to Orsolini and Holm strip further creative threat, with Mbangula and Odgaard both doubtful too.

Given the 13-place gap, the points-per-game differential of nearly two full points, and Inter's attacking output dwarfing Bologna's, this looks a clear away win. Bookmakers price Inter at 58.7% implied probability, and the underlying numbers support that view. Expect goals at both ends given Bologna's leaky defense, but Inter's control should be the deciding factor in this Serie A preview matchup.

Key Factors

Home Advantage

Moderate

Recent Form

Moderate

H2H Record

Unfavorable

Injury Impact

High

Season Overview

2026/2027 Season

Record
Bologna1-2-316.7%
Inter5-1-083.3%
Goals Scored
Bologna5
Inter18
Goals Conceded
Bologna7
Inter8
Goal Difference
Bologna-2
Inter+10

More Predictions

All statistics and predictions are for informational purposes only. Please gamble responsibly.

Last 10 head-to-head matchups

Bologna (4)Draws (3)Inter (3)
May 23, 26
(H)Bologna3 - 3Inter(A)
D
Jan 4, 26
(H)Inter3 - 1Bologna(A)
H
Dec 19, 25
(H)Bologna1 - 1Inter(A)
H
Apr 20, 25
(H)Bologna1 - 0Inter(A)
H
Jan 15, 25
(H)Inter2 - 2Bologna(A)
D
Mar 9, 24
(H)Bologna0 - 1Inter(A)
A
Dec 20, 23
(H)Inter1 - 2Bologna(A)
A
Oct 7, 23
(H)Inter2 - 2Bologna(A)
D
Feb 26, 23
(H)Bologna1 - 0Inter(A)
H
Nov 9, 22
(H)Inter6 - 1Bologna(A)
H

Expert H2H Analysis

AI Insight

The two sides met three times in the past year. Bologna drew 3-3 at home in May 2026, Inter won...

The two sides met three times in the past year. Bologna drew 3-3 at home in May 2026, Inter won 3-1 in January 2026, and the Super Cup clash in December 2025 ended 1-1. Two of the last three meetings produced draws, and both teams scored in all three — a trend worth noting given Bologna's current attacking struggles. Inter have not lost to Bologna since early 2024.

Last 15 matches across all competitionsSerie A matches highlighted

Bologna

9 of 15 in Serie A

W
D
L
D
L
L
L
L
W
W
D
L
D
W
W

Form Rating

4.7/10

Bologna Form Analysis

Trending

Bologna have managed just one win in six league games, sitting 14th with a negative...

Bologna have managed just one win in six league games, sitting 14th with a negative goal difference. They've failed to score in half their matches and have lost their last meaningful competitive fixture before a narrow win over Lecce. Home form is particularly worrying — no wins in three, with two draws and a loss. Injuries compound the issue: both Orsolini and Holm are ruled out through thigh problems, stripping attacking threat, while Mbangula, Odgaard, and Theate are all questionable. With their primary creative outlets missing, Bologna will need a disciplined defensive shape just to stay competitive against a rampant Inter side.

Inter

7 of 15 in Serie A

L
W
W
D
W
L
W
W
W
W
W
D
W
W
D

Form Rating

7.7/10

Inter Form Analysis

Analysis

Inter are Serie A's form team, winning five of six with 18 goals scored and...

Inter are Serie A's form team, winning five of six with 18 goals scored and a +10 goal difference. Their away record this season is flawless across venues, and their 2.67 points-per-game average leads the division. A 3-4 Champions League loss to Club Brugge is the only dent in recent form, but domestic results remain emphatic — including a 5-3 win over Udinese and a 4-1 win over Monza. Lautaro Martinez is missing through injury, which could blunt the cutting edge, but the squad's depth and attacking output suggest this shouldn't derail their momentum against a struggling Bologna side.

shieldBologna5

  • R. Orsolini profile photo

    R. Orsolini

    Thigh Injury
    Out
  • J. Odgaard profile photo

    J. Odgaard

    Thigh Injury
    Questionable
  • E. Holm profile photo

    E. Holm

    Thigh Injury
    Out
  • A. Theate profile photo

    A. Theate

    Leg Injury
    Questionable
  • S. Mbangula profile photo

    S. Mbangula

    Injury
    Questionable
R. OrsoliniBologna
J. OdgaardBologna
E. HolmBologna
A. TheateBologna
S. MbangulaBologna

shieldInter3

  • L. Martinez profile photo

    L. Martinez

    Thigh Injury
    Out
  • C. Jones profile photo

    C. Jones

    Thigh Injury
    Out
  • J. Stones profile photo

    J. Stones

    Injury
    Questionable
L. MartinezInter
C. JonesInter
J. StonesInter

Availability data is sourced from official team reports and may not reflect real-time updates.

Bologna vs Inter - Match Analysis

Why is Inter strongly favored to beat Bologna?

Inter top Serie A with 16 points from six games, a +10 goal difference, and five wins. Bologna sit 14th with just five points and a negative goal difference. The points-per-game gap of nearly two full points, combined with Inter's flawless away record this season, makes them clear favorites at 58.7% implied probability according to bookmaker odds.

Could Bologna cause an upset against Inter at home?

It's possible but unlikely given current form. Bologna have won just once in six league games and are missing key attacking players Orsolini and Holm to injury. Their home record this season shows no wins in three matches. However, their head-to-head history with Inter includes a recent 3-3 draw, showing they can trouble this Inter side when fully fit.

What alternative bets should I consider for Bologna vs Inter?

Over 2.5 Goals looks like strong value given Bologna's leaky defense and Inter's attacking output of 3.0 goals per game. Draw No Bet: Inter is also worth considering for bettors wanting protection against a draw, especially with two of the last three head-to-head meetings ending level. Both markets offer better risk-adjusted value than backing Inter outright at short odds.

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