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Auxerre
Auxerre18th in Ligue 1 (0-0-3)
VS
Nice
Nice17th in Ligue 1 (0-1-1)

Auxerre vs Nice

Saturday, Sep 12, 2026 · --:--

Unknown

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AI Confidence: 31%
Auxerre37%Draw 31%Nice32%

AI Predicted Winner

Draw

31%

#Confidence

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SportsbookAuxerreDraw✦ AI PickNice
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AI Match Analysis

This Ligue 1 relegation-zone clash sees Auxerre host Nice with both sides bottom of the table after a torrid start. Auxerre vs Nice prediction hinges on which side stops leaking goals first, since neither has managed a win yet this season.

Auxerre have lost all three league matches, shipping 11 goals including a 2-5 defeat to Lens, and sit rock bottom without a point. Their defensive injury list is alarming, with multiple centre-backs and midfielders ruled out, compounding an already shaky backline.

Nice have fared marginally better on points but have failed to score in either league match so far, drawing with Lorient and losing to Paris FC. Their attack has gone blank, though they've at least kept one clean sheet.

Bookmakers make Auxerre narrow favorites at home despite the dreadful form, likely reflecting Nice's own goalless struggles up front. With both teams desperate for a first win and defensive frailties on Auxerre's side against a toothless Nice attack, this looks like a low-scoring, tightly contested match. Expect a cagey affair where a draw or narrow home win are the most probable outcomes, with goals at a premium given Nice's inability to find the net through two matches.

Key Factors

Home Advantage

Moderate

Recent Form

Weak

H2H Record

Unfavorable

Injury Impact

High

Season Overview

2026/2027 Season

Record
Auxerre0-0-30.0%
Nice0-1-10.0%
Goals Scored
Auxerre4
Nice0
Goals Conceded
Auxerre11
Nice3
Goal Difference
Auxerre-7
Nice-3

More Predictions

All statistics and predictions are for informational purposes only. Please gamble responsibly.

Last 10 head-to-head matchups

Auxerre (3)Draws (3)Nice (4)
May 10, 26
(H)Auxerre2 - 1Nice(A)
H
Aug 23, 25
(H)Nice3 - 1Auxerre(A)
H
Mar 14, 25
(H)Nice1 - 1Auxerre(A)
D
Aug 18, 24
(H)Auxerre2 - 1Nice(A)
H
Jan 6, 24
(H)Nice0 - 0Auxerre(A)
H
Mar 3, 23
(H)Nice1 - 1Auxerre(A)
D
Oct 16, 22
(H)Auxerre1 - 1Nice(A)
D
Oct 31, 18
(H)Nice3 - 2Auxerre(A)
H
Apr 21, 12
(H)Nice1 - 0Auxerre(A)
H
Dec 11, 11
(H)Auxerre2 - 1Nice(A)
H

Expert H2H Analysis

AI Insight

These sides met in May 2026, with Auxerre winning 2-1 at home, continuing a pattern of narrow, competitive fixtures between...

These sides met in May 2026, with Auxerre winning 2-1 at home, continuing a pattern of narrow, competitive fixtures between them. Going back through 2025, Nice won 3-1 away and the reverse fixture in Nice ended level at 1-1. Across the last two years, Auxerre have the edge with two wins to Nice's one, plus a draw, in an evenly matched, low-margin rivalry that rarely produces one-sided results.

Last 15 matches across all competitionsLigue 1 matches highlighted

Auxerre

8 of 15 in Ligue 1

L
L
L
W
D
D
D
L
D
W
W
W
W
L
D

Form Rating

5/10

Auxerre Form Analysis

Trending

Auxerre have lost all three league games this season, conceding 11 goals while scoring just...

Auxerre have lost all three league games this season, conceding 11 goals while scoring just four, and sit dead last without a point. Their defense has been dreadful conceding heavily in every match, and a long injury list including multiple defenders and midfielders makes matters worse. They did show some fight scoring twice against both Angers and Lens, suggesting an attacking spark exists even if the back line remains porous. With low rest-day fatigue risk and eight days since their last match, freshness isn't the issue, execution and organization are. Watch for continued defensive vulnerability against Nice.

Nice

8 of 15 in Ligue 1

L
D
D
L
L
W
W
W
D
L
D
L
D
D
W

Form Rating

4.7/10

Nice Form Analysis

Analysis

Nice have one point from two league matches, drawing with Lorient and losing to Paris...

Nice have one point from two league matches, drawing with Lorient and losing to Paris FC, but strikingly have failed to score in either fixture. Their goals-scored-per-game rate of zero is a major red flag heading into this match, despite a solid defensive record limiting them to just three conceded. Several regulars are missing through injury including key defensive and midfield pieces, which may explain their disjointed start. Thirteen days of rest gives them time to reset, but until they find the net, results will remain hard to come by even against weak opposition like Auxerre.

shieldAuxerre7

  • A. Tuanzebe profile photo

    A. Tuanzebe

    Lacking Match Fitness
    Out
  • A. Diousse profile photo

    A. Diousse

    Knee Injury
    Out
  • F. Sierralta profile photo

    F. Sierralta

    Injury
    Out
  • B. Okoh profile photo

    B. Okoh

    Knee Injury
    Out
  • M. Senaya profile photo

    M. Senaya

    Injury
    Out
A. TuanzebeAuxerre
A. DiousseAuxerre
F. SierraltaAuxerre
B. OkohAuxerre
M. SenayaAuxerre
S. FofanaAuxerre
F. OppegardAuxerre

Showing 1-5 of 7 injuries

shieldNice4

  • M. Sanson profile photo

    M. Sanson

    Surgery
    Out
  • L. Abergel profile photo

    L. Abergel

    Knee Injury
    Out
  • A. Abdi profile photo

    A. Abdi

    Surgery
    Out
  • M. Bombito profile photo

    M. Bombito

    Leg Injury
    Out
M. SansonNice
L. AbergelNice
A. AbdiNice
M. BombitoNice

Availability data is sourced from official team reports and may not reflect real-time updates.

Auxerre vs Nice - Match Analysis

Why is a draw a realistic outcome for Auxerre vs Nice?

Both teams are bottom of Ligue 1 with almost identical struggles, Auxerre concede goals in bunches while Nice can't find the net at all. The bookmaker draw probability of 29.3% reflects how evenly matched these two out-of-form sides are. With combined goals per game sitting at just 1.33, a tight, low-scoring stalemate is entirely plausible in this relegation six-pointer.

What alternative bets should I consider for Auxerre vs Nice?

Under 2.5 Goals looks like the smartest alternative given Nice haven't scored in their opening two league matches and Auxerre's attack has been patchy. A Draw No Bet on Auxerre also offers a safer route to backing the home side without losing your stake if the match ends level, which given both teams' current form is a genuine possibility.

What are the stakes of this game for Auxerre and Nice?

Both clubs sit in the relegation zone without a win this season, making this an early-season six-pointer with real psychological importance. Auxerre are rock bottom with zero points, while Nice sit just one place above them. A win here would provide crucial momentum and breathing room, while another poor result risks entrenching either side at the foot of the table.

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Strong Pick

Lens vs Lorient

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