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Lillestrom
Lillestrom4th in Eliteserien (8-1-6)
VS
Rosenborg
Rosenborg10th in Eliteserien (5-3-6)

Lillestrom vs Rosenborg

Sunday, Aug 9, 2026 · --:--

Unknown

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AI Confidence: 40%
Lillestrom40%Draw 24%Rosenborg36%

AI Predicted Winner

Lillestrom

40%

#Confidence

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No odds data available for this match.

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AI Match Analysis

Lillestrom vs Rosenborg is a mid-table Eliteserien clash with both sides needing points to revive stalling campaigns. Lillestrom sit fourth but arrive off back-to-back league defeats, including a heavy 4-0 loss to Bodo/Glimt, while Rosenborg have climbed to tenth on the back of an encouraging run that includes wins over Fredrikstad, Start, and Kristiansund.

The home side's defense has been leaky lately, conceding in five of their last seven matches, while Rosenborg's attack has found rhythm, scoring at least twice in three of their last five outings. Lillestrom's home form this season is modest at four wins from seven, undermining any assumption of a clear home advantage.

Injuries compound Lillestrom's issues, with three players sidelined, while Rosenborg's absences are less impactful on balance. Both teams have shown they can be breached defensively, and neither has looked convincing enough to be trusted blindly.

Given the tight points-per-game gap and Rosenborg's superior recent momentum, this shapes up as a close contest. Lillestrom's home advantage and slightly better underlying numbers give them a narrow edge, but a draw remains a live possibility given how open both defenses have been. Expect goals at both ends in what looks like a competitive, closely-fought Eliteserien preview.

Key Factors

Home Advantage

Moderate

Recent Form

Moderate

H2H Record

Even

Injury Impact

High

Season Overview

2026 Season

Record
Lillestrom8-1-653.3%
Rosenborg5-3-635.7%
Goals Scored
Lillestrom22
Rosenborg19
Goals Conceded
Lillestrom18
Rosenborg18
Goal Difference
Lillestrom+4
Rosenborg+1

More Predictions

All statistics and predictions are for informational purposes only. Please gamble responsibly.

Last 10 head-to-head matchups

Lillestrom (5)Draws (2)Rosenborg (3)
May 10, 26
(H)Rosenborg2 - 0Lillestrom(A)
H
Sep 15, 24
(H)Lillestrom1 - 1Rosenborg(A)
D
Aug 21, 24
(H)Rosenborg4 - 0Lillestrom(A)
H
Sep 24, 23
(H)Lillestrom3 - 0Rosenborg(A)
H
Jul 9, 23
(H)Rosenborg1 - 2Lillestrom(A)
A
Sep 18, 22
(H)Rosenborg3 - 1Lillestrom(A)
H
Jun 19, 22
(H)Lillestrom3 - 1Rosenborg(A)
H
Oct 30, 21
(H)Rosenborg1 - 3Lillestrom(A)
A
Jul 17, 21
(H)Rosenborg - Lillestrom(A)
D
Jun 25, 21
(H)Lillestrom2 - 0Rosenborg(A)
H

Expert H2H Analysis

AI Insight

The only meeting between these sides in the last two years came in May 2026, when Rosenborg won 2-0 away...

The only meeting between these sides in the last two years came in May 2026, when Rosenborg won 2-0 away at Lillestrom's expense, extending their control over this fixture in recent seasons. That result continued a pattern of away teams performing well in this matchup historically, though sample size within the two-year window is limited to just one match. Rosenborg will take confidence from that recent away victory heading into this reverse fixture.

Last 15 matches across all competitionsEliteserien matches highlighted

Lillestrom

12 of 15 in Eliteserien

L
L
W
W
W
L
L
L
L
W
L
W
L
W
D

Form Rating

4.3/10

Lillestrom Form Analysis

Trending

Lillestrom have stumbled recently, losing their last two league matches, including a 4-0 hammering by...

Lillestrom have stumbled recently, losing their last two league matches, including a 4-0 hammering by league leaders Bodo/Glimt and a 1-2 home defeat to Viking. Across their last five league games they've shown inconsistency, winning two but losing three, and their home record this season (four wins, three losses from seven) is unremarkable for a side in the top four. Injuries to three players, including a broken leg absence, thin their squad depth further. Their attack has periods of sharpness, scoring four against Sarpsborg earlier this season, but defensive fragility remains the bigger concern heading into this match.

Rosenborg

12 of 15 in Eliteserien

W
L
W
W
W
D
D
L
L
W
L
D
D
W
L

Form Rating

5.3/10

Rosenborg Form Analysis

Analysis

Rosenborg have found their groove, winning four of their last five matches including a comfortable...

Rosenborg have found their groove, winning four of their last five matches including a comfortable 4-0 win over Fredrikstad and a 3-0 victory against Start. Their away form remains a weak point, though, with just one win from six road trips this season. Two injury absences are a moderate concern but haven't stopped recent scoring form, with the team netting multiple goals in three of their last five outings. Confidence should be high after their recent H2H win over Lillestrom in May, even with the away form caveat working against them here.

shieldLillestrom3

  • E. B. Garnas profile photo

    E. B. Garnas

    Injury
    Out
  • E. Kitolano profile photo

    E. Kitolano

    Broken Leg
    Out
  • C. Jebara profile photo

    C. Jebara

    Injury
    Out
E. B. GarnasLillestrom
E. KitolanoLillestrom
C. JebaraLillestrom

shieldRosenborg2

  • D. Islamovic profile photo

    D. Islamovic

    Leg Injury
    Out
  • S. Nordli profile photo

    S. Nordli

    Injury
    Out
D. IslamovicRosenborg
S. NordliRosenborg

Availability data is sourced from official team reports and may not reflect real-time updates.

Lillestrom vs Rosenborg - Match Analysis

Why is Lillestrom only a slight favorite despite their higher league position?

Lillestrom sit six places above Rosenborg, but their recent form has dipped sharply with back-to-back losses, including a 4-0 defeat. Rosenborg, meanwhile, have won four of their last five matches and beat Lillestrom in their previous meeting. The underlying position gap supports a Lillestrom edge, but current momentum makes this far closer than the table suggests.

What alternative bets should I consider for Lillestrom vs Rosenborg?

Over 2.5 Goals looks like the strongest alternative given both teams have combined for high-scoring, leaky matches this season. Double Chance: Lillestrom or Draw is another sensible hedge, protecting against Rosenborg's improved away threat while still leaning into Lillestrom's home standing advantage. Both markets offer better value than a straight moneyline bet in this evenly poised match.

How does recent form affect the prediction for this match?

Recent form actually favors Rosenborg, who've won four of their last five games, while Lillestrom have lost their last two. This makes the prediction closer than the raw league standings suggest. Lillestrom's home advantage and season-long consistency keep them slightly ahead, but Rosenborg's momentum and their head-to-head win in May make an away result or draw very plausible.

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