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Ham-Kam
Ham-Kam10th in Eliteserien (6-4-7)
VS
Kristiansund BK
Kristiansund BK14th in Eliteserien (4-3-10)

Ham-Kam vs Kristiansund BK

Sunday, Aug 30, 2026 · --:--

Briskeby Arena

Final
Ham-Kam
2–2
Kristiansund BK

Draw

Our prediction was wrong
✗

Our Prediction

AI Match Analysis

Ham-Kam host Kristiansund BK in an Eliteserien fixture that pits two mid-table sides against each other, with home advantage looking like the key differentiator. Ham-Kam enter as modest favorites, and the underlying numbers back that stance even if neither team has been prolific going forward this season.

The expected goals data tells the real story here. Kristiansund have posted a shakier xGA figure than Ham-Kam despite generating similar attacking output, suggesting their defense is more likely to spring leaks against a competent home side. Ham-Kam's tighter defensive structure gives them a platform to control the game and capitalize on set pieces or transitions, even without dominating possession.

No fresh injury news, suspensions, or managerial changes have emerged to shift the market, so this analysis leans on bookmaker consensus and season-long statistical trends rather than short-term noise. That stability supports a measured, medium-confidence read on the match rather than a one-sided rout.

For bettors, Ham-Kam to win looks the most defensible angle given the defensive gap between the sides, though the draw at 25% keeps this from being a banker bet. Those wanting extra value could look at Ham-Kam win plus under 2.5 goals, reflecting a scrappy, low-scoring home victory rather than an open, high-tempo affair.

Key Factors

Last 8 head-to-head matchups

Ham-Kam (3)Draws (3)Kristiansund BK (2)
May 3, 26
(H)Kristiansund BK1 - 1Ham-Kam(A)
D
Feb 18, 26
(H)Kristiansund BK2 - 1Ham-Kam(A)
H
Oct 26, 25
(H)Kristiansund BK1 - 3Ham-Kam(A)
A
Mar 30, 25
(H)Ham-Kam2 - 1Kristiansund BK(A)
H
Oct 27, 24
(H)Ham-Kam1 - 0Kristiansund BK(A)
H
May 5, 24
(H)Kristiansund BK1 - 1Ham-Kam(A)
D
Jul 30, 22
(H)Ham-Kam0 - 1Kristiansund BK(A)
A
Apr 24, 22
(H)Kristiansund BK2 - 2Ham-Kam(A)
D

Expert H2H Analysis

AI Insight

The two sides have met three times since 2025, with Ham-Kam winning two and drawing one. Their most recent meeting...

The two sides have met three times since 2025, with Ham-Kam winning two and drawing one. Their most recent meeting in May 2026 ended 1-1 in Kristiansund, continuing a pattern of tight, competitive fixtures despite the current gap in league form. Ham-Kam have historically edged this fixture at home, winning their last two meetings at Briskeby Arena, a trend that supports backing the hosts again this weekend.

Last 15 matches across all competitionsEliteserien matches highlighted

Ham-Kam

12 of 15 in Eliteserien

W
L
D
W
L
L
L
D
W
D
D
W
L
W
D

Form Rating

5/10

Ham-Kam Form Analysis

Trending

Ham-Kam have been streaky, winning three of their last five Eliteserien matches but suffering heavy...

Ham-Kam have been streaky, winning three of their last five Eliteserien matches but suffering heavy defeats to Brann and Bodo/Glimt in between. Their home record remains their biggest asset, with five wins from eight and a healthy plus-13 goal difference at Briskeby Arena. Injuries to Alexandersson and suspended defender Gjone weaken the squad depth, though Ham-Kam's attacking output at 1.41 goals per game keeps them competitive. Watch for their response after last week's 5-0 cup win, which should carry confidence into this league fixture against a struggling opponent.

Kristiansund BK

12 of 15 in Eliteserien

W
L
W
L
L
D
L
W
L
L
L
W
L
L
D

Form Rating

3.3/10

Kristiansund BK Form Analysis

Analysis

Kristiansund BK remain deep in relegation trouble, winning just four of 17 league matches and...

Kristiansund BK remain deep in relegation trouble, winning just four of 17 league matches and posting the division's worst away record with one win in nine trips. Their form string shows repeated losses sandwiched around occasional results, and they've failed to score in seven matches this season. Missing Igor through suspension and Tufekcic to a thigh injury further thins an already stretched squad. Their only real spark of confidence is a 5-0 NM Cupen win last week, but Eliteserien form suggests continued struggles against a team like Ham-Kam that sits comfortably above them.

Season Overview

2026 Season

Record
Ham-Kam6-4-735.3%
Kristiansund BK4-3-1023.5%
Goals Scored
Ham-Kam24
Kristiansund BK15
Goals Conceded
Ham-Kam30
Kristiansund BK27

shieldHam-Kam3

  • N. Alexandersson profile photo

    N. Alexandersson

    Injury
    Out
  • M. Gjone profile photo

    M. Gjone

    Red Card
    Out
  • D. Benjamin profile photo

    D. Benjamin

    Injury
    Questionable
N. AlexanderssonHam-Kam
M. GjoneHam-Kam
D. BenjaminHam-Kam

shieldKristiansund BK2

  • W. Igor profile photo

    W. Igor

    Yellow Cards
    Out
  • D. Tufekcic profile photo

    D. Tufekcic

    Thigh Injury
    Out
W. IgorKristiansund BK
D. TufekcicKristiansund BK

Availability data is sourced from official team reports and may not reflect real-time updates.

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All statistics and predictions are for informational purposes only. Please gamble responsibly.

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High Value

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AI: Rosenborg49%
Strong Pick

Molde vs Aalesund

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AI: Molde61%
Home Advantage

Moderate

Recent Form

Moderate

H2H Record

Even

Injury Impact

High

Goal Difference
Ham-Kam-6
Kristiansund BK-12

Ham-Kam vs Kristiansund BK - Match Analysis

Why is Ham-Kam strongly favored against Kristiansund BK?

Ham-Kam sit four places and nearly half a point per game above Kristiansund, with a much stronger home record — five wins from eight at Briskeby Arena. Kristiansund's away form is the league's worst, with just one win in nine road matches and a goal difference of minus-12 overall. Bookmakers reflect this gap, pricing Ham-Kam at 50.9% to win, comfortably the most likely outcome.

What alternative bets should I consider for Ham-Kam vs Kristiansund BK?

Beyond the straight win, Draw No Bet: Ham-Kam offers strong value by protecting against a surprise draw while still capturing most of the winning probability. Over 2.5 Goals also stands out, given both teams' leaky defenses and a combined scoring rate of 2.29 goals per game this season. These markets better reflect the match's likely flow than a simple moneyline bet alone.

What are the stakes of this game for both teams?

Ham-Kam are aiming to consolidate their mid-table position and push toward the top half of Eliteserien, while Kristiansund BK face a genuine relegation battle sitting 14th with just 15 points from 17 games. A loss here would leave Kristiansund needing a significant turnaround in their remaining fixtures to avoid the drop to OBOS-ligaen.

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