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Sports Illustrated Stadium
St. Louis City won
New York Red Bulls vs St. Louis City prediction looks tilted toward the visitors, with the Red Bulls' inconsistent MLS campaign clashing against a St. Louis side that has surged into playoff contention. New York sits eighth in the Eastern Conference with a negative goal difference, while St. Louis City ranks fifth in the West with nine goals scored above conceded across 26 matches.
The Red Bulls have won just two of their last five, with three losses mixed among a chaotic run of results, though back-to-back victories over New York City FC and Columbus Crew show they can still find goals on the road. At home this season they've managed only four wins from twelve, a concerning number given tonight's assignment.
St. Louis City arrive full of confidence, unbeaten in their last six across all competitions and scoring freely, including a 4-2 win over Minnesota and a 3-1 US Open Cup victory. Their away record of four wins, five draws and four losses is more modest, but the attacking numbers travel well.
Bookmakers make St. Louis City clear favorites at 49.1%, and the underlying numbers support that lean — St. Louis boast the superior points-per-game mark and a much healthier goal difference. Expect a competitive, goal-involved match with St. Louis City edging it, though New York's home form gives them enough of a puncher's chance to keep the draw very much alive.
Last 3 head-to-head matchups
These clubs have met just three times in friendly competitions over the past two years, with one meeting in January...
These clubs have met just three times in friendly competitions over the past two years, with one meeting in January 2026 and another in January 2025. New York Red Bulls won the most recent encounter 3-1 at home, but St. Louis City claimed the previous meeting 1-0 on the same ground. With no competitive MLS head-to-head sample and a split recent record, this history offers little predictive weight for tonight's league clash.
Last 15 matches across all competitionsMajor League Soccer matches highlighted
15 of 15 in Major League Soccer
Form Rating
5/10
New York Red Bulls have been erratic, winning two of their last five with a...
New York Red Bulls have been erratic, winning two of their last five with a mixed bag of results including a home loss to Nashville and a heavy defeat at Los Angeles FC. Their home record this season — four wins, three draws, five losses from twelve — is unconvincing, and they've conceded 1.85 goals per game overall, the fourth-worst rate in the East. Multiple players are missing due to international duty, thinning an already stretched squad, while Che, Marcucci and Marshall-Rutty are all listed as questionable through injury. Their attack has shown occasional sharpness, with recent low-scoring wins over NYCFC and Columbus offering a sliver of encouragement heading into this one.
13 of 15 in Major League Soccer
Form Rating
8.7/10
St. Louis City are red-hot, unbeaten in six straight across MLS and the US Open...
St. Louis City are red-hot, unbeaten in six straight across MLS and the US Open Cup, including statement wins over Minnesota United and Vancouver Whitecaps. Their away form of four wins, five draws and four losses is solid without being dominant, but they've scored 1.73 goals per game overall, comfortably outpacing their opponents tonight. A handful of squad players are questionable with ankle and hip issues, and Downs is away on international duty, but the core group driving this run remains available. Their balance of goals scored and conceded, plus a fifth-place standing in the West, makes them the form team entering this fixture.
2026 Season
Showing 1-5 of 11 injuries
Availability data is sourced from official team reports and may not reflect real-time updates.
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New York Red Bulls vs St. Louis City - Match Analysis
St. Louis City hold a significant points-per-game edge (1.69 vs 1.27) and a positive goal difference of +9 compared to New York's -14. They're unbeaten in six matches across competitions, while the Red Bulls have struggled defensively at home, conceding at a high rate. Bookmakers reflect this gap clearly, pricing St. Louis as considerably stronger on current form and underlying quality.
It's plausible. New York have shown flashes of quality with recent away wins over NYCFC and Columbus, and home advantage still counts for something even amid a rough campaign. St. Louis City are missing a couple of squad players to injury, and if New York's defense holds up better than recent trends suggest, a draw or shock win isn't out of the question.
Beyond the straight win market, Over 2.5 Goals stands out given a combined 3.04 goals per game between these sides this season. Draw No Bet on St. Louis City is another sensible option for backing the favorite while hedging against a draw. Both Teams to Score also has merit considering both defenses have been leaky in recent matches.
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