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Snapdragon Stadium
San Jose Earthquakes won
San Diego host San Jose Earthquakes at Snapdragon Stadium in a Western Conference clash between playoff-positioned sides, with the home crowd expecting a statement win against a divisional rival.
San Diego sit ninth with 30 points, San Jose sixth with 35, but the underlying numbers are nearly identical: both average 1.74 goals scored and 1.48 conceded per game. San Diego's home form has been solid at 6-3-3, while San Jose have won six of twelve on the road, making this a genuinely tight matchup despite the position gap.
San Diego arrive off a loss at Orlando but had strung together wins over LA Galaxy and Colorado Rapids before that dip. San Jose are winless in five, drawing their last two against Austin and Houston, a stretch of stagnation that undercuts their table position. San Jose also carry a lengthy injury list, missing six players including Timo Werner, which significantly weakens their attacking and defensive depth.
Market odds favor San Diego clearly at 53.6% to the Earthquakes' 23.8%, and the underdog's current form and depth issues support that lean. Expect San Diego to make home advantage count, with goals at both ends given each side's tendency to concede over 1.4 per game. This San Diego vs San Jose Earthquakes prediction leans toward the hosts winning a high-scoring affair.
Moderate
Moderate
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2026 Season
San Diego vs San Jose Earthquakes - Match Analysis
San Jose sit above San Diego in the table, but their recent form has collapsed, five games without a win including two draws in their last two. San Diego's stronger home record (6-3-3) and San Jose's severe injury crisis, six players missing including Timo Werner, tip the balance clearly toward the hosts despite the standings suggesting otherwise.
Over 2.5 Goals is compelling given both teams average 1.74 goals scored and 1.48 conceded per game, with a combined 3.48 goals per game across their squads. Draw No Bet: San Diego is also worth considering for bettors wanting home win exposure without draw risk, especially with San Jose's attacking options depleted by injuries.
San Jose are missing six players for this fixture, including key attacker Timo Werner and defenders Dan Jones and Damion Johnson. This significantly weakens both ends of the pitch for the Earthquakes, compounding an already poor five-match winless run and making San Diego's home advantage even more impactful in this prediction.
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Last 4 head-to-head matchups
Since 2025, these teams have split four meetings evenly at two wins apiece, with San Diego winning the most recent...
Since 2025, these teams have split four meetings evenly at two wins apiece, with San Diego winning the most recent competitive league fixture 3-0 away in April 2026. San Jose won last September's MLS meeting 1-0 in San Diego, showing this fixture can go either way. With no draws in the last four encounters and goals flowing in most of them, an open, competitive match seems likely again.
Last 15 matches across all competitionsMajor League Soccer matches highlighted
12 of 15 in Major League Soccer
Form Rating
5.7/10
San Diego have won eight of 23 league games, sitting ninth with a plus-six goal...
San Diego have won eight of 23 league games, sitting ninth with a plus-six goal difference. Their home record of six wins, three draws and three losses from twelve games is their biggest asset here, and they've scored 1.74 goals per game overall. Recent form is mixed, a loss at Orlando sandwiched between strong home wins over Galaxy and Colorado. Injuries to Ingvartsen and goalkeeper Sisniega are notable losses, but the squad has shown scoring depth, netting three or more goals in several recent matches. Watch for their home attack to test a San Jose backline missing multiple regulars.
13 of 15 in Major League Soccer
Form Rating
2.3/10
San Jose sit sixth with 35 points but have gone five games without a win,...
San Jose sit sixth with 35 points but have gone five games without a win, drawing their last two 1-1 and 0-0. Their away form is actually better than home, six wins from twelve, but confidence looks shaky after four defeats in six league outings. The injury situation is severe: six players out including Timo Werner, Dan Jones and Damion Johnson, hitting both attacking and defensive options hard. Their 1.74 goals-per-game average masks recent struggles, with just two goals scored across their last three matches heading into this trip.
Showing 1-5 of 6 injuries
Availability data is sourced from official team reports and may not reflect real-time updates.
