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Estadio de Riazor
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AI Predicted Winner
Deportivo La Coruna
45%
#Confidence
| Sportsbook | Deportivo La Coruna✦ AI Pick | Draw | Levante |
|---|---|---|---|
1xBetBest Odds | |||
Pinnacle | |||
Marathonbet | |||
| Best Odds |
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Deportivo La Coruna host Levante in a La Liga clash where home advantage looks like the deciding factor. Despite both sides showing modest underlying numbers this season, Depor's record at Riazor remains the strongest anchor for this matchup, with bookmaker consensus continuing to lean their way. Levante's travel form has been a persistent weakness, and their defensive output on the road has done little to suggest they can control this fixture away from home.
Statistically, the expected goals picture is closer than the league table suggests, with Levante actually posting a higher xG tally than Deportivo this campaign. That nuance explains why this isn't a one-sided call, and why the draw holds real value as a secondary outcome rather than a token price. Still, no fresh injury news, suspensions, or tactical shifts have emerged to disrupt the broader form lines, leaving the market's judgment largely intact.
With no major team news changing the complexion of either side, this projects as a tight contest where home comfort edges it. Deportivo's ability to control tempo in front of their own fans, combined with Levante's inconsistent away defending, supports a narrow home win as the most logical outcome.
For bettors, backing Deportivo at home carries merit, but those seeking value might consider a draw-no-bet angle or combining the home win with an under-goals market, given neither side's attack has been especially prolific this term.
Moderate
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2026/2027 Season
Last 10 head-to-head matchups
The two most recent meetings both came in Segunda Division last season, and Levante won both — 2-1 away at...
The two most recent meetings both came in Segunda Division last season, and Levante won both — 2-1 away at Riazor in January 2025 and 2-1 at home in October 2024. That gives Levante the edge in the head-to-head over the last two years despite their current league struggles. However, those results came in a different division and context, with Deportivo now adapting to life back in La Liga, so recent history should be weighted lightly here.
Last 15 matches across all competitionsLa Liga matches highlighted
8 of 15 in La Liga
Form Rating
5/10
Deportivo have drawn four of their last eight La Liga games, a pattern that highlights...
Deportivo have drawn four of their last eight La Liga games, a pattern that highlights competitiveness without a killer edge in front of goal. They're unbeaten in two, including a tight 2-3 loss at Real Sociedad where they still scored twice. At home this season they've managed just one win in four, though they've also avoided defeat with two draws and have scored 13 goals in that span. Injuries to Aubameyang and Amatucci dent their attacking and midfield options, putting more creative burden on their remaining forward options. Expect a team capable of scoring but still prone to conceding against decent opposition.
9 of 15 in La Liga
Form Rating
5/10
Levante have won only once in their last seven La Liga matches, drawing three and...
Levante have won only once in their last seven La Liga matches, drawing three and losing three, and they've shipped 15 goals in that stretch — the joint-worst defensive record in the division. Their most recent outing, a 3-3 draw with Sevilla, showed they can trade goals but not keep clean sheets, with only two shutouts all season. Missing Etta Eyong, Primo and Sotelo weakens both their attacking spark and defensive solidity. A congested run of four games in two weeks adds further fatigue risk heading into a tough away trip to Riazor.
Availability data is sourced from official team reports and may not reflect real-time updates.
Deportivo La Coruna vs Levante - Match Analysis
Deportivo sit nine places higher in the table with a better points-per-game average and a notably stronger defensive record per game than Levante. Home advantage at Riazor, where they've scored 13 goals in four matches this season, adds further weight. Levante's struggles on the road — just two points from four away games — and their league-worst defensive numbers make Deportivo the logical favorite, reflected in the bookmaker odds of 44.9% implied probability.
Over 2.5 Goals looks appealing given both sides' leaky defenses and a combined goals-per-game rate of 3.07 this season. For safer exposure to the home win angle, Draw No Bet: Deportivo La Coruna hedges against the high combined draw rate of 46.5% while still backing the favorite. Both markets reflect genuine statistical trends rather than just the moneyline price.
Levante face four matches in a 14-day window, including league and Copa del Rey fixtures, which is categorized as high congestion. Combined with only three days of rest since their last outing against Sevilla, fatigue could affect their legs and sharpness against a Deportivo side that had five days to prepare. This congestion adds to Levante's defensive vulnerability heading into a tough away fixture.
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