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Stadium Municipal
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AI Predicted Winner
Toulouse
54%
#Confidence
| Sportsbook | Toulouse✦ AI Pick | Draw | Estac Troyes |
|---|---|---|---|
1xBetBest Odds | |||
Pinnacle | |||
Marathonbet | |||
| Best Odds |
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Toulouse host basement side Estac Troyes at the Stadium Municipal in a Ligue 1 clash that looks like a clear opportunity for the home side, even if their own form has been shaky.
Toulouse sit seventh with nine points from six games, buoyed by a 3-0 win at Le Mans and a credible draw at Monaco in their last two outings. However, their home record this season is underwhelming — just one win in three at the Stadium Municipal — and they have failed to keep a clean sheet all campaign.
Troyes arrive bottom of the table with four points and only one win in six league games, having shipped 13 goals in that span. A four-man injury list has gutted their defensive options, and they've lost four of their last five fixtures, including a 6-2 collapse against Strasbourg.
This Toulouse vs Estac Troyes prediction favors the hosts, with the bookmaker consensus installing them as clear 56% favorites. Given Troyes's leaky defense and Toulouse's goal-scoring upside, expect goals at both ends but ultimately a home win driven by the class and points-per-game gap between these two sides.
Moderate
Moderate
Even
High
2026/2027 Season
Last 10 head-to-head matchups
There is no head-to-head meeting between Toulouse and Estac Troyes within the last two years, with their most recent encounter...
There is no head-to-head meeting between Toulouse and Estac Troyes within the last two years, with their most recent encounter dating back to February 2023 — outside our relevant window. Historically, Toulouse have dominated this fixture at home, but with no recent data to draw from, this preview leans entirely on current form, league position, and underlying statistics rather than past meetings between these two clubs.
Last 15 matches across all competitionsLigue 1 matches highlighted
11 of 15 in Ligue 1
Form Rating
5.3/10
Toulouse have picked up one win, three draws and two losses in their last six,...
Toulouse have picked up one win, three draws and two losses in their last six, sitting seventh on nine points. Their attack has shown signs of life with a 3-0 away win over Le Mans and a 2-2 draw at Monaco, but defensive frailty remains a concern — they've conceded in every match and are yet to register a clean sheet this season. Home form is surprisingly inconsistent, with just one win from three at the Stadium Municipal. Forward J. Vignolo is missing from the squad, which could blunt some attacking fluidity, but the recent scoring form against Le Mans suggests this team can trouble a struggling Troyes backline.
7 of 15 in Ligue 1
Form Rating
4.7/10
Estac Troyes are rock bottom with just four points from six matches, winning only once...
Estac Troyes are rock bottom with just four points from six matches, winning only once and losing four of their last five. Their defense has completely unraveled, conceding 13 goals in six league games, including a 6-2 hammering by Strasbourg. Four players are sidelined through injury, further weakening an already porous backline. Away from home they've managed just one win in three, with poor goal difference underlining their struggles on the road. With goals drying up at the other end too — only four scored in six games — Troyes look poorly equipped to avoid another defeat here.
Availability data is sourced from official team reports and may not reflect real-time updates.
Toulouse vs Estac Troyes - Match Analysis
Toulouse are backed at 56% largely due to their significant points-per-game advantage and Troyes's dramatic defensive decline. Troyes have lost four of their last five games and shipped 13 goals in six matches, while missing four key players through injury. Combined with Toulouse's seventh-place standing versus Troyes's bottom-of-the-table position, the gap in quality and current form clearly favors the home side in this Ligue 1 matchup.
Over 2.5 Goals is an appealing alternative market given both teams' tendency to concede — Troyes average 2.17 goals conceded per game, and Toulouse have scored in nearly every match this season. For safer coverage of the Toulouse win, Draw No Bet protects against a surprise draw, which remains plausible given Toulouse's shaky home form with only one win in three at the Stadium Municipal.
Troyes are missing four players to injury, significantly weakening an already fragile defense that has conceded 13 goals in six league games. This has been a major driver of their current four-game losing streak and bottom-of-the-table position. Against a Toulouse side showing attacking improvement, this injury situation tilts the expected goal difference firmly in the home team's favor for this fixture.
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