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Municipal de Balaídos
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AI Predicted Winner
Celta Vigo
42%
#Confidence
| Sportsbook | Celta Vigo✦ AI Pick | Draw | Alaves |
|---|---|---|---|
1xBetBest Odds | |||
Pinnacle | |||
Marathonbet | |||
| Best Odds |
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Celta Vigo vs Alaves at Municipal de Balaídos pits a struggling home side against a surprisingly resilient Alaves team sitting ninth places higher in the table. Celta have won just once in seven league games, drawing four times, and sit 15th with only one home victory this season. Alaves arrive 6th on merit, buoyed by a strong points-per-game average despite a recent dip that includes back-to-back losses before a draw and a defeat to Atletico Madrid.
Injuries bite harder for the hosts, who are missing multiple defensive pieces including Starfelt and Antanon, while Celta also juggle a congested fixture list with Europa League commitments sandwiching this match. Alaves, by contrast, have had a full week to prepare with low fixture congestion.
Head-to-head history over the past two years is split, with Alaves claiming a dramatic 4-3 win in Vigo last season and a narrow home win the season before. Goals have flowed in recent meetings, and both sides' combined scoring rate this season (2.64 goals per game) supports an open encounter.
Bookmakers still lean toward Celta Vigo at home, but the draw carries real weight given Celta's propensity for stalemates and Alaves' inconsistent away form. Expect a tight, competitive match with goals at both ends and a genuine chance this ends level.
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2026/2027 Season
Last 10 head-to-head matchups
These sides have met four times since late 2024, with Alaves winning twice, Celta once, and one draw. The most...
These sides have met four times since late 2024, with Alaves winning twice, Celta once, and one draw. The most recent clash in March 2026 was a wild 4-3 away win for Alaves, continuing a pattern of high-scoring, unpredictable meetings. Alaves also won 1-0 in Vigo in November 2025. This recent head-to-head edge for the away side, combined with Celta's current home struggles, suggests Alaves won't be intimidated by the venue.
Last 15 matches across all competitionsLa Liga matches highlighted
8 of 15 in La Liga
Form Rating
4.7/10
Celta Vigo have managed just one win in their last seven La Liga matches, drawing...
Celta Vigo have managed just one win in their last seven La Liga matches, drawing four and losing two, a run that includes four draws from their last five. Their home record this season is modest at one win, one draw, and two losses from four games. Defensively they've conceded only six goals in seven matches, but their attack has stalled badly, failing to score in three outings. Multiple defensive injuries compound the problem, with Starfelt, Antanon, and Roman all sidelined. Iago Aspas remains the player to watch when fit, as Celta's creative spark going forward.
11 of 15 in La Liga
Form Rating
6.3/10
Alaves have been more productive overall, winning three of eight league games with a healthier...
Alaves have been more productive overall, winning three of eight league games with a healthier points-per-game mark, though their recent form has cooled with two losses and a draw in their last four outings, including a narrow defeat to Atletico Madrid. Their away record is winless this season with two draws and a loss in three trips, a slight concern ahead of this fixture. They've scored freely at times, including a 5-2 win over Osasuna, showing attacking upside. Two squad absences due to suspension and injury are manageable rather than critical heading into Vigo.
Availability data is sourced from official team reports and may not reflect real-time updates.
Celta Vigo vs Alaves - Match Analysis
Celta have drawn four of their last seven league matches, showing a clear pattern of tight, low-conviction performances at home. Alaves, meanwhile, are winless away this season with two draws in three road trips. Both teams' underlying numbers are close, and the combined draw rate between them sits at 41%, well above league average, making a stalemate a genuinely strong betting angle here.
Celta are missing several defensive players including Starfelt, Antanon, and Roman, and their attack has gone blank in three of their last seven games. They've also got a congested fixture schedule with Europa League games either side of this match. Alaves, by contrast, sit nine places higher in the table with a better points-per-game average and recent head-to-head success over Celta.
Over 2.5 Goals is worth considering given both teams' combined scoring rate of 2.64 per game and a history of high-scoring meetings, including a 4-3 thriller last season. Double Chance: Alaves or Draw also offers value as a hedge, reflecting Alaves' stronger underlying form despite playing away from home in a historically tricky venue for them.
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