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Yankee Stadium
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AI Predicted Winner
New York City FC
41%
#Confidence
| Sportsbook | New York City FC✦ AI Pick | Draw | New England Revolution |
|---|---|---|---|
PinnacleBest Odds | |||
Bet365 | |||
Marathonbet | |||
| Best Odds |
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New York City FC vs New England Revolution prediction: this Yankee Stadium clash pits a mid-table New York side stuck in a rut against a Revolution team sitting fourth with the league's better points-per-game rate this season.
NYCFC have won just once in their last several outings, drawing three straight before that August loss to Philadelphia, and the goalless stalemate with league leaders Nashville shows a team still capable defensively but lacking punch up front, with four failed-to-score games this season. A lengthy injury list including Talles Magno and Maxi Moralez has hurt their attacking creativity.
New England arrive off a loss at LA Galaxy but their underlying form is stronger, winning three of their last six with an away record showing a healthy scoring rate. Their 1.68 points-per-game mark comfortably outstrips NYCFC's 1.26, and the head-to-head history in the last two seasons has favored the visitors more often than not.
Bookmakers still lean toward New York City FC at home, and Yankee Stadium form (four home wins from twelve) offers some backing. But with New England's superior away scoring output and NYCFC's stuttering attack, this looks closer to a coin-flip than the odds suggest. Expect a tight, goal-involved contest with a slight edge to the home side, though a draw remains a live outcome given both teams' recent draw-heavy patterns.
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2026 Season
Last 10 head-to-head matchups
These sides have met four times since 2024, with New York City FC winning twice, New England Revolution winning once,...
These sides have met four times since 2024, with New York City FC winning twice, New England Revolution winning once, and one draw — the most recent meeting in August 2026 ending 1-1. That draw fits the recent pattern between these two, who have shared tightly contested, low-margin results in three of their last four encounters. Neither side has dominated this fixture recently, reinforcing the idea of another close, competitive matchup at Yankee Stadium.
Last 15 matches across all competitionsMajor League Soccer matches highlighted
11 of 15 in Major League Soccer
Form Rating
4.3/10
New York City FC have won only once in their last eight matches across all...
New York City FC have won only once in their last eight matches across all competitions, drawing five and losing two, including a scoreless stalemate with league-leading Nashville. Their home record this season is modest — four wins, four draws, four losses from twelve — showing they're far from dominant even with the Yankee Stadium advantage. A significant injury list, including Talles Magno and Maxi Moralez, has stripped attacking depth and creativity from the squad. Defensively they've held up reasonably well with four clean sheets, but scoring consistency remains the issue, having failed to find the net in four matches this season. Watch for their response after back-to-back losses in August against strong quality of opposition.
13 of 15 in Major League Soccer
Form Rating
5/10
New England Revolution sit fourth in the Eastern Conference with the better points-per-game figure in...
New England Revolution sit fourth in the Eastern Conference with the better points-per-game figure in this matchup, though their most recent result was a 2-1 loss at LA Galaxy. Before that they beat Columbus Crew 3-1 and drew with NYCFC themselves in August. Their away form is more mixed than their overall record suggests — three wins, two draws, five losses on the road — but they've shown they can score goals in bunches, netting four against Atlanta and three against both Columbus and DC United this season. Hamstring issues to Latif Blessing-style creative pieces like Campana are worth monitoring, but the squad depth has carried them through injuries so far.
Showing 1-5 of 7 injuries
Availability data is sourced from official team reports and may not reflect real-time updates.
New York City FC vs New England Revolution - Match Analysis
Bookmakers price NYCFC at 44.2% largely due to home advantage, but the underlying data tells a different story. New England hold a better points-per-game record, sit three places higher, and have scored more freely on the road this season. NYCFC's own attack has stalled recently with four failed-to-score games and a lengthy injury list hitting key creative players like Talles Magno and Maxi Moralez, making the home win far from a lock.
Draw No Bet: New England Revolution offers value given their superior form metrics, effectively insuring against a home win while banking their edge. Over 2.5 Goals also stands out with combined scoring averaging 3.21 per game this season. Both markets hedge against the uncertainty in this closely contested fixture better than a straight moneyline bet on either side.
Both clubs currently sit inside playoff qualification positions, with New England fourth and New York City seventh in the Eastern Conference. Points here matter for playoff seeding as the regular season winds down, with New England looking to consolidate a higher seed while NYCFC need results to keep pace with the pack above the playoff cutoff line.
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