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Coliseum
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AI Predicted Winner
Draw
39.6%
#Confidence
| Sportsbook | Getafe | Draw✦ AI Pick | Sevilla |
|---|---|---|---|
1xBetBest Odds | |||
Pinnacle | |||
Betfair | |||
| Best Odds |
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Getafe host Sevilla in La Liga on 1 November 2026, and the numbers point toward a cagey, low-event afternoon. Our model gives the draw the highest probability at 39.6%, with Sevilla at 33.0% and Getafe at 27.4%. Confidence is low, which reflects how closely matched the two sides look on paper.
The main driver is scoring volume. The teams average just 2.12 combined goals per game, and Getafe's attack contributes only 0.56 goals per match. That compresses the likely scorelines toward 0-0 or 1-1 rather than an open, high-scoring contest. Getafe also draw roughly a third of their matches, a pattern that fits their reputation for compact, disciplined football at home.
The market backs this reading. Bookmaker pricing implies a draw probability of around 31.5%, nearly level with either side, and no team stands out as a dominant favorite, with the best win probability sitting at only 37%. When neither club carries a clear edge and goals are scarce, a stalemate becomes the single most likely result.
For bettors, the draw is the headline angle, though it is worth noting that 39.6% still means the majority of outcomes fall elsewhere. Those looking for alternatives might consider the under goals markets, given the low combined scoring rate. Sevilla hold a slight edge over Getafe in the win probabilities, but not by enough to make either side a confident pick. Treat this as a tight fixture and size stakes accordingly.
Moderate
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2026/2027 Season
Last 10 head-to-head matchups
Recent head-to-head favors Sevilla. Of the last four league meetings since late 2024, Sevilla won twice, Getafe won once at...
Recent head-to-head favors Sevilla. Of the last four league meetings since late 2024, Sevilla won twice, Getafe won once at Sevilla's expense in August 2025, and one game ended 0-0. Sevilla won the most recent clash 1-0 at the Coliseum in February 2026. Goals are scarce in this fixture: four of the last five games produced one goal or fewer from the home side, and Getafe have failed to score in three of the last four meetings in Getafe. Expect another tight, low-margin contest.
Last 15 matches across all competitionsLa Liga matches highlighted
10 of 15 in La Liga
Form Rating
3.7/10
Getafe's season splits sharply by venue. At the Coliseum they are unbeaten, collecting two wins...
Getafe's season splits sharply by venue. At the Coliseum they are unbeaten, collecting two wins and three draws, including recent 1-1 stalemates with Rayo Vallecano, Celta Vigo and Deportivo. Away from home they have lost all four league games without scoring in most of them. Overall they average just 0.56 goals per game, though they concede a manageable 1.22. A 5-2 home loss to Lugano in Europe was a rare defensive collapse. Several absentees, including Juanmi, Uche, Romero, Mangala and the suspended Djene, thin the squad further, and a congested schedule adds rotation risk.
10 of 15 in La Liga
Form Rating
6/10
Sevilla's form is volatile. They have won four of nine league games but lost three,...
Sevilla's form is volatile. They have won four of nine league games but lost three, and the defence is leaky at 1.78 goals conceded per game. The last two outings were a 4-1 loss at Real Madrid and a 3-3 draw at Levante, showing they score freely but defend poorly. They have scored in every league game this season. Away form is steadier than at home, with two wins and two draws from five on the road. Injuries to Marcao, Sierra, Guridi and Stassin hurt depth, but 13 days of rest should leave them fresh.







Availability data is sourced from official team reports and may not reflect real-time updates.
Getafe vs Sevilla - Match Analysis
Four of our seven draw indicators fire here. The teams average just 2.12 combined goals per game, neither side is a dominant favorite (best win chance is only 37%), the market prices the draw at 31.5%, and Getafe draw roughly a third of their matches. We give the draw 39.6%, ahead of Sevilla (33.0%) and Getafe (27.4%), though confidence is low.
With a low-event contest expected, under 2.5 total goals and a 1-1 or 0-0 correct score fit the profile. Getafe average only 0.56 goals per game, which compresses likely scorelines. You could also consider Double Chance options, such as Getafe or draw, for extra cover. The draw itself looks like the best value, since our 39.6% sits well above the market's 31.5%.
Form points toward a cagey game. Getafe score just 0.56 goals per match and draw about 33% of their fixtures, while the sides combine for only 2.12 goals per game. That scarcity of goals makes it hard for either team to pull clear. Sevilla edge Getafe slightly on win probability (33.0% to 27.4%), but not enough to overturn the draw as the single most likely result.
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