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DC United
DC United9th in Major League Soccer (5-9-5)
VS
New England Revolution
New England Revolution3rd in Major League Soccer (9-3-7)

DC United vs New England Revolution

Wednesday, Aug 19, 2026 · --:--

Audi Field

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AI Confidence: 43%
DC United43%Draw 30%New England Revolution27%

AI Predicted Winner

DC United

43%

#Confidence

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SportsbookDC United✦ AI PickDrawNew England Revolution
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AI Match Analysis

This DC United vs New England Revolution prediction centers on a mid-table Eastern Conference clash at Audi Field, with both sides showing inconsistent recent form heading into late August.

DC United sit ninth with 24 points from 18 games, drawing a remarkable eight of their last matches — a pattern of resilience but also an inability to close out games, evidenced by five losses despite decent underlying numbers. New England Revolution occupy third place with 30 points from 19 games, boasting a stronger points-per-game rate, but their recent form has dipped, having lost their last two league outings.

Injuries bite into both squads, with DC United missing key defensive pieces and New England without several attacking options through lower-body issues, which could blunt the visitors' usual sharpness in transition.

Bookmakers make DC United narrow favorites at 45.9%, but the draw carries real weight here at 26%, backed by a combined draw rate near 30% across both teams this season. Given DC United's home draw tendency and New England's stuttering away form, expect a tight, cagey affair. The model leans toward DC United edging it at home, though a draw remains a live alternative given both teams' patterns this season.

Key Factors

Home Advantage

Moderate

Recent Form

Weak

H2H Record

Unfavorable

Injury Impact

High

Season Overview

2026 Season

Record
DC United5-8-527.8%
New England Revolution9-3-747.4%
Goals Scored
DC United26
New England Revolution29
Goals Conceded
DC United29
New England Revolution25
Goal Difference
DC United-3
New England Revolution+4

More Predictions

All statistics and predictions are for informational purposes only. Please gamble responsibly.

Last 10 head-to-head matchups

DC United (3)Draws (1)New England Revolution (6)
Apr 11, 26
(H)New England Revolution1 - 0DC United(A)
H
Aug 9, 25
(H)New England Revolution2 - 0DC United(A)
H
May 28, 25
(H)DC United1 - 1New England Revolution(A)
D
Oct 5, 24
(H)New England Revolution1 - 2DC United(A)
A
Feb 25, 24
(H)DC United3 - 1New England Revolution(A)
H
Jul 15, 23
(H)New England Revolution4 - 0DC United(A)
H
Mar 25, 23
(H)DC United1 - 2New England Revolution(A)
A
Aug 13, 22
(H)New England Revolution1 - 0DC United(A)
H
Apr 23, 22
(H)DC United3 - 2New England Revolution(A)
H
Oct 20, 21
(H)DC United2 - 3New England Revolution(A)
A

Expert H2H Analysis

AI Insight

New England Revolution has dominated this fixture recently, winning three of the last four meetings since 2024, including a 1-0...

New England Revolution has dominated this fixture recently, winning three of the last four meetings since 2024, including a 1-0 win in April 2026 and a 2-0 away victory in August 2025. The only draw came in May 2025 at DC United. New England has generally traveled well in this matchup, though DC United did win at home in February 2024. The recent head-to-head trend favors the visitors, adding intrigue to the bookmakers' narrow home favoritism this time.

Last 15 matches across all competitionsMajor League Soccer matches highlighted

DC United

13 of 15 in Major League Soccer

D
D
W
D
D
D
D
L
D
W
W
D
D
L
L

Form Rating

5/10

DC United Form Analysis

Trending

DC United have struggled for consistency, winning just five of 18 games while drawing an...

DC United have struggled for consistency, winning just five of 18 games while drawing an eye-catching eight — nearly half their season. Recent results include back-to-back 1-1 and 2-2 draws against CF Montreal and Nashville SC, reflecting a leaky defense that's conceded 29 goals. At home this season they're just 3-3-3, a modest platform for hosting a stronger opponent. Injuries to key defensive personnel compound defensive frailties. Attacking output has been solid enough at 1.44 goals per game, and if they can find control in midfield, veteran creativity going forward remains their best route to breaking the draw habit.

New England Revolution

12 of 15 in Major League Soccer

L
L
D
W
D
D
D
L
W
L
W
W
L
D
W

Form Rating

5/10

New England Revolution Form Analysis

Analysis

New England Revolution sit third in the East with a healthy 1.58 points-per-game average, built...

New England Revolution sit third in the East with a healthy 1.58 points-per-game average, built on a strong 8-1-2 home record. However, their away form is the concern — just one win in eight road trips this season, with five losses. They've also lost their last two matches, including a 2-1 defeat at Houston and a narrow loss at Toronto. Multiple attacking injuries, including forwards out with hamstring and lower-body issues, will test their depth on the road. Their defense has been reasonably solid at 1.32 goals conceded per game, but replicating home form away from Gillette Stadium remains their biggest challenge this season.

shieldDC United3

  • K. Rowles profile photo

    K. Rowles

    Thigh Injury
    Out
  • G. Segal profile photo

    G. Segal

    Leg Injury
    Out
  • L. Bartlett profile photo

    L. Bartlett

    Yellow Cards
    Out
K. RowlesDC United
G. SegalDC United
L. BartlettDC United

shieldNew England Revolution4

  • L. Campana profile photo

    L. Campana

    Hamstring Injury
    Out
  • A. Farrell profile photo

    A. Farrell

    Lower-Body Injury
    Out
  • I. Feingold profile photo

    I. Feingold

    Lower-Body Injury
    Out
  • L. Langoni profile photo

    L. Langoni

    Lower-Body Injury
    Out
L. CampanaNew England Revolution
A. FarrellNew England Revolution
I. FeingoldNew England Revolution
L. LangoniNew England Revolution

Availability data is sourced from official team reports and may not reflect real-time updates.

DC United vs New England Revolution - Match Analysis

Why is a draw a serious possibility in the DC United vs New England Revolution prediction?

DC United have drawn eight of their 18 league games this season, an unusually high rate, while New England's away form has been shaky with just one win in eight road trips. The combined draw rate between these teams sits near 30%, and bookmakers price the draw at 26% — well above the season average, reflecting how evenly matched this fixture looks despite the conference table gap.

Why might New England Revolution struggle despite their higher league position?

New England sit third in the East, but their form away from Gillette Stadium tells a different story — just one win in eight road games this season, with five losses. They've also lost back-to-back matches heading into this trip, and multiple attacking players are sidelined with lower-body injuries, which could blunt their usual creative edge against a well-organized DC United side at home.

What alternative bets should I consider for DC United vs New England Revolution?

Draw No Bet: DC United provides insurance against their frequent home draws while still profiting from a win. Over 2.5 Goals is also compelling, with combined goals per game near 3.0 this season and both defenses prone to lapses. These alternative markets offer better risk-adjusted value than backing DC United outright on the moneyline given their inconsistent home results.

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