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Juventus
Juventus6th in Serie A (3-2-1)
VS
Lazio
Lazio2nd in Serie A (5-1-0)

Juventus vs Lazio

Sunday, Oct 18, 2026 · --:--

Allianz Stadium

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AI Confidence: 46%
Juventus46%Draw 29%Lazio25%

AI Predicted Winner

Juventus

46%

#Confidence

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SportsbookJuventus✦ AI PickDrawLazio
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AI Match Analysis

Juventus vs Lazio prediction: the Allianz Stadium hosts a clash between a sixth-placed Juventus side and a Lazio team that has climbed to third in Serie A. Despite the gap in the table, bookmakers still install Juventus as clear favorites, with odds implying a 57.2% win probability against Lazio's 18.1%.

Juventus arrive with a mixed recent record, winning three of five, but have been hit hard by injuries, with eight players sidelined including key attacking and midfield pieces like Yildiz, Thuram, Cambiaso, and Locatelli. That's a significant blow to squad depth ahead of a congested fixture run that also includes Europa League commitments.

Lazio, by contrast, arrive in excellent shape, unbeaten in their last five with four wins and a draw, conceding just 0.6 goals per game. Their away form has been particularly impressive, winning all three road matches this season without conceding.

Head-to-head meetings since late 2024 have been tight, with one Juventus win, one Lazio win, and one draw, though Lazio has shown they can get results against Juventus on the road. Given Lazio's superior points-per-game, defensive solidity, and Juventus's injury list, this looks closer than the market suggests. Expect a competitive, possibly high-scoring affair, with Juventus's home advantage just about tipping the balance, but a draw remains a live outcome given the key absentees.

Key Factors

Home Advantage

Moderate

Recent Form

Moderate

H2H Record

Even

Injury Impact

High

Season Overview

2026/2027 Season

Record
Juventus3-2-150.0%
Lazio5-1-083.3%
Goals Scored
Juventus9
Lazio11
Goals Conceded
Juventus5
Lazio4
Goal Difference
Juventus+4
Lazio+7

More Predictions

All statistics and predictions are for informational purposes only. Please gamble responsibly.

Last 10 head-to-head matchups

Juventus (4)Draws (2)Lazio (4)
Feb 8, 26
(H)Juventus2 - 2Lazio(A)
D
Oct 26, 25
(H)Lazio1 - 0Juventus(A)
H
May 10, 25
(H)Lazio1 - 1Juventus(A)
D
Oct 19, 24
(H)Juventus1 - 0Lazio(A)
H
Apr 23, 24
(H)Lazio2 - 1Juventus(A)
H
Apr 2, 24
(H)Juventus2 - 0Lazio(A)
H
Mar 30, 24
(H)Lazio1 - 0Juventus(A)
H
Sep 16, 23
(H)Juventus3 - 1Lazio(A)
H
Apr 8, 23
(H)Lazio2 - 1Juventus(A)
H
Feb 2, 23
(H)Juventus1 - 0Lazio(A)
H

Expert H2H Analysis

AI Insight

Since October 2024, Juventus and Lazio have met three times in Serie A, splitting results evenly: one win each and...

Since October 2024, Juventus and Lazio have met three times in Serie A, splitting results evenly: one win each and a draw. Lazio claimed a 1-0 away win in October 2025, while Juventus edged a 1-0 home victory in October 2024. Their most recent meeting in February 2026 ended 2-2. This recent record shows no team has a clear psychological edge, with narrow margins and tightly contested matches defining this fixture in both venues.

Last 15 matches across all competitionsSerie A matches highlighted

Juventus

6 of 15 in Serie A

W
D
L
W
W
L
D
W
W
W
L
W
W
W
D

Form Rating

7/10

Juventus Form Analysis

Trending

Juventus have won three of their last five Serie A matches, with the only real...

Juventus have won three of their last five Serie A matches, with the only real blemish a 3-2 away loss to Sassuolo. They've shown attacking quality, netting eight goals in five games, but a lengthy injury list is a major concern heading into this fixture. Yildiz, Thuram, Cambiaso, Locatelli, and goalkeeper Grabara are all out, stripping depth from both midfield and attack. Home form has been strong, with two wins and a draw in three matches at the Allianz Stadium. With a congested schedule including Europa League fixtures either side of this match, squad fatigue could also play a factor against a fresher Lazio side.

Lazio

7 of 15 in Serie A

W
D
W
W
D
W
W
W
L
W
W
W
W
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W

Form Rating

8.7/10

Lazio Form Analysis

Analysis

Lazio are unbeaten in their last five, winning four and drawing one, conceding just three...

Lazio are unbeaten in their last five, winning four and drawing one, conceding just three goals across that stretch. Their away form has been outstanding, winning all three road Serie A matches this season while keeping clean sheets. Lazio's defensive discipline and control have been the foundation of their rise to third in the table. Injuries are minimal compared to Juventus, with only Patric and Furlanetto missing. With a goals-scored rate matching Juventus and a far superior goals-conceded record, Lazio look well-equipped to cause an upset or at least secure a point on the road in Turin.

shieldJuventus7

  • K. Thuram profile photo

    K. Thuram

    Knee Injury
    Out
  • A. Milik profile photo

    A. Milik

    Inactive
    Out
  • K. Grabara profile photo

    K. Grabara

    Knee Injury
    Out
  • J. Boga profile photo

    J. Boga

    Muscle Injury
    Out
  • M. Locatelli profile photo

    M. Locatelli

    Knee Injury
    Out
K. ThuramJuventus
A. MilikJuventus
K. GrabaraJuventus
J. BogaJuventus
M. LocatelliJuventus
K. YildizJuventus
J. EkhatorJuventus

Showing 1-5 of 7 injuries

shieldLazio6

  • A. Marusic profile photo

    A. Marusic

    Muscle Injury
    Out
  • A. Gudmundsson profile photo

    A. Gudmundsson

    Shoulder Injury
    Out
  • L. Pellegrini profile photo

    L. Pellegrini

    Inactive
    Out
  • N. Rovella profile photo

    N. Rovella

    Calf Injury
    Out
  • A. Furlanetto profile photo

    A. Furlanetto

    Knee Injury
    Out
A. MarusicLazio
A. GudmundssonLazio
L. PellegriniLazio
N. RovellaLazio
A. FurlanettoLazio
M. CancellieriLazio

Showing 1-5 of 6 injuries

Availability data is sourced from official team reports and may not reflect real-time updates.

Juventus vs Lazio - Match Analysis

Why might Juventus struggle against Lazio despite being favorites?

Juventus face a daunting injury list for this fixture, missing eight players including Yildiz, Thuram, Cambiaso, and Locatelli. These are key creative and defensive contributors, and their absence weakens both ends of the pitch. Combined with a demanding fixture schedule involving Europa League football, Juventus could be vulnerable against a well-drilled, unbeaten-in-five Lazio side that boasts a superior points-per-game and defensive record this season.

What alternative bets should I consider for Juventus vs Lazio?

Consider Double Chance: Lazio or Draw, which offers better value given Lazio's superior underlying form and Juventus's absentees. Over 2.5 Goals is also appealing, as both teams have scored 1.6 goals per game this season and the combined goals rate sits at 3.2. These markets better reflect the closeness of this matchup than a straight Juventus win bet.

How does recent form affect the prediction for this match?

Lazio's form is outstanding, unbeaten in five matches with four wins and dominant away results. Juventus, while winning three of five, have shown defensive fragility and face a significant injury crisis. This form disparity suggests the true gap between these teams is smaller than bookmaker odds imply, supporting a tighter-than-expected scoreline or even a Lazio result despite playing away from home.

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