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Colorado Rapids
Colorado Rapids11th in Major League Soccer (7-1-10)
VS
Sporting Kansas City
Sporting Kansas City15th in Major League Soccer (4-2-12)

Colorado Rapids vs Sporting Kansas City

Sunday, Aug 16, 2026 · --:--

Dick's Sporting Goods Park

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AI Confidence: 61%
Colorado Rapids61%Draw 20%Sporting Kansas City19%

AI Predicted Winner

Colorado Rapids

61%

#Confidence

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SportsbookColorado Rapids✦ AI PickDrawSporting Kansas City
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AI Match Analysis

Colorado Rapids vs Sporting Kansas City prediction: this Major League Soccer preview points firmly toward a home win at Dick's Sporting Goods Park. Colorado sit 11th with 22 points, while Kansas City are rooted to the foot of the Western Conference on just 14 points with the league's worst goal difference at minus-28.

The Rapids have won five of eight at home this season and conceded only 1.39 goals per game overall, a solid platform against a Kansas City side shipping 2.56 goals per game on average. Sporting have lost their last five in all competitions, scoring just once across that stretch, and their away form reads two wins from nine with seven defeats.

Colorado's home comfort, backed by a healthy 13 days of rest, gives them a clear tactical edge, though a stretched injury list including a missing goalkeeper is worth monitoring. Kansas City are also down a defender through suspension and carry fresh muscle and ankle knocks into a game where confidence is already low.

With bookmakers pricing Colorado at 63.3% to win and Kansas City just 16.6%, the market strongly supports the home side. Expect Colorado to control possession and territory, with Kansas City's leaky defense the deciding factor. A home win, likely accompanied by goals at both ends given Colorado's own defensive frailties this season, is the most probable outcome here.

Key Factors

Home Advantage

Moderate

Recent Form

Moderate

H2H Record

Even

Injury Impact

High

Season Overview

2026 Season

Record
Colorado Rapids7-1-1038.9%
Sporting Kansas City4-2-1222.2%
Goals Scored
Colorado Rapids27
Sporting Kansas City18
Goals Conceded
Colorado Rapids25
Sporting Kansas City46
Goal Difference
Colorado Rapids+2
Sporting Kansas City-28

More Predictions

All statistics and predictions are for informational purposes only. Please gamble responsibly.

Last 10 head-to-head matchups

Colorado Rapids (4)Draws (2)Sporting Kansas City (4)
Mar 22, 26
(H)Sporting Kansas City1 - 4Colorado Rapids(A)
A
Aug 31, 25
(H)Sporting Kansas City4 - 2Colorado Rapids(A)
H
Jul 5, 25
(H)Colorado Rapids1 - 2Sporting Kansas City(A)
A
Sep 19, 24
(H)Sporting Kansas City4 - 1Colorado Rapids(A)
H
Jul 5, 24
(H)Colorado Rapids2 - 1Sporting Kansas City(A)
H
Apr 9, 23
(H)Sporting Kansas City0 - 1Colorado Rapids(A)
A
Mar 5, 23
(H)Colorado Rapids0 - 0Sporting Kansas City(A)
D
May 19, 22
(H)Sporting Kansas City2 - 1Colorado Rapids(A)
H
Mar 13, 22
(H)Colorado Rapids2 - 0Sporting Kansas City(A)
H
Jan 29, 22
(H)Sporting Kansas City0 - 0Colorado Rapids(A)
D

Expert H2H Analysis

AI Insight

These sides met three times across 2025 and early 2026, with Colorado winning the most recent clash 4-1 in March...

These sides met three times across 2025 and early 2026, with Colorado winning the most recent clash 4-1 in March 2026 after Kansas City won the prior two meetings, including a 4-2 away win in August 2025. The head-to-head has swung both ways historically, but Colorado's current form and Kansas City's league-worst defense make the recent 4-1 romp a more relevant signal than the earlier away wins for Sporting.

Last 15 matches across all competitionsMajor League Soccer matches highlighted

Colorado Rapids

11 of 15 in Major League Soccer

W
L
W
D
L
W
L
W
L
L
W
L
D
L
W

Form Rating

4.7/10

Colorado Rapids Form Analysis

Trending

Colorado sit 11th with 22 points from 18 games, boasting a much stronger home record...

