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Yankee Stadium
New England Revolution won
New York City FC host New England Revolution in a Major League Soccer clash that looks tightly contested on paper, with home advantage giving NYCFC a slight edge. Both clubs are expected to field their regular starting lineups, with no injuries or suspensions significant enough to alter the tactical setup. Mild conditions with a chance of light rain are forecast, but nothing severe enough to disrupt the flow of play.
The key storyline here is a clash of contrasting strengths: NYCFC's home comfort against New England's superior points-per-game form on the road. That statistical tug-of-war is central to why this projects as a close three-way affair rather than a clear-cut favorite situation. NYCFC's ability to control matches at home has historically been a difference-maker, but the Revolution's consistency this season means they can't be discounted as visitors.
With the market and underlying data both pointing to a narrow edge for the hosts, NYCFC are given a modest lean to win, though the draw remains a live outcome given how evenly matched these sides appear. The 41-28-31 split reflects a genuinely competitive fixture rather than a lopsided mismatch.
For bettors, this shapes up as a match where backing NYCFC to win narrowly, or exploring draw-no-bet and both-teams-to-score markets, may offer better value than a straight moneyline punt. Given the low-confidence rating, disciplined stake management is advised in this MLS matchup.
Last 10 head-to-head matchups
These sides have met four times since 2024, with New York City FC winning twice, New England Revolution winning once,...
These sides have met four times since 2024, with New York City FC winning twice, New England Revolution winning once, and one draw — the most recent meeting in August 2026 ending 1-1. That draw fits the recent pattern between these two, who have shared tightly contested, low-margin results in three of their last four encounters. Neither side has dominated this fixture recently, reinforcing the idea of another close, competitive matchup at Yankee Stadium.
Last 15 matches across all competitionsMajor League Soccer matches highlighted
11 of 15 in Major League Soccer
Form Rating
4.3/10
New York City FC have won only once in their last eight matches across all...
New York City FC have won only once in their last eight matches across all competitions, drawing five and losing two, including a scoreless stalemate with league-leading Nashville. Their home record this season is modest — four wins, four draws, four losses from twelve — showing they're far from dominant even with the Yankee Stadium advantage. A significant injury list, including Talles Magno and Maxi Moralez, has stripped attacking depth and creativity from the squad. Defensively they've held up reasonably well with four clean sheets, but scoring consistency remains the issue, having failed to find the net in four matches this season. Watch for their response after back-to-back losses in August against strong quality of opposition.
13 of 15 in Major League Soccer
Form Rating
5/10
New England Revolution sit fourth in the Eastern Conference with the better points-per-game figure in...
New England Revolution sit fourth in the Eastern Conference with the better points-per-game figure in this matchup, though their most recent result was a 2-1 loss at LA Galaxy. Before that they beat Columbus Crew 3-1 and drew with NYCFC themselves in August. Their away form is more mixed than their overall record suggests — three wins, two draws, five losses on the road — but they've shown they can score goals in bunches, netting four against Atlanta and three against both Columbus and DC United this season. Hamstring issues to Latif Blessing-style creative pieces like Campana are worth monitoring, but the squad depth has carried them through injuries so far.
2026 Season
Showing 1-5 of 7 injuries
Availability data is sourced from official team reports and may not reflect real-time updates.
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New York City FC vs New England Revolution - Match Analysis
Bookmakers price NYCFC at 44.2% largely due to home advantage, but the underlying data tells a different story. New England hold a better points-per-game record, sit three places higher, and have scored more freely on the road this season. NYCFC's own attack has stalled recently with four failed-to-score games and a lengthy injury list hitting key creative players like Talles Magno and Maxi Moralez, making the home win far from a lock.
Draw No Bet: New England Revolution offers value given their superior form metrics, effectively insuring against a home win while banking their edge. Over 2.5 Goals also stands out with combined scoring averaging 3.21 per game this season. Both markets hedge against the uncertainty in this closely contested fixture better than a straight moneyline bet on either side.
Both clubs currently sit inside playoff qualification positions, with New England fourth and New York City seventh in the Eastern Conference. Points here matter for playoff seeding as the regular season winds down, with New England looking to consolidate a higher seed while NYCFC need results to keep pace with the pack above the playoff cutoff line.
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