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Perugia
Perugia1st in SuperLega (20-2)
VS
Lube Civitanova
Lube Civitanova6th in SuperLega (13-9)

Perugia vs Lube Civitanova

Wednesday, May 6, 2026 · --:--

Perugia Arena

Final
Perugia
3–1
Lube Civitanova

Perugia won

Our prediction was correct
✓

Our Prediction

AI Match Analysis

Perugia vs Lube Civitanova prediction sees the league leaders hosting sixth-placed Civitanova at Perugia Arena in a crucial SuperLega clash. Perugia enters this match with an exceptional 26-2 record across all competitions, maintaining their position at the summit with 58 points from 22 league matches. Their dominance has been built on consistent 3-0 and 3-1 victories, showcasing superior attacking efficiency and defensive solidity.

Lube Civitanova sits in sixth place with 40 points, securing their playoff spot but struggling for consistency with a 19-10 record. Recent form shows mixed results, including losses to Verona and elimination from Champions League by Zawiercie. Their away record of 7-8 highlights vulnerability on the road, particularly concerning when facing the league's strongest home team.

Head-to-head history heavily favors Perugia, who have won four of their last five meetings, including dominant victories in their most recent encounters. The reverse fixture saw Perugia win 3-1 away, demonstrating their superiority over Civitanova even without home advantage.

With Perugia's home fortress mentality and Civitanova's inconsistent away form, expect the leaders to control this match from the opening set and secure a comfortable victory to maintain their championship momentum.

Key Factors

Last 10 head-to-head matchups

Perugia (6)Lube Civitanova (4)
Jan 18, 26
(H)Lube Civitanova1 - 3Perugia(A)
A
Dec 30, 25
(H)Perugia3 - 1Lube Civitanova(A)
H
Oct 26, 25
(H)Perugia3 - 2Lube Civitanova(A)
H
Apr 24, 25
(H)Perugia1 - 3Lube Civitanova(A)
A
Apr 20, 25
(H)Lube Civitanova3 - 0Perugia(A)
H
Apr 16, 25
(H)Perugia2 - 3Lube Civitanova(A)
A
Apr 12, 25
(H)Lube Civitanova2 - 3Perugia(A)
A
Apr 5, 25
(H)Perugia3 - 0Lube Civitanova(A)
H
Jan 19, 25
(H)Lube Civitanova3 - 1Perugia(A)
H
Nov 3, 24
(H)Perugia3 - 2Lube Civitanova(A)
H

Expert H2H Analysis

AI Insight

Recent head-to-head meetings strongly favor Perugia, winning four of the last five encounters since 2024. Most significantly, Perugia won 3-1...

Recent head-to-head meetings strongly favor Perugia, winning four of the last five encounters since 2024. Most significantly, Perugia won 3-1 away at Civitanova in January 2026, demonstrating clear superiority. The pattern shows Perugia typically winning in straight sets or 3-1, while Civitanova's lone victory came 3-1 at home in April 2025. Set scores reveal Perugia's dominance, with multiple 3-0 sweeps and only one five-set thriller. This head-to-head trend indicates Perugia's tactical and personnel advantages over Civitanova remain consistent across different venues and seasons.

Last 15 matches across all competitionsSuperLega matches highlighted

Perugia

9 of 15 in SuperLega

W
W
W
W
W
W
W
W
W
W
W
W
W
W
W

Form Rating

10/10

Perugia Form Analysis

Trending

Perugia's form is exceptional with 26 wins from 28 matches across all competitions, including a...

Perugia's form is exceptional with 26 wins from 28 matches across all competitions, including a perfect home record of 14-1 in league play. Their recent results show complete dominance, sweeping opponents like Piacenza, Grottazzolina, and Verona while maintaining consistency in Champions League competition. The team averages 2.93 sets won per home match with only 0.87 sets conceded, indicating superior attacking efficiency and defensive organization. Their ability to close out matches quickly is evident from multiple 3-0 victories, suggesting strong mental fortitude and tactical preparation. With 24 days rest since their last match, Perugia will be fresh and fully prepared for this crucial encounter against playoff rivals.

Lube Civitanova

10 of 15 in SuperLega

W
W
W
L
L
L
W
W
W
L
W
W
W
L
L

Form Rating

6/10

Lube Civitanova Form Analysis

Analysis

Lube Civitanova's recent form shows inconsistency with mixed results across competitions. Their away record of...

Lube Civitanova's recent form shows inconsistency with mixed results across competitions. Their away record of 7-8 in league play highlights significant struggles on the road, averaging just 1.93 sets won per away match compared to 2.79 at home. Recent performances include a positive 3-0 victory over Verona but concerning losses in Champions League to Zawiercie. The team has shown vulnerability in crucial moments, particularly evident in their European elimination. Their set differential away from home reveals defensive weaknesses, conceding 2.0 sets per match on average. With 18 days rest, they should be physically prepared, but their inconsistent away form and recent European disappointment suggest mental fragility when facing top-tier opposition like Perugia.

Season Overview

2025/2026 Season

Record
Perugia26-292.9%
Lube Civitanova19-1065.5%
Sets Won
Perugia2.9
Lube Civitanova2.3
Sets Lost
Perugia0.9
Lube Civitanova1.5
info

No injury information available for volleyball

Player availability isn't provided by our data source for this sport.

More Predictions

All statistics and predictions are for informational purposes only. Please gamble responsibly.

Home Advantage

High

Recent Form

Strong

H2H Record

Even

Injury Impact

Low

Set Differential
Perugia+2.0
Lube Civitanova+0.9

Perugia vs Lube Civitanova - Match Analysis

Will Perugia win this match?

Yes, Perugia should win comfortably given their exceptional 26-2 record and dominant home form. Their statistical superiority is overwhelming, with a +0.82 points per game advantage over Civitanova. The head-to-head record strongly favors Perugia, including recent away victories that demonstrate their superiority regardless of venue. Civitanova's poor 7-8 away record makes them vulnerable against the league's strongest home team.

Should I take Perugia -1.5 sets?

Yes, Perugia -1.5 sets offers excellent value given their tendency to win decisively. Recent form shows multiple 3-0 sweeps against quality opposition, while Civitanova's away struggles suggest they'll find it difficult to take sets off the leaders. Perugia's home efficiency of winning 2.93 sets while conceding only 0.87 indicates they typically control matches from start to finish, making the set handicap a strong betting proposition.

Will this match go over 3.5 sets?

This match has approximately 60% chance of exceeding 3.5 sets. While Perugia should dominate, Civitanova remains a playoff-caliber team capable of competitive volleyball when motivated. Their recent five-set matches show they can extend quality opponents when playing well. However, Perugia's home efficiency and superior form suggest they'll likely close out the match in four sets rather than allowing a full five-set battle.

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