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AI Predicted Winner
Bodo/Glimt
75%
#Confidence
| Sportsbook | Ham-Kam | Draw | Bodo/Glimt✦ AI Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
1xBetBest Odds | |||
Bet365 | |||
Marathonbet | |||
| Best Odds |
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Ham-Kam host Bodo/Glimt in an Eliteserien fixture that looks heavily tilted in the visitors' favor. Bodo/Glimt have been the division's standout side this season, leading the league in expected goals with 63.5 xG while conceding just 21.0, a combination that underlines both their attacking firepower and defensive discipline. That underlying data goes beyond raw results and points to a team whose dominance is built on sustainable, process-driven performances rather than fortunate scorelines.
For Ham-Kam, the challenge is significant. There are no confirmed injuries or suspensions on either side to shift the balance, meaning Bodo/Glimt should be able to field their strongest available group and continue applying the pressure that has defined their campaign. Without any personnel disruption working in the hosts' favor, the gap in quality between the two squads remains the dominant factor heading into this match.
From a betting angle, the numbers support backing Bodo/Glimt to win, with the model assigning them a 75% probability compared to just 10% for a home win and 15% for a draw. Markets tied to Bodo/Glimt covering a goal-based handicap or the match producing over 2.5 goals could also hold value, given their attacking output this season.
Overall, this profiles as a high-confidence away win. Bodo/Glimt's statistical superiority in both xG created and conceded, combined with a clean team sheet, makes them the clear favorites against a Ham-Kam side facing a steep uphill battle.
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2026 Season
Last 10 head-to-head matchups
Bodo/Glimt have utterly dominated this fixture in the last two years, winning four of the last five meetings, including a...
Bodo/Glimt have utterly dominated this fixture in the last two years, winning four of the last five meetings, including a 3-0 victory at Aspmyra in July 2026. Ham-Kam's only win in this stretch came back in May 2024. The pattern is stark: Glimt have scored at least three goals in three of their last four visits to Ham-Kam, underlining their attacking superiority in this head-to-head.
Last 15 matches across all competitionsEliteserien matches highlighted
12 of 15 in Eliteserien
Form Rating
4.3/10
Ham-Kam's form has been inconsistent, with a mixed run including a big 4-2 win at...
Ham-Kam's form has been inconsistent, with a mixed run including a big 4-2 win at Start but also heavy defeats to Molde (1-5) and Rosenborg (0-4). They've struggled defensively all season, conceding 46 goals in 22 games, and sit just above the relegation playoff zone. Injury concerns add to the challenge, with Johnsgard ruled out and two more players questionable. Despite flashes of attacking quality, this is a side that leaks goals too easily against the league's stronger teams, making a repeat of their earlier 0-3 home defeat to Glimt a real possibility.
7 of 15 in Eliteserien
Form Rating
8.3/10
Bodo/Glimt have been exceptional all season, winning 17 of 22 league games and sitting just...
Bodo/Glimt have been exceptional all season, winning 17 of 22 league games and sitting just one point off top spot. Their recent form includes a notable Champions League win over Borussia Dortmund, confirming their European pedigree alongside domestic dominance. They've scored 56 goals this season at 2.55 per game, with only 20 conceded. Fatigue is a minor concern after playing Dortmund just days before this match, and four players are sidelined through injury. Still, their quality advantage is so significant that squad rotation shouldn't derail their pursuit of continued success on the road.
Availability data is sourced from official team reports and may not reflect real-time updates.
Ham-Kam vs Bodo/Glimt - Match Analysis
Bodo/Glimt sit second in Eliteserien with a +36 goal difference, compared to Ham-Kam's -13 and 11th-place standing. The bookmaker consensus gives Glimt a 76.1% win probability, reflecting their superior points-per-game (2.41 vs 1.18) and dominant recent head-to-head record, including four wins in the last five meetings against Ham-Kam.
It's possible but unlikely. Ham-Kam have shown attacking spark recently, scoring four goals against Start, and Bodo/Glimt arrive with just two days' rest after a Champions League match against Borussia Dortmund. Fatigue and squad rotation could open gaps, but Glimt's overall quality and h2h dominance make an upset a long shot worth only small stakes.
Given Bodo/Glimt's attacking strength and Ham-Kam's leaky defense, Over 2.5 Goals is a strong alternative market backed by a 4.05 combined goals-per-game rate this season. Bodo/Glimt -1.5 Asian Handicap also offers better value than the outright win market, reflecting their recent history of winning comfortably against Ham-Kam by multiple goals.
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