AI vs Market Probabilities

• Piacenza
  78%
• Draw
  0%
• Cisterna
  22%

Analysis

The match winner prediction favors Piacenza based on superior home form, head-to-head dominance, and significant quality differential. Set handicap analysis supports Piacenza -1.5 sets, given their recent home sweeps and Cisterna's away struggles. Piacenza's 66.7% home win rate combined with Cisterna's 11.1% away win rate creates a substantial probability gap. The home team's ability to win sets decisively (2.56 average per home match) against Cisterna's poor away set differential (1.11 won, 2.89 conceded) suggests a comfortable victory. Recent form patterns indicate Piacenza should control this match from the opening set, making the handicap bet particularly attractive.

Recommendations

The primary value bet centers on Piacenza -1.5 sets, reflecting their dominant home form against Cisterna's woeful away record. Set betting markets should favor the home team covering this handicap, given their recent 3-0 sweeps and Cisterna's inability to compete away from home. Piacenza's home set average of 2.56 won versus 1.11 conceded creates excellent value for the negative handicap. Alternative value exists in Under 4.5 sets, as Piacenza's recent home dominance suggests a quick 3-0 or 3-1 victory rather than a competitive five-set affair. The combination of home court advantage, superior individual quality, and contrasting form trajectories makes these markets particularly attractive for informed bettors.

Half-Time Result Prediction

• Piacenza

  Likely

• Draw

  Common

• Cisterna

  Possible

Other Markets

• Draw No Bet
• Asian Handicap
• First Goal Time
• Corners O/U

Analysis

Consider Over 3.5 sets as an alternative, despite Piacenza's recent sweeps, given volleyball's inherent set-to-set variance. Exact score betting favors 3-1 to Piacenza, balancing their dominance with Cisterna's occasional competitive sets. Total sets markets lean toward the under, but Cisterna's desperation for points could extend individual sets even in defeat. First set winner presents value on Piacenza, as home teams often start strongly with crowd support and familiar conditions.