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Aspmyra Stadion
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AI Predicted Winner
Bodo/Glimt
63%
#Confidence
No odds data available for this match.
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Bodo/Glimt vs Ham-Kam prediction lands firmly in home-win territory as the Eliteserien's third-placed side host a mid-table visitor at Aspmyra Stadion on July 22.
Bodo/Glimt have been one of Norway's most clinical sides this season, averaging 2.5 goals per game while conceding fewer than one. Their home record is particularly imposing — four wins from five, with 16 goals scored and just two conceded at Aspmyra. Ham-Kam arrive with a respectable overall tally but a troubling away record: zero wins from five road trips, with seven goals conceded in those matches.
The quality gap is clear. Bodo/Glimt sit eight points clear of Ham-Kam in the standings and hold a 0.53 points-per-game advantage. The hosts do carry some injury concerns — M. Riisnaes, A. Mikkelsen, and O. L. Bjortuft are all sidelined — but both sides have enjoyed ten days of rest since their last fixtures, keeping fatigue off the table.
With a combined 4.23 goals per game and Ham-Kam yet to keep a clean sheet away from home this season, this match sets up as a high-scoring home win. Bodo/Glimt's superior firepower and defensive solidity at home make them the clear favourite to take all three points.
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2026 Season
Last 9 head-to-head matchups
Restricting the head-to-head to the last two years, Bodo/Glimt won 3-0 at home in April 2025, and Ham-Kam won 3-1...
Restricting the head-to-head to the last two years, Bodo/Glimt won 3-0 at home in April 2025, and Ham-Kam won 3-1 at home in August 2025. Both home sides won their respective fixtures, which is a notable pattern across the broader history too. With Bodo/Glimt now hosting, the H2H trend supports the home side — they have won every meeting at Aspmyra in recent memory, keeping clean sheets in both 2024 and 2025 home encounters.
Last 15 matches across all competitionsEliteserien matches highlighted
11 of 15 in Eliteserien
Form Rating
8/10
Bodo/Glimt have been in excellent shape, winning eight of twelve league matches and scoring 30...
Bodo/Glimt have been in excellent shape, winning eight of twelve league matches and scoring 30 goals — the joint-highest in the division. Their home form is outstanding: four wins from five, conceding just twice across those games. The attacking output of 2.5 goals per game is backed by a miserly defensive record of 0.92 conceded per game. Three players are currently injured (Riisnaes, Mikkelsen, Bjortuft), and international absences affected the squad earlier in the window, but the team's depth has not visibly impacted results. They head into this fixture on a ten-day rest period.
11 of 15 in Eliteserien
Form Rating
5.7/10
Ham-Kam sit sixth in the Eliteserien with 18 points from 11 games, a respectable mid-table...
Ham-Kam sit sixth in the Eliteserien with 18 points from 11 games, a respectable mid-table position built largely on strong home performances — five wins from six at Briskeby Arena. Away from home, however, they have been poor: no wins in five away matches, drawing three and losing two, conceding 11 goals in the process. Their last league outing ended in a 2-2 draw at Sandefjord. They have scored in every game this season, which is a positive, but their defensive vulnerability on the road — 2.2 goals conceded per away game — is a serious concern heading to Aspmyra.
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Availability data is sourced from official team reports and may not reflect real-time updates.
Bodo/Glimt vs Ham-Kam - Match Analysis
Bodo/Glimt combine the best home record in this matchup with a significant quality gap over their visitors. They have scored 16 goals in five home games this season while conceding just twice. Ham-Kam, meanwhile, have not won a single away match in five attempts. Add in Glimt's superior points-per-game rate and a goal difference of +19 compared to Ham-Kam's +1, and the case for the home side is overwhelming.
Over 3.5 Goals stands out as a strong value market. The combined goals-per-game figure of 4.23 is high, and Ham-Kam have conceded in every away game this season. Bodo/Glimt's home games are consistently high-scoring. Draw No Bet on Bodo/Glimt is another smart option — it covers the unlikely draw scenario while still backing the clear favourite, offering better value than a straight win at potentially short odds.
Ham-Kam's away record is a major red flag: zero wins, three draws, and two losses from five road trips, with 11 goals conceded. Travelling to Aspmyra — where Bodo/Glimt have won four of five home games and kept multiple clean sheets — makes this an extremely tough ask. Ham-Kam have scored in every game this season, so a complete shutout is unlikely, but their defensive vulnerability away from home makes a comfortable Glimt win the most probable outcome.
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