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Hapoel Tel Aviv
Hapoel Tel Aviv12th in Euroleague (2-2)
VS
Virtus Bologna
Virtus Bologna11th in Euroleague (2-2)

Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Virtus Bologna

Wednesday, Oct 21, 2026 · --:--

Hapoel Tel Aviv Arena

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AI Confidence: 54%
Hapoel Tel Aviv54%Virtus Bologna46%

AI Predicted Winner

Hapoel Tel Aviv

54%

#Confidence

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AI Match Analysis

This Euroleague clash between Hapoel Tel Aviv and Virtus Bologna pits two evenly matched sides sitting just one spot apart in the standings, both carrying identical 1.5 points-per-game averages through four outings.

Both teams arrive with nine days of rest and no back-to-back fatigue heading into this fixture, so schedule disadvantage isn't a factor here - though both face a congested stretch of three games in the next seven days starting right after this one. Hapoel Tel Aviv split their home games so far (1-1) while Virtus Bologna has only played once away from home across their sample, going 1-2 on the road overall.

Form favors the visitors slightly - Virtus Bologna have won four of their last five outings across competitions, including a win over Bayern in Euroleague play, while Hapoel Tel Aviv have alternated wins and losses, most recently beating Hapoel Beer Sheva domestically before this gap.

With both defenses leaking right around 22 points allowed and combined scoring averaging over 43 points per game pace-adjusted, this profiles as a high-possession, competitive contest. Expect a tight spread with the total trending over, given neither team's defense has shown it can slow opponents down consistently this season.

Key Factors

Home Advantage

Moderate

Recent Form

Strong

H2H Record

Even

Injury Impact

High

Season Overview

2026/2027 Season

Record
Hapoel Tel Aviv2-250.0%
Virtus Bologna2-250.0%
Avg Points Scored
Hapoel Tel Aviv87.3
Virtus Bologna85.8
Avg Points Allowed
Hapoel Tel Aviv89.3
Virtus Bologna86.5
Point Differential
Hapoel Tel Aviv-2.0
Virtus Bologna-0.7

More Predictions

All statistics and predictions are for informational purposes only. Please gamble responsibly.

Last 2 head-to-head matchups

Hapoel Tel Aviv (1)Virtus Bologna (1)
Mar 19, 26
(H)Hapoel Tel-Aviv109 - 91Virtus Bologna(A)
H
Dec 12, 25
(H)Virtus Bologna74 - 79Hapoel Tel Aviv(A)
A

Expert H2H Analysis

AI Insight

The two sides have met twice in Euroleague play over the past two seasons, with the home team winning on...

The two sides have met twice in Euroleague play over the past two seasons, with the home team winning on both occasions - Hapoel Tel Aviv beat Virtus Bologna 109-91 in March, while Virtus Bologna won 79-74 at home in December. That trend suggests home court has mattered in this series, with the host covering comfortably in the more recent meeting and both games producing high-scoring, competitive baskets at both ends.

Last 10 matches across all competitionsEuroleague matches highlighted

Hapoel Tel Aviv

4 of 7 in Euroleague

W
L
W
W
W
W
L

Form Rating

7.1/10

Hapoel Tel Aviv Form Analysis

Trending

Hapoel Tel Aviv sit at 2-2 through four Euroleague games, scoring 87.3 points per game...

Hapoel Tel Aviv sit at 2-2 through four Euroleague games, scoring 87.3 points per game while conceding 89.3, a modest negative differential. Their recent run shows resilience, including a narrow road win over Real Madrid and a tight escape against Crvena Zvezda, though they also dropped a tough road game to Valencia. With nine days of rest and no fatigue concerns, they should be fresh, but a packed upcoming schedule with a back-to-back looming adds pressure to get this one right. Their home record this season is split 1-1, and with several rotation players listed as questionable, depth could be tested against a well-rounded Bologna side.

Virtus Bologna

4 of 10 in Euroleague

W
W
W
W
L
W
L
L
L
W

Form Rating

6/10

Virtus Bologna Form Analysis

Analysis

Virtus Bologna arrive in excellent form, having won four of their last five games across...

Virtus Bologna arrive in excellent form, having won four of their last five games across Euroleague and Lega A play, including statement wins over Bayern and Olympiacos. They average 85.8 points per game while conceding 86.5, numbers nearly identical to their opponent's. Despite the win streak, their away form has been shakier at 1-2 this season, with two of three road losses coming on the road. Several key rotation pieces are listed questionable, and six players remain out entirely, which could thin their bench depth in a tightly contested road environment with similarly rested legs on both sides.

shieldHapoel Tel Aviv7

  • Micic Vasilije

    Questionable
  • Toppin Jacob

    Questionable
  • Blakeney Antonio

    Questionable
  • Caboclo Bruno

    Questionable
  • LeDay Zach

    Questionable
Micic Vasilije
Toppin Jacob
Blakeney Antonio
Caboclo Bruno
LeDay Zach
Bourdillon Frederic
Satoransky Tomas

Showing 1-5 of 7 injuries

shieldVirtus Bologna9

  • Kokila Kevin

    Questionable
  • Moore Wendell

    Questionable
  • Edwards Carsen

    Injured
  • Jallow Karim

    Injured
  • Vildoza Luca

    Injured
Kokila Kevin
Moore Wendell
Edwards Carsen
Jallow Karim
Vildoza Luca
Akele Nicola
Niang Saliou
M. Morgan
R. Bello

Showing 1-5 of 9 injuries

Availability data is sourced from official team reports and may not reflect real-time updates.

Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Virtus Bologna - Match Analysis

Should I take Hapoel Tel Aviv to cover the spread at home?

Hapoel Tel Aviv has historically performed well at home against Virtus Bologna, winning their most recent home meeting by 18 points. With identical underlying statistical profiles between these teams this season, home court could be the deciding factor. A small home spread looks reasonable given the head-to-head trend, though this remains a close contest worth modest confidence rather than a lock.

Will this game go over or under the total points line?

Both teams are conceding over 21 points per game on average, and combined scoring signals suggest a pace near 43 points per game combined per possession metric. Neither defense has shown it can shut down opponents consistently this season, and recent head-to-head meetings have both finished with 165+ combined points. The over looks like the stronger side of this total analysis.

How does the upcoming schedule congestion affect this matchup?

Neither team faces fatigue tonight - both arrive with nine full days of rest and no recent back-to-backs. However, both sides face three games in the next seven days immediately following this one, meaning rotations may be carefully managed. This game itself should see both teams at full energy, but expect squad rotation decisions made with an eye toward the congested week ahead.

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