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Auxerre
Auxerre12th in Ligue 1 (3-0-4)
VS
Le Mans
Le Mans16th in Ligue 1 (1-3-3)

Auxerre vs Le Mans

Sunday, Oct 25, 2026 · --:--

Stade de l'Abbé-Deschamps

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AI Confidence: 45%
Auxerre45%Draw 24%Le Mans31%

AI Predicted Winner

Auxerre

45%

#Confidence

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SportsbookAuxerre✦ AI PickDrawLe Mans
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AI Match Analysis

Auxerre vs Le Mans is a bottom-of-the-table Ligue 1 clash between two sides level on six points near the relegation zone. Auxerre sit 16th, Le Mans just above in 15th, and both arrive with fragile form heading into this crucial fixture at Stade de l'Abbé-Deschamps.

Auxerre have been dreadful on the road (three defeats from three) but notably sturdier at home, winning two of three with a respectable goals record. Still, the squad is hit hard by injuries, with nine players sidelined including several defenders, raising questions about backline stability.

Le Mans have cooled off badly, losing their last two matches including a 3-0 home defeat to Toulouse and a heavy loss at PSG. Their away form is similarly shaky, with just one win all season on the road and a leaky defense conceding over two goals per game.

Bookmakers slightly favor Auxerre at home, and the home record supports that lean, but this remains a tight contest between two low-confidence sides. Expect goals at both ends given the defensive frailties on display. The model leans toward a narrow Auxerre win, driven by home advantage and a better home scoring record, but this is far from a lock given the absentee list and Le Mans' capacity to find the net.

Key Factors

Home Advantage

Moderate

Recent Form

Strong

H2H Record

Even

Injury Impact

High

Season Overview

2026/2027 Season

Record
Auxerre3-0-442.9%
Le Mans1-3-314.3%
Goals Scored
Auxerre11
Le Mans10
Goals Conceded
Auxerre17
Le Mans15
Goal Difference
Auxerre-6
Le Mans-5

More Predictions

All statistics and predictions are for informational purposes only. Please gamble responsibly.

Last 5 head-to-head matchups

Auxerre (3)Draws (1)Le Mans (1)
Aug 1, 20
(H)Auxerre3 - 2Le Mans(A)
H
Jan 10, 20
(H)Le Mans0 - 1Auxerre(A)
A
Aug 2, 19
(H)Auxerre2 - 0Le Mans(A)
H
Jan 25, 13
(H)Auxerre1 - 1Le Mans(A)
D
Aug 20, 12
(H)Le Mans3 - 1Auxerre(A)
H

Expert H2H Analysis

AI Insight

There is no head-to-head meeting between Auxerre and Le Mans within the last two years — their last encounter dates...

There is no head-to-head meeting between Auxerre and Le Mans within the last two years — their last encounter dates back to 2020 in a friendly. With no recent competitive history to draw from, this preview leans entirely on current-season form, league standings, and underlying statistical trends rather than past meetings between these two sides.

Last 15 matches across all competitionsLigue 1 matches highlighted

Auxerre

7 of 15 in Ligue 1

W
L
W
W
W
L
L
L
W
D
D
D
L
D
W

Form Rating

5.3/10

Auxerre Form Analysis

Trending

Auxerre sit 16th with six points from six games, but their home form tells a...

Auxerre sit 16th with six points from six games, but their home form tells a different story than their overall record — two wins and just one loss across three home matches, scoring and conceding evenly at 1.33 goals per game. Their away form, by contrast, is winless in three. Nine players are out injured, including several defenders dealing with knee, groin, and hamstring issues, which significantly thins squad depth. Despite that, the home crowd and a slightly favorable matchup give Auxerre a platform to build from. Watch how the makeshift backline copes against a Le Mans side that has struggled defensively themselves this season.

Le Mans

7 of 15 in Ligue 1

L
L
L
W
D
D
L
D
L
D
D
W
W
W
L

Form Rating

4.3/10

Le Mans Form Analysis

Analysis

Le Mans have stumbled recently, losing their last two matches by a combined 1-6 scoreline...

Le Mans have stumbled recently, losing their last two matches by a combined 1-6 scoreline against Toulouse and PSG. Across the season they've managed just one win in seven, though three draws show some resilience against tougher opposition. Their away record is particularly worrying — one win, one draw, two losses, conceding heavily on the road. Several squad absences, including two players out for coach's decision and others carrying ankle and injury concerns, compound their issues. With 1.43 goals scored per game but 2.14 conceded, Le Mans remain capable of scoring but equally vulnerable defensively, making their away trips unpredictable.

shieldAuxerre7

  • A. Diousse profile photo

    A. Diousse

    Knee Injury
    Out
  • B. Okoh profile photo

    B. Okoh

    Knee Injury
    Out
  • M. Senaya profile photo

    M. Senaya

    Hamstring Injury
    Out
  • S. Fofana profile photo

    S. Fofana

    Groin Injury
    Out
  • R. Labeau Lascary profile photo

    R. Labeau Lascary

    Injury
    Out
A. DiousseAuxerre
B. OkohAuxerre
M. SenayaAuxerre
S. FofanaAuxerre
R. Labeau LascaryAuxerre
T. SiweAuxerre
R. MandengueAuxerre

Showing 1-5 of 7 injuries

shieldLe Mans5

  • E. Quarshie profile photo

    E. Quarshie

    Coach's decision
    Out
  • E. Colas profile photo

    E. Colas

    Injury
    Out
  • T. Eyoum profile photo

    T. Eyoum

    Coach's decision
    Out
  • M. Rossignol profile photo

    M. Rossignol

    Injury
    Out
  • A. Bourabaa profile photo

    A. Bourabaa

    Ankle Injury
    Out
E. QuarshieLe Mans
E. ColasLe Mans
T. EyoumLe Mans
M. RossignolLe Mans
A. BourabaaLe Mans

Availability data is sourced from official team reports and may not reflect real-time updates.

Auxerre vs Le Mans - Match Analysis

Why is Auxerre only a modest favorite against Le Mans despite home advantage?

Auxerre's home record (two wins in three) supports favoritism, but nine first-team absences — including several defenders — undercut confidence. Le Mans, despite poor away form, have shown they can score against most opponents. These factors keep the match close, with bookmakers pricing Auxerre at just 44.1% rather than a dominant favorite, reflecting genuine uncertainty between two relegation-threatened sides.

What alternative bets should I consider for Auxerre vs Le Mans?

Both Teams to Score Yes looks like the smartest alternative, given Auxerre have scored in every match this season and Le Mans have found the net in nine of ten outings. Draw No Bet: Auxerre is also worth considering as a hedge against the home side's injury-hit XI, protecting your stake if the match ends level while still backing the home-form edge.

What are the stakes of this match for both teams?

Both clubs sit in the bottom four of Ligue 1 with just six points apiece, making this a direct battle to avoid the relegation zone. Auxerre currently occupy a relegation playoff spot, while Le Mans sit just one place above. A win here would provide crucial breathing room and momentum heading into the next stretch of fixtures for either side.

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