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Stadium Municipal
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AI Predicted Winner
Toulouse
48%
#Confidence
| Sportsbook | Toulouse✦ AI Pick | Draw | Le Havre |
|---|---|---|---|
1xBetBest Odds | |||
Marathonbet | |||
Betano | |||
| Best Odds |
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Toulouse vs Le Havre prediction: this Ligue 1 clash at Stadium Municipal pits two struggling sides fighting to escape the relegation zone, with Toulouse 17th and Le Havre just above them in 16th. Both teams enter with identical points-per-game returns and matching win-less records so far this season.
Toulouse have lost two of their last three, including a home defeat to Lyon, and have scored just twice in three matches. Le Havre are similarly toothless, managing only two goals themselves and shipping four, though their draw against Lyon shows some defensive resolve is possible.
Injuries compound Toulouse's issues, with Restes, Francis and Donnum all unavailable, while Le Havre's absentee list is even longer with seven players out including Zagadou and Toure in defense. Neither side looks well-equipped to control this game.
Bookmakers make Toulouse the favorite at home, and with Le Havre missing key defensive personnel, Toulouse's slight edge in squad availability could prove decisive. Expect a tight, low-scoring affair given the combined goals-per-game sits at just 1.34. Toulouse to edge this via home advantage remains the most sensible read, though the draw carries real weight given how evenly matched these sides are on paper.
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2026/2027 Season
Last 10 head-to-head matchups
Recent meetings favor Le Havre slightly, having won at home in February 2026 (2-1) and drawn 0-0 in Toulouse in...
Recent meetings favor Le Havre slightly, having won at home in February 2026 (2-1) and drawn 0-0 in Toulouse in November 2025. Toulouse's last home win over Le Havre in this fixture came back in September 2024. Across the last two years, results have split fairly evenly between both sides, with low-scoring, tightly contested matches being the clear pattern between these two clubs.
Last 15 matches across all competitionsLigue 1 matches highlighted
11 of 15 in Ligue 1
Form Rating
4/10
Toulouse sit 17th with just one point from three matches, having lost two and drawn...
Toulouse sit 17th with just one point from three matches, having lost two and drawn one, scoring only twice while conceding five. Their home form is particularly worrying — two defeats from two games at Stadium Municipal, including a shutout loss to Lyon. The attack has badly stalled, failing to score in two of three outings. Injuries to Restes, Francis and Donnum further thin an already struggling squad. With no clean sheets and a negative goal difference of minus-three, Toulouse desperately need a response at home to arrest their poor start to the campaign.
8 of 15 in Ligue 1
Form Rating
4/10
Le Havre also sit bottom-half with one point from three, one draw and two losses,...
Le Havre also sit bottom-half with one point from three, one draw and two losses, scoring twice and conceding four. Their away form shows one point from one game, a draw at Lyon, offering a sliver of resilience on the road. However, a lengthy injury list — including Zagadou, Toure, Mambimbi and five others — significantly weakens their options, particularly defensively. Their attack has also misfired, netting just twice all season. With such threadbare resources, Le Havre will likely prioritize containment over ambition in this away fixture against a fellow struggler.
Showing 1-5 of 8 injuries
Availability data is sourced from official team reports and may not reflect real-time updates.
Toulouse vs Le Havre - Match Analysis
Toulouse haven't actually won at Stadium Municipal this season, losing both home matches so far. While bookmakers still favor them at 52.1%, their poor home form and multiple injury absences temper genuine confidence. Le Havre's away draw against Lyon also shows they can be resilient on the road, making this far from a guaranteed home win despite the market's lean.
Under 2.5 Goals stands out given both sides have combined for just 1.34 goals per game this season and neither attack has clicked. Draw No Bet: Toulouse is also worth considering as a hedge, protecting against a repeat of last season's scoreless draw between these two while still capturing the home team's slight edge in market pricing.
Both clubs sit in the bottom three with just one point apiece after three rounds, making this a genuine six-pointer in the relegation battle. Toulouse are 17th, Le Havre 16th, separated by goal difference alone. A win here would provide crucial early-season breathing room, while another defeat risks an anxious campaign for either side.
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