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Columbus Crew
Columbus Crew13th in Major League Soccer (6-5-12)
VS
New York Red Bulls
New York Red Bulls10th in Major League Soccer (7-6-10)

Columbus Crew vs New York Red Bulls

Saturday, Sep 12, 2026 · --:--

ScottsMiracle-Gro Field

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AI Confidence: 47%
Columbus Crew47%Draw 25%New York Red Bulls28%

AI Predicted Winner

Columbus Crew

47%

#Confidence

Compare Odds

SportsbookColumbus Crew✦ AI PickDrawNew York Red Bulls
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AI Match Analysis

Columbus Crew vs New York Red Bulls prediction: this Major League Soccer clash at ScottsMiracle-Gro Field pits two mid-table sides fighting to stay relevant in the playoff picture. Columbus sit 13th with just 23 points from 23 games, while New York Red Bulls are three places and four points better off in 10th, though both clubs remain well outside the top tier of the Eastern Conference.

Columbus arrive out of form, winless in four of their last five outings including a Leagues Cup exit and a home loss to New England. Their defense has been leaky all season, conceding 1.7 goals per game. Red Bulls aren't much sharper offensively, scoring just 1.39 per game, but they've drawn six times and enter this one with a full week's rest compared to Columbus's quick two-day turnaround.

Bookmakers still install Columbus as clear favorites at home, reflecting their superior home record (5 wins, 2 draws, 5 losses) versus Red Bulls' modest away output. Neither side boasts a settled defense, and with combined goals per game sitting near 2.87, an open, high-event match looks likely.

Expect goals at both ends given the defensive frailties on show. Columbus's home advantage and market backing make them the pick, but this looks tighter than the odds suggest given their poor recent run and short rest.

Key Factors

Home Advantage

Moderate

Recent Form

Weak

H2H Record

Even

Injury Impact

High

Season Overview

2026 Season

Record
Columbus Crew6-5-1226.1%
New York Red Bulls7-6-1030.4%
Goals Scored
Columbus Crew34
New York Red Bulls32
Goals Conceded
Columbus Crew39
New York Red Bulls46
Goal Difference
Columbus Crew-5
New York Red Bulls-14

More Predictions

All statistics and predictions are for informational purposes only. Please gamble responsibly.

Last 10 head-to-head matchups

Columbus Crew (4)Draws (2)New York Red Bulls (4)
May 13, 26
(H)New York Red Bulls3 - 2Columbus Crew(A)
H
Oct 18, 25
(H)Columbus Crew3 - 1New York Red Bulls(A)
H
Aug 30, 25
(H)New York Red Bulls0 - 0Columbus Crew(A)
D
Nov 10, 24
(H)Columbus Crew - New York Red Bulls(A)
D
Nov 3, 24
(H)New York Red Bulls2 - 2Columbus Crew(A)
H
Oct 29, 24
(H)Columbus Crew0 - 1New York Red Bulls(A)
A
Oct 20, 24
(H)New York Red Bulls2 - 3Columbus Crew(A)
A
Mar 16, 24
(H)Columbus Crew3 - 0New York Red Bulls(A)
H
Jul 1, 23
(H)Columbus Crew2 - 1New York Red Bulls(A)
H
Mar 18, 23
(H)New York Red Bulls2 - 1Columbus Crew(A)
H

Expert H2H Analysis

AI Insight

These teams have met three times since mid-2025, with results split fairly evenly. New York Red Bulls won the most...

These teams have met three times since mid-2025, with results split fairly evenly. New York Red Bulls won the most recent meeting 3-2 in May 2026, while Columbus responded with a 3-1 home win in October 2025, and a scoreless draw occurred in between. There's no dominant pattern here — both home and away sides have found success, and goals have generally flowed when these two meet, aside from the one goalless stalemate.

Last 15 matches across all competitionsMajor League Soccer matches highlighted

Columbus Crew

10 of 15 in Major League Soccer

L
W
L
L
L
L
L
W
W
W
D
W
L
D
W

Form Rating

4.7/10

Columbus Crew Form Analysis

Trending

Columbus have collected just one win in their last six competitive matches, including Leagues Cup...

Columbus have collected just one win in their last six competitive matches, including Leagues Cup and MLS fixtures, with home form dipping recently after a loss to New England and a narrow defeat to New York City FC. Their defense remains a consistent issue, having conceded 39 goals in 23 league games. Multiple attacking players are sidelined through injury, including Abou Ali and Bangoura, thinning their attacking options. On short rest after playing just two days ago, fatigue could be a factor. Diego Rossi remains the player to watch going forward given the squad's attacking uncertainty elsewhere.

New York Red Bulls

14 of 15 in Major League Soccer

D
L
D
L
L
W
L
L
W
D
W
W
L
L
L

Form Rating

3.7/10

New York Red Bulls Form Analysis

Analysis

New York Red Bulls have struggled to find consistency, with just one win in their...

New York Red Bulls have struggled to find consistency, with just one win in their last six matches and a run of draws and losses defining recent form, including a scoreless draw with Seattle. They've failed to score in six league matches this season, a concerning trend given their reliance on quick transitions. Defensively they've been even shakier than Columbus, conceding 46 goals in 23 games. With six days of rest heading into this trip, fatigue shouldn't be a factor, and that freshness could prove decisive against a tired Columbus side.

shieldColumbus Crew4

  • W. Abou Ali profile photo

    W. Abou Ali

    Knee Injury
    Out
  • J. Thiare profile photo

    J. Thiare

    Leg Injury
    Questionable
  • R. Camacho profile photo

    R. Camacho

    Foot Injury
    Out
  • S. Bangoura profile photo

    S. Bangoura

    Ankle Injury
    Out
W. Abou AliColumbus Crew
J. ThiareColumbus Crew
R. CamachoColumbus Crew
S. BangouraColumbus Crew

shieldNew York Red Bulls3

  • A. Marcucci profile photo

    A. Marcucci

    Knee Injury
    Out
  • R. Mosquera profile photo

    R. Mosquera

    Inactive
    Questionable
  • M. Sofo profile photo

    M. Sofo

    Thigh Injury
    Questionable
A. MarcucciNew York Red Bulls
R. MosqueraNew York Red Bulls
M. SofoNew York Red Bulls

Availability data is sourced from official team reports and may not reflect real-time updates.

Columbus Crew vs New York Red Bulls - Match Analysis

Why are Columbus Crew favored despite their poor recent form?

Bookmakers price Columbus at 50.7% largely due to home advantage and a stronger home record this season (5 wins, 2 draws, 5 losses) compared to Red Bulls' inconsistent away form. However, Columbus have won just once in their last six matches across competitions, so this favoritism should be treated with some caution rather than as a lock.

What alternative bets should I consider for Columbus Crew vs New York Red Bulls?

Over 2.5 Goals looks like the strongest alternative market given both teams' leaky defenses and a combined goals-per-game rate near 2.87. For bettors wanting a safer hedge on the main pick, Draw No Bet: Columbus Crew protects against a stalemate while still leaning into the home side's edge in the underlying data.

How does the rest advantage affect this prediction?

Columbus played just two days before this match, creating a high fatigue risk, while Red Bulls have had six days to recover. That rest imbalance could blunt Columbus's home advantage, especially against a Red Bulls side that, while inconsistent, arrives physically fresher and could exploit tired legs late in the game.

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