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Estadio Ciudad de Valencia
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AI Predicted Winner
Atletico Madrid
58%
#Confidence
| Sportsbook | Levante | Draw | Atletico Madrid✦ AI Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
1xBetBest Odds | |||
Pinnacle | |||
Marathonbet | |||
| Best Odds |
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Levante vs Atletico Madrid prediction: Diego Simeone's men head to Estadio Ciudad de Valencia as overwhelming favorites, and the underlying numbers back that stance. Atletico sit second in La Liga with 22 points from nine games, winning seven of nine and conceding under a goal per match on average.
Levante, by contrast, occupy 11th place with just 10 points, built largely on draws rather than wins — four stalemates in nine outings. Their home form has flashes of quality, including a 3-1 win over Athletic Club last time out, but defensive lapses (1.89 goals conceded per game) leave them exposed against elite attacking sides.
Atletico's away form is the standout factor here: four wins from five on the road, scoring freely while keeping clean sheets in half their away fixtures. Several squad players are sidelined through injury, but the depth at this club means it shouldn't disrupt the gameplan significantly.
Expect goals at both ends given Levante's leaky backline and Atletico's attacking efficiency, but Atletico's class and away pedigree should see them control the game. The 9-place table gap and points-per-game differential of -1.33 strongly favor the visitors. Our model backs Atletico Madrid to win, with a share of the goals likely going both ways given Levante's home scoring record.
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2026/2027 Season
Last 10 head-to-head matchups
These sides have met twice in the last two years, and Levante have avoided defeat both times. A goalless draw...
These sides have met twice in the last two years, and Levante have avoided defeat both times. A goalless draw in January 2026 followed a stunning 3-1 Levante win away at the Metropolitano in November 2025, where Atletico were caught out. That result is a rare blemish on Atletico's recent record against lower-table sides and offers Levante a psychological boost, even if the underlying form gap now looks far wider than it did last season.
Last 15 matches across all competitionsLa Liga matches highlighted
10 of 15 in La Liga
Form Rating
4.7/10
Levante have struggled for consistency, picking up just two wins in nine league games against...
Levante have struggled for consistency, picking up just two wins in nine league games against three losses and four draws, sitting 11th on 10 points. Their home record is their best asset — two wins, a draw, and only one loss in four matches, including a 3-1 win over Athletic Club in their last outing. However, they've conceded 17 goals already this season, exposing a defense that will be tested by Atletico's attack. Multiple squad absences through injury further thin their options. Beating a top-two side will require their home crowd and counter-attacking threat to fire on all cylinders.
10 of 15 in La Liga
Form Rating
7.3/10
Atletico Madrid arrive in outstanding form, winning seven of their last nine La Liga matches...
Atletico Madrid arrive in outstanding form, winning seven of their last nine La Liga matches and losing just once, sitting second with 22 points and a league-best +11 goal difference among challengers. Their away record is particularly strong — four wins and only one loss in five road trips, scoring 2.11 goals per game while conceding under one. A handful of squad injuries are a concern, but this group has shown enough depth to absorb absences without dropping intensity. Their Champions League schedule adds fixture congestion, but with ten days' rest before this match, fatigue shouldn't be a major factor against a struggling Levante side.





Availability data is sourced from official team reports and may not reflect real-time updates.
Levante vs Atletico Madrid - Match Analysis
Atletico sit second in La Liga with 22 points, winning seven of their last nine matches and conceding under a goal per game. Their away record — four wins in five — is especially impressive. Levante, meanwhile, rank 11th with just two wins all season and a leaky defense conceding 1.89 goals per game. The nine-place table gap and large points-per-game differential make Atletico clear favorites in the bookmakers' odds and underlying form data.
Draw No Bet: Atletico Madrid is a strong alternative, protecting against another surprise result like Levante's 3-1 win in their last meeting while still backing the form favorite. Over 2.5 Goals also stands out given a combined 3.78 goals per game across both squads this season. Both markets offer more cushion than a straight moneyline bet on a side that has previously stumbled against this opponent.
Levante haven't lost to Atletico in their last two meetings, including a 3-1 win at the Metropolitano in November 2025 and a goalless draw in January 2026. While that history tempers full confidence in an Atletico blowout, the current form gap is far wider than it was during those fixtures, with Atletico now in significantly better shape and Levante still searching for consistency in front of goal and at the back.
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