Colorado sit 11th with 22 points from 18 games, boasting a much stronger home record of five wins from eight than their away form suggests. A recent win over Austin and a clean sheet against San Diego show encouraging signs, though defeats to St. Louis City and FC Dallas highlight inconsistency. The Rapids average 1.5 goals scored and 1.39 conceded per game, roughly balanced numbers for a mid-table side. Injury concerns are notable, with goalkeeper Z. Steffen and midfielder T. Ku-DiPietro both ruled out, while several others are questionable. Attacking output has been steady rather than spectacular, but home advantage remains their biggest asset this fixture.

Sporting Kansas City

14 of 15 in Major League Soccer

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L
W
L
L
W
W
L
D
L
L
L
L
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L

Form Rating

2.3/10

Sporting Kansas City Form Analysis

Analysis

Kansas City are bottom of the Western Conference with just 14 points and a league-worst...

Kansas City are bottom of the Western Conference with just 14 points and a league-worst minus-28 goal difference. They've lost five straight matches, conceding heavily along the way, including a 6-0 defeat to Portland and a 4-0 loss to Los Angeles FC. Their away record of two wins from nine games, with seven losses, underlines how vulnerable this side is on the road. Conceding 2.56 goals per game on average is the worst mark in MLS, and a suspension for a red card plus multiple questionable players compounds their problems. Confidence appears extremely low heading into Colorado.

shieldColorado Rapids5

  • Z. Steffen profile photo

    Z. Steffen

    Shoulder Injury
    Out
  • T. Ku-DiPietro profile photo

    T. Ku-DiPietro

    Shoulder Injury
    Out
  • J. Travis profile photo

    J. Travis

    Ankle Injury
    Questionable
  • K. Stewart-Baynes profile photo

    K. Stewart-Baynes

    Leg Injury
    Questionable
  • M. Diop profile photo

    M. Diop

    Knee Injury
    Questionable
Z. SteffenColorado Rapids
T. Ku-DiPietroColorado Rapids
J. TravisColorado Rapids
K. Stewart-BaynesColorado Rapids
M. DiopColorado Rapids

shieldSporting Kansas City4

  • L. Johnsen profile photo

    L. Johnsen

    Red Card
    Out
  • J. Reynolds profile photo

    J. Reynolds

    Muscle Injury
    Questionable
  • T. Calheira profile photo

    T. Calheira

    Ankle Injury
    Questionable
  • Diego Borges profile photo

    Diego Borges

    Muscle Injury
    Questionable
L. JohnsenSporting Kansas City
J. ReynoldsSporting Kansas City
T. CalheiraSporting Kansas City
Diego BorgesSporting Kansas City

Availability data is sourced from official team reports and may not reflect real-time updates.

Colorado Rapids vs Sporting Kansas City - Match Analysis

Why are Colorado Rapids strongly favored against Sporting Kansas City?

Colorado hold a four-place position advantage, a stronger points-per-game rate, and a significantly better defensive record than Kansas City, who have conceded 46 goals in 18 games. Kansas City's five-match losing streak and league-worst minus-28 goal difference reinforce the gap. Combined with home advantage at Dick's Sporting Goods Park, these factors explain the bookmakers' 63.3% implied probability for a Rapids win.

What alternative bets should I consider for Colorado Rapids vs Sporting Kansas City?

Beyond the straight home win, Draw No Bet: Colorado Rapids offers strong value by removing draw risk while still capturing the bulk of the win probability. Over 2.5 Goals is also appealing given Kansas City's leaky defense and Colorado's own occasional defensive lapses, with combined goals per game sitting at 2.5 this season.

How does recent form affect this Colorado Rapids vs Sporting Kansas City prediction?

Kansas City's five-match losing streak, scoring just once in that span, is a major red flag heading into this game. Colorado's form is mixed but includes recent wins over Austin and San Diego, plus a much stronger home record than away form. This form disparity strongly supports Colorado as favorites, with Kansas City's confidence and defensive solidity both at season lows.

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