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Lerkendal Stadion
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AI Predicted Winner
Rosenborg
62%
#Confidence
| Sportsbook | Rosenborg✦ AI Pick | Draw | Ham-Kam |
|---|---|---|---|
Unibet | |||
DafabetBest Odds | |||
| Best Odds |
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Rosenborg vs Ham-Kam prediction: this Eliteserien clash at Lerkendal Stadion pits a mid-table Trondheim side chasing European qualification against an away team fighting to stay clear of the relegation places. Rosenborg sit seventh with 24 points, while Ham-Kam are three places and two points behind in tenth.
Rosenborg's home record is the story here — five wins and just two losses from nine at Lerkendal this season, scoring freely with 28 goals across all home fixtures per the wider table data. Their recent form has been up and down, including a heavy loss to Bodo/Glimt, but they bounced back with big wins over Fredrikstad and Kristiansund at home this season.
Ham-Kam's away form is their biggest concern, managing only one win in nine on the road with 18 goals conceded. They did beat Lillestrom and Valerenga away earlier in the campaign, showing they can hurt weaker sides, but their defense has leaked goals throughout 2026.
Bookmakers heavily favor Rosenborg at 64% implied probability, and the underlying data supports that stance given the home/away split for both sides. Expect goals at both ends given Rosenborg's home scoring rate and Ham-Kam's leaky defense, but Rosenborg's superior home form should be enough to see them through as clear favorites in this Eliteserien preview matchup.
Moderate
Moderate
Even
Moderate
2026 Season
Last 8 head-to-head matchups
Rosenborg have dominated recent meetings, winning three of the last four encounters since 2024, including a 2-0 win at Lerkendal...
Rosenborg have dominated recent meetings, winning three of the last four encounters since 2024, including a 2-0 win at Lerkendal in July 2025. Ham-Kam's only win in this stretch came away at Lerkendal in September 2025, a surprising 4-0 rout. Overall the head-to-head since 2024 favors Rosenborg heavily at home, where they've been nearly untouchable against Ham-Kam, losing just once in recent seasons at Lerkendal.
Last 15 matches across all competitionsEliteserien matches highlighted
11 of 15 in Eliteserien
Form Rating
6/10
Rosenborg have won seven, drawn three, and lost seven from 17 league games, sitting seventh...
Rosenborg have won seven, drawn three, and lost seven from 17 league games, sitting seventh with a positive goal difference. Their home form is far stronger than their overall record — five wins from nine at Lerkendal with 28 goals scored. Recent results have been streaky, alternating between routs like the 4-0 win over Fredrikstad and heavy defeats such as the 4-2 loss to league leaders Bodo/Glimt. Injuries to Mortensen, Islamovic, and Fossum thin their squad depth, but the attacking numbers at home remain strong, making their forward line the key watch heading into this fixture.
12 of 15 in Eliteserien
Form Rating
5/10
Ham-Kam have won six, drawn four, and lost seven, sitting just below Rosenborg in tenth...
Ham-Kam have won six, drawn four, and lost seven, sitting just below Rosenborg in tenth with a negative goal difference of minus six. Their away form is the major weakness — just one win in nine road trips, conceding at nearly two goals per game on the road. They've shown flashes, including a 3-0 win at Valerenga, but consistency remains elusive with three defeats in their last five outings. A red card suspension for Gjone adds to their defensive concerns ahead of a tough trip to Trondheim.
Availability data is sourced from official team reports and may not reflect real-time updates.
Rosenborg vs Ham-Kam - Match Analysis
Rosenborg's home form is significantly stronger than their overall record, winning five of nine at Lerkendal with 28 goals scored. Ham-Kam, by contrast, have managed just one win in nine away games this season. Combined with a positive recent head-to-head record at this venue, bookmakers rate Rosenborg at 64% implied probability, reflecting a clear gap between the two teams' home and away form respectively.
Over 2.5 Goals stands out given a combined 2.88 goals per game between these sides and Ham-Kam's leaky away defense. Draw No Bet: Rosenborg is another solid alternative market, protecting bettors from a surprise draw while still capturing the home side's edge. Both options offer better risk-adjusted value than backing Rosenborg outright at short odds of 1.46.
Ham-Kam's away struggles are central to this prediction — just one win in nine road games with 18 goals conceded highlights a defense that travels poorly. While they've upset stronger sides occasionally, like their win at Valerenga, their overall away record suggests they'll struggle to contain Rosenborg's home attack, reinforcing the home win as the most probable outcome.
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