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Stadio Artemio Franchi
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AI Predicted Winner
Como
48%
#Confidence
| Sportsbook | Fiorentina | Draw | Como✦ AI Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
1xBetBest Odds | |||
Bet365 | |||
Pinnacle | |||
| Best Odds |
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Fiorentina vs Como prediction: this Serie A clash at Stadio Artemio Franchi pits a struggling relegation-zone side against one of the league's form teams. Fiorentina sit 18th with just four points from six games, having lost four of their last six including a heavy defeat to Genoa last time out. Como, by contrast, sit 7th with 10 points from five matches, winning three of their last five and showing real attacking threat with 1.8 goals per game.
The gap is stark: Como's points-per-game average of 2.0 dwarfs Fiorentina's 0.67, and the bookmakers reflect this with Como favored at 45.7% implied probability against Fiorentina's 28.1%. Fiorentina's defense has been porous, shipping 2.33 goals per game, while Como's attack has clicked in Serie A and the Champions League alike.
Fiorentina will be without Rodrigo Sottil due to a back injury, further limiting attacking options for a side already struggling to score. Como's fixture list is congested with Champions League duties either side of this trip, which could affect squad freshness, but their overall quality edge remains clear.
Expect goals at both ends given Fiorentina's leaky defense and Como's efficient finishing. The pick here is a Como win, driven by the quality and form gap between these two sides, though Fiorentina's home record of just one win in three this season doesn't inspire confidence either way for the hosts.
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2026/2027 Season
Last 5 head-to-head matchups
Como have dominated this fixture recently, winning three of the last four meetings since late 2024, including a Coppa Italia...
Como have dominated this fixture recently, winning three of the last four meetings since late 2024, including a Coppa Italia win and a Serie A victory at the Franchi last season. Fiorentina's only win in this span came on home soil in February 2026. The pattern favors Como regardless of venue, and with the current form disparity even wider than during those encounters, history offers little comfort for Fiorentina heading into this one.
Last 15 matches across all competitionsSerie A matches highlighted
6 of 15 in Serie A
Form Rating
5.3/10
Fiorentina arrive in dreadful form, winning just once in their last six matches and sitting...
Fiorentina arrive in dreadful form, winning just once in their last six matches and sitting rock-bottom of the form table among Serie A's relegation candidates. They've conceded 14 goals in six games, including defeats to Genoa, Torino, Frosinone and Roma. Their home record is particularly concerning: zero wins, one draw and two losses in three matches at the Franchi this season. Rodrigo Sottil's back injury removes another attacking option from a side already struggling to score, managing just seven goals all season. Moise Kean remains the player to watch as their primary attacking threat, but he's working with minimal service from a disjointed midfield and defense.
7 of 15 in Serie A
Form Rating
6/10
Como have been one of Serie A's pleasant surprises, winning three of their last five...
Como have been one of Serie A's pleasant surprises, winning three of their last five matches and sitting seventh with 10 points. Their only recent blemish was a loss to Frosinone, but they bounced back by beating Parma and thrashing RB Leipzig in the Champions League. Attacking returns have been strong at 1.8 goals per game, and their away form features two wins, one draw and one loss in four matches. Fixture congestion is a slight concern with Champions League matches against Feyenoord and Manchester United bookending this trip. Jayden Addai remains out with an Achilles injury, but Como's squad depth has carried them through this demanding schedule.
Availability data is sourced from official team reports and may not reflect real-time updates.
Fiorentina vs Como - Match Analysis
Como sit seventh in Serie A with a 2.0 points-per-game average, compared to Fiorentina's bottom-of-the-table 0.67. Como have won three of their last five matches and scored freely, while Fiorentina have lost four of six and conceded 14 goals. The bookmakers' 45.7% implied probability for Como reflects this clear form and quality gap, making them deserved favorites despite playing away from home.
Fiorentina's desperation for points in the relegation zone could spark a more urgent performance, and home advantage still carries weight even for struggling sides. Como also face fixture congestion with Champions League matches against Feyenoord and Manchester United surrounding this trip, which could affect squad freshness. However, Fiorentina's home record this season — no wins in three — makes an upset a genuine long shot.
Draw No Bet: Como provides insurance against a shock draw while still backing the stronger side. Over 2.5 Goals is compelling given Fiorentina's defensive issues and Como's attacking output, with combined goals per game near 3.0 this season. Bettors wanting more value with controlled risk could also consider Como to win and Over 2.5 Goals as a same-match combination.
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