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Stadio Ennio Tardini
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AI Predicted Winner
Bologna
46%
#Confidence
| Sportsbook | Parma | Draw | Bologna✦ AI Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
1xBetBest Odds | |||
Pinnacle | |||
Dafabet | |||
| Best Odds |
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Our Parma vs Bologna prediction for this Serie A clash at the Stadio Ennio Tardini leans towards the visitors, though a bottom-three side at home is rarely a write-off. Parma sit 19th with five points from nine games, scoring just five goals and conceding fifteen. Their only win in their last nine came against Genoa, and they have failed to score in five of those matches.
Bologna, 11th with eleven points, arrive in better shape. They beat Cagliari 2-0 and AC Milan 4-2 in their last two outings, scoring six goals in the process, and have won three of five away league games. Their weakness is at home, where they are winless in four, but this is a road fixture where their form is far stronger.
Injuries tilt things further. Bologna have a lengthy list of absentees, including Orsolini, Holm, De Silvestri, Enem and Piccoli, which may dent their depth. Parma have fewer reported issues, with Elphege listed as ill. Both sides had nine days of rest, so fatigue is not a factor.
Bookmakers price Bologna at roughly 46% against 26.5% for Parma, and the data backs that up: a 0.66 points-per-game edge and a clear gap in attacking output. Parma's home record is modest, but their goalscoring problems make a win hard to trust. Our pick is a narrow Bologna victory.
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2026/2027 Season
Last 10 head-to-head matchups
Recent head-to-head favours the current away side slightly. Since late 2024, the sides have met five times across Serie A...
Recent head-to-head favours the current away side slightly. Since late 2024, the sides have met five times across Serie A and Coppa Italia. Parma won 2-0 at home in February 2025, and Bologna drew 0-0 at home in October 2024, then won 3-1 at the Tardini in November 2025. Bologna also edged the Coppa Italia tie 2-1 in December 2025, though Parma took the Serie A return 1-0 in February 2026. The record is tight and low-margin, with Bologna holding a small edge in recent meetings and Parma's wins coming by narrow scorelines.
Last 15 matches across all competitionsSerie A matches highlighted
10 of 15 in Serie A
Form Rating
3.3/10
Parma's form is the weakest in the division. They have won once in nine league...
Parma's form is the weakest in the division. They have won once in nine league games, losing six, and their last four results read draw, loss, loss, loss in Serie A before the Udinese stalemate. Scoring is the core issue: 0.56 goals per game and five blanks from nine matches. They also concede 1.67 per game, so there is little to lean on at either end. Home form is marginally better, with one win and two draws from five at the Tardini, and a 0-0 draw with Udinese showed some defensive resolve. Beyond Elphege's illness, injuries are limited, but the lack of a reliable goal source is a serious concern.
10 of 15 in Serie A
Form Rating
5/10
Bologna have rebounded strongly after a poor start, winning three of their last five league...
Bologna have rebounded strongly after a poor start, winning three of their last five league games. The 4-2 win at AC Milan and 2-0 success at Cagliari highlight a team capable of scoring on the road, and they average 1.33 goals per game overall. Their away record of three wins from five is the foundation of their season, while home results have been poor. The defence is average, conceding 1.33 per game with just one clean sheet. Injuries are the worry, with five players listed as missing, including forwards Orsolini and Piccoli. Even so, recent attacking output suggests enough quality remains to threaten a struggling Parma defence.
Availability data is sourced from official team reports and may not reflect real-time updates.
Parma vs Bologna - Match Analysis
Bologna are favoured because of superior form and league standing. They sit 11th against Parma's 19th, average 1.22 points per game compared with 0.56, and have won three of five away league matches. Parma have scored only five goals in nine games and failed to score in five. Bookmakers price Bologna at about 46% to win, reflecting this clear gap in attacking quality and consistency.
Consider Bologna Double Chance for a safer angle, since it covers a Parma side that has won once in nine. Draw No Bet on Bologna offers stake protection if the match stalls. Under 2.5 Goals suits the data well, with a combined 1.89 goals per game and Parma struggling to score. Each option carries less risk than backing a straight away win.
Parma are 19th, sitting in the relegation zone with five points, so any result matters in the fight to close the gap on safety. Bologna are 11th, mid-table and eight places higher, aiming to build on two strong wins and move toward the European places. For Parma it is about survival, while Bologna are chasing momentum and consistency away from home.
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