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Valencia
Valencia2nd in Euroleague (4-0)
VS
Olympiacos
Olympiacos3rd in Euroleague (3-1)

Valencia vs Olympiacos

Tuesday, Oct 13, 2026 · --:--

Valencia Arena

Final
Valencia
97–102
Olympiacos

Olympiacos won

Our prediction was correct
✓

Our Prediction

AI Match Analysis

Valencia host Olympiacos at Valencia Arena in a Euroleague clash between two unbeaten-ish starts, with Valencia perfect at 3-0 and Olympiacos sitting 2-1 after an early-season loss to Virtus Bologna.

Both sides enter with nine days of rest and no back-to-back fatigue heading into this fixture, though Olympiacos face a tighter stretch with a back-to-back lurking later in their upcoming slate. That congestion hasn't hit yet, so both teams should be fresh for Tuesday's tip-off.

Valencia have won five of their last six games across competitions, scoring freely at home (111 points in their lone home outing this season) behind a deep, healthy roster. Olympiacos counter with strong away form, going 2-1 on the road in Euroleague play and riding a win over Zalgiris before a narrow road loss. Despite Valencia's home record and league position edge, bookmakers lean toward Olympiacos (54.5% implied) given their overall squad depth and recent head-to-head edge.

The head-to-head series has been tight, with the last three meetings decided by single digits, including an 85-84 Valencia win at home in March. Expect another close contest with a slight total points lean toward the over given both teams' offensive output, projecting a pick'em-level spread with Olympiacos narrowly favored on the moneyline but Valencia a live home dog.

Key Factors

Last 10 head-to-head matchups

Valencia (5)Olympiacos (5)
Mar 24, 26
(H)Valencia85 - 84Olympiacos(A)
H
Dec 16, 25
(H)Olympiacos92 - 99Valencia(A)
A
Feb 8, 24
(H)Valencia65 - 78Olympiacos(A)
A
Dec 15, 23
(H)Olympiacos56 - 63Valencia(A)
A
Feb 24, 23
(H)Valencia85 - 92Olympiacos(A)
A
Nov 4, 22
(H)Olympiacos82 - 83Valencia(A)
A
Mar 31, 21
(H)Valencia79 - 88Olympiacos(A)
A
Dec 16, 20
(H)Olympiacos85 - 96Valencia(A)
A
Feb 22, 18
(H)Olympiakos80 - 70Valencia(A)
H
Nov 30, 17
(H)Valencia64 - 72Olympiakos(A)
A

Expert H2H Analysis

AI Insight

Olympiacos and Valencia have split recent meetings evenly, with Valencia winning the home leg 85-84 in March 2026 while Olympiacos...

Olympiacos and Valencia have split recent meetings evenly, with Valencia winning the home leg 85-84 in March 2026 while Olympiacos took the away fixture 99-92 in December 2025. Going back further, results have consistently been close, often decided by single digits. Home teams have fared reasonably well in this series, though Olympiacos has shown it can win in Valencia too. Expect another tightly contested battle given this history.

Last 8 matches across all competitionsEuroleague matches highlighted

Valencia

3 of 8 in Euroleague

W
W
W
L
W
L
L
W

Form Rating

6.3/10

Valencia Form Analysis

Trending

Valencia are a perfect 3-0 in Euroleague play, backed by a 5-1 record across all...

Valencia are a perfect 3-0 in Euroleague play, backed by a 5-1 record across all competitions in their last six games, including a dominant 111-88 home win over Baskonia. Their only recent slip came in the Spanish Supercopa against Barcelona. With nine days of rest and no fatigue concerns, Valencia enter fully prepared. Nikola Mirotic headlines a deep, healthy roster with no reported injuries of significance, giving the coaching staff full rotation flexibility. Their home scoring average of 111 points in limited home sample size suggests this offense can be explosive at Valencia Arena against a quality opponent.

Olympiacos

3 of 6 in Euroleague

W
L
W
W
W
W

Form Rating

8.3/10

Olympiacos Form Analysis

Analysis

Olympiacos sit 2-1 in Euroleague after a narrow 94-96 road loss to Virtus Bologna, sandwiched...

Olympiacos sit 2-1 in Euroleague after a narrow 94-96 road loss to Virtus Bologna, sandwiched between wins over Baskonia and Zalgiris Kaunas. They also enter on nine days' rest, though their immediate upcoming schedule includes a back-to-back later this week, adding medium-term congestion. Several rotation players are listed questionable, including Dunston Bryant, Tyrique Jones, Cory Joseph and Jean Montero, which could limit depth if any sit out. Vezenkov and Fournier remain key scoring threats. Olympiacos have been road warriors this season, going 2-1 away from home, which supports their status as slight favorites in this matchup.

Season Overview

2026/2027 Season

Record
Valencia3-0100.0%
Olympiacos2-166.7%
Avg Points Scored
Valencia104.0
Olympiacos97.7
Avg Points Allowed
Valencia91.3
Olympiacos92.0

shieldValencia11

  • Key Braxton

    Injured
  • Thompson Darius

    Injured
  • Badio Brancou

    Injured
  • Costello Matt

    Injured
  • Montero Jean

    Injured
Key Braxton
Thompson Darius
Badio Brancou
Costello Matt
Montero Jean
Osetkowski Dylan
Sima Yankuba
De Larrea Sergio
Lopez-Arostegui Xabier
Pradilla Jaime
O. Moore

Showing 1-5 of 11 injuries

shieldOlympiacos7

  • Joseph Cory

    Questionable
  • Netzipoglou Omiros

    Injured
  • Karagiannidis Antonios

    Injured
  • Plotas Nikolas

    Injured
  • Dunston Bryant

    Questionable
Joseph Cory
Netzipoglou Omiros
Karagiannidis Antonios
Plotas Nikolas
Dunston Bryant
Jones Tyrique
Montero Jean

Showing 1-5 of 7 injuries

Availability data is sourced from official team reports and may not reflect real-time updates.

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Home Advantage

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Recent Form

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H2H Record

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Injury Impact

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Point Differential
Valencia+12.7
Olympiacos+5.7

Valencia vs Olympiacos - Match Analysis

Should I take Valencia to cover the spread against Olympiacos?

Valencia enters as a live home underdog despite their 3-0 record, making the spread pick pick an intriguing value play. Their home scoring output and full roster health support covering a modest spread, especially with Olympiacos carrying several questionable injury tags. Backing Valencia +2.5 or taking the moneyline outright as a slight dog looks reasonable given the closeness of this matchup.

Will this game go over or under the total points line?

Both teams have combined for 67.24 points per game on average this season, supporting an over-under prediction leaning toward the over. Valencia's explosive home scoring and Olympiacos' balanced offensive attack suggest a fast-paced, high-possession contest. With both squads well-rested and no major pace-limiting injuries, the total should trend higher than a typical European league average.

How much does rest advantage factor into this Valencia vs Olympiacos matchup?

Both teams enter with nine days of rest, so there's no immediate fatigue edge for either side. However, Olympiacos face a tighter schedule with a back-to-back later in the week, which could factor into reduced minutes for role players against Valencia. For this specific game, rest is essentially a wash, putting more weight on roster health and recent form as deciding factors.

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