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Mallorca
Mallorca15th in La Liga (9-7-15)
VS
Valencia
Valencia14th in La Liga (9-8-14)

Mallorca vs Valencia

Tuesday, Apr 21, 2026 · --:--

Estadi Mallorca Son Moix

Final
Mallorca
1–1
Valencia

Draw

✓Our prediction was correct

Our Prediction

AI Match Analysis

Our Mallorca vs Valencia prediction centers on a closely contested La Liga preview between two mid-table sides separated by just one point. Both teams sit in the bottom half with identical 34-35 points, making this a crucial relegation battle. Mallorca's home advantage proves significant - they've won eight of 16 home matches compared to Valencia's woeful away record of just three wins in 16 trips. The bookmaker consensus suggests a tight affair with home odds at 2.49, reflecting expert picks favoring Mallorca's fortress mentality. Recent form tells contrasting stories: Mallorca have won their last two home games including a stunning victory over Real Madrid, while Valencia's away struggles continue with ten losses in 16 road fixtures. Key injuries impact both squads, with Mallorca missing defender Antonio Raillo and Valencia without several defensive options. These football tips today point toward a narrow home victory, with Mallorca's superior home form and Valencia's travel troubles creating value in the free tips market.

Key Factors

Home Advantage

Moderate

Recent Form

Weak

H2H Record

Even

Injury Impact

High

Season Overview

2025/2026 Season

Record
Mallorca9-7-1529.0%
Valencia9-8-1429.0%
Goals Scored
Mallorca39
Valencia34
Goals Conceded
Mallorca48
Valencia46
Goal Difference
Mallorca-9
Valencia-12

All statistics and predictions are for informational purposes only. Please gamble responsibly.

Mallorca vs Valencia - Match Analysis

Why is Mallorca favored despite being level on points with Valencia?

Mallorca's home advantage proves decisive in this prediction. They've won eight of 16 home matches this season, including recent victories over Real Madrid and Rayo Vallecano. Valencia's away form is catastrophic with just three wins in 16 road trips and ten defeats. The home fortress factor, combined with Valencia's travel struggles and defensive injuries, creates a significant advantage for the hosts despite the minimal points gap between these mid-table sides.

What alternative bets should I consider for Mallorca vs Valencia?

Draw No Bet on Mallorca offers excellent value at enhanced odds, providing insurance against Valencia's defensive resilience. Over 2.5 Goals appeals given both teams' recent high-scoring games and defensive injuries. Both Teams to Score represents strong value with Mallorca's home attacking threat and Valencia's need for points likely creating an open encounter. The Asian Handicap markets also offer interesting opportunities given the tight nature of this fixture.

How do recent injuries affect this prediction?

Injuries significantly impact both teams' prospects in this crucial relegation battle. Mallorca miss key defender Antonio Raillo and attacking threat Zeki Luvumbo, potentially weakening their defensive stability. Valencia face more severe problems with Mouctar Diakhaby and Dimitri Foulquier ruled out, while Eray Comert remains doubtful. These defensive absences for Valencia compound their away struggles, making Mallorca's home advantage even more pronounced in what promises to be a tight encounter.

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Last 10 head-to-head matchups

Mallorca (4)Draws (4)Valencia (2)
Dec 19, 25
(H)Valencia1 - 1Mallorca(A)
D
Mar 30, 25
(H)Valencia1 - 0Mallorca(A)
H
Nov 29, 24
(H)Mallorca2 - 1Valencia(A)
H
Mar 30, 24
(H)Valencia0 - 0Mallorca(A)
D
Oct 7, 23
(H)Mallorca1 - 1Valencia(A)
D
May 25, 23
(H)Mallorca1 - 0Valencia(A)
H
Oct 22, 22
(H)Valencia1 - 2Mallorca(A)
A
Feb 26, 22
(H)Mallorca0 - 1Valencia(A)
A
Oct 23, 21
(H)Valencia2 - 2Mallorca(A)
D
Jan 19, 20
(H)Mallorca4 - 1Valencia(A)
H

Expert H2H Analysis

AI Insight

Recent encounters between these teams show a balanced rivalry with three draws in their last four meetings since 2024. The...

Recent encounters between these teams show a balanced rivalry with three draws in their last four meetings since 2024. The reverse fixture in December ended 1-1 at Mestalla, continuing a pattern of tight contests. Mallorca hold a slight edge at home in this fixture, winning two of the last four encounters at Son Moix. Valencia's last away victory in this matchup came in February 2022, highlighting their struggles on the road against Mallorca.

Last 15 matches across all competitionsLa Liga matches highlighted

Mallorca

15 of 15 in La Liga

W
W
L
W
D
L
L
L
L
W
L
W
L
L
D

Form Rating

4/10

Mallorca Form Analysis

Trending

Mallorca have transformed into a different proposition at home this season, winning eight of 16...

Mallorca have transformed into a different proposition at home this season, winning eight of 16 matches at Son Moix. Their recent home form has been exceptional, securing victories in their last two games including a memorable 2-1 triumph over Real Madrid and a commanding 3-0 win against Rayo Vallecano. They've also shown resilience with comeback wins against Espanyol and Athletic Club. However, their overall season tells a different story with just nine wins from 31 games. Key absences include defender Antonio Raillo and winger Zeki Luvumbo, which could impact their defensive stability. Striker Vedat Muriqi remains their main attacking threat, having contributed significantly to their home success this campaign.

Valencia

13 of 15 in La Liga

L
L
W
L
W
W
L
W
L
L
L
W
W
W
D

Form Rating

5/10

Valencia Form Analysis

Analysis

Valencia's away form represents their biggest weakness this season, managing just three wins in 16...

Valencia's away form represents their biggest weakness this season, managing just three wins in 16 road trips with ten defeats. Their recent away record is particularly concerning, losing at relegation-threatened Elche in their last fixture. However, they showed character with a 2-0 victory at Sevilla and have demonstrated attacking potential with wins over Levante and Getafe on their travels. At home, they're more competitive with six wins from 15 matches. Defensive injuries plague their squad with Mouctar Diakhaby and Dimitri Foulquier ruled out, while Eray Comert faces a fitness test. Their 1.1 goals per game average reflects their struggles in the final third, making away victories even more challenging to achieve.

shieldMallorca5

  • A. Raillo profile photo

    A. Raillo

    Injury
    Out
  • Z. Luvumbo profile photo

    Z. Luvumbo

    Injury
    Out
  • L. Bergstrom profile photo

    L. Bergstrom

    Injury
    Questionable
  • M. Joseph profile photo

    M. Joseph

    Knee Injury
    Out
  • J. Salas profile photo

    J. Salas

    Knee Injury
    Out
A. RailloMallorca
Z. LuvumboMallorca
L. BergstromMallorca
M. JosephMallorca
J. SalasMallorca

shieldValencia6

  • M. Diakhaby profile photo

    M. Diakhaby

    Muscle Injury
    Out
  • D. Foulquier profile photo

    D. Foulquier

    Knee Injury
    Out
  • U. Nunez profile photo

    U. Nunez

    Muscle Injury
    Questionable
  • E. Comert profile photo

    E. Comert

    Abdominal strain
    Questionable
  • J. Copete profile photo

    J. Copete

    Ankle Injury
    Out
M. DiakhabyValencia
D. FoulquierValencia
U. NunezValencia
E. ComertValencia
J. CopeteValencia
J. AgirrezabalaValencia

Showing 1-5 of 6 injuries

Availability data is sourced from official team reports and may not reflect real-time updates.