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Perugia
Perugia1st in SuperLega (20-2)
VS
Lube Civitanova
Lube Civitanova6th in SuperLega (13-9)

Perugia vs Lube Civitanova

Thursday, Apr 30, 2026 · --:--

Perugia Arena

Final
Perugia
3–0
Lube Civitanova

Perugia won

Our prediction was correct
✓

Our Prediction

AI Match Analysis

Perugia vs Lube Civitanova prediction sees the league leaders hosting sixth-placed Civitanova at Perugia Arena in a crucial SuperLega clash. Perugia enters this match with an exceptional 26-2 record and 2.79 points per game, sitting comfortably atop the standings with a five-place advantage over their visitors.

The home side has been in dominant form, winning their last 15 matches across all competitions including impressive victories over Piacenza and sweeps against top European opposition in the Champions League. Their home record of 14-1 demonstrates the fortress-like nature of Perugia Arena, where they've consistently dismantled quality opposition.

Lube Civitanova arrives with a respectable 19-10 record but concerning away form (7-8), having struggled on the road throughout the season. Their recent form shows inconsistency, including losses to Verona and Zawiercie in European competition, though they did secure a crucial 3-0 victory over Verona in their last outing.

Head-to-head history heavily favors Perugia, who have won seven of their last ten meetings including dominant performances this season (3-1 away victory in January and 3-2 home win in October). The pattern suggests Perugia's superior attacking efficiency and home court advantage will prove decisive against Civitanova's vulnerable away record.

Key Factors

Last 10 head-to-head matchups

Perugia (6)Lube Civitanova (4)
Jan 18, 26
(H)Lube Civitanova1 - 3Perugia(A)
A
Dec 30, 25
(H)Perugia3 - 1Lube Civitanova(A)
H
Oct 26, 25
(H)Perugia3 - 2Lube Civitanova(A)
H
Apr 24, 25
(H)Perugia1 - 3Lube Civitanova(A)
A
Apr 20, 25
(H)Lube Civitanova3 - 0Perugia(A)
H
Apr 16, 25
(H)Perugia2 - 3Lube Civitanova(A)
A
Apr 12, 25
(H)Lube Civitanova2 - 3Perugia(A)
A
Apr 5, 25
(H)Perugia3 - 0Lube Civitanova(A)
H
Jan 19, 25
(H)Lube Civitanova3 - 1Perugia(A)
H
Nov 3, 24
(H)Perugia3 - 2Lube Civitanova(A)
H

Expert H2H Analysis

AI Insight

Perugia dominates the recent head-to-head record with seven wins in their last ten encounters against Lube Civitanova. This season alone,...

Perugia dominates the recent head-to-head record with seven wins in their last ten encounters against Lube Civitanova. This season alone, Perugia secured a commanding 3-1 away victory in January and a thrilling 3-2 home win in October, demonstrating their ability to beat Civitanova both home and away. The set patterns show Perugia typically wins in four sets when dominant, while closer matches extend to five sets. Civitanova's last victory came in April 2025 with a 3-1 home win, but they've struggled to replicate that success consistently against Perugia's improved squad.

Last 15 matches across all competitionsSuperLega matches highlighted

Perugia

9 of 15 in SuperLega

W
W
W
W
W
W
W
W
W
W
W
W
W
W
W

Form Rating

10/10

Perugia Form Analysis

Trending

Perugia's form is nothing short of exceptional with 26 wins from 28 matches this season,...

Perugia's form is nothing short of exceptional with 26 wins from 28 matches this season, maintaining a remarkable 92.9% win rate. Their recent run includes dominant 3-0 sweeps against Piacenza and impressive Champions League victories over European opposition. At home, they boast a near-perfect 14-1 record, averaging 2.93 sets won per match while conceding just 0.87. Their attacking efficiency has been outstanding, consistently winning matches in straight sets or four-set victories. The team's depth and rotation management have allowed them to maintain peak performance across multiple competitions. With 18 days of rest since their last match, Perugia will be fully refreshed and motivated to extend their winning streak at their fortress-like home venue.

Lube Civitanova

10 of 15 in SuperLega

W
W
W
L
L
L
W
W
W
L
W
W
W
L
L

Form Rating

6/10

Lube Civitanova Form Analysis

Analysis

Lube Civitanova's season has been marked by inconsistency, particularly in away fixtures where they hold...

Lube Civitanova's season has been marked by inconsistency, particularly in away fixtures where they hold a disappointing 7-8 record. Their recent form shows vulnerability with losses to Zawiercie in Champions League action, though they bounced back with a 3-0 victory over Verona in their last outing. Away from home, they average just 1.93 sets won per match while conceding 2.0, highlighting their struggles on the road. The team's 19-10 overall record keeps them in playoff contention, but their away performances suggest they struggle with the pressure and atmosphere of hostile venues. Their 12 days of rest should help with physical preparation, but their mental approach to big away matches remains questionable given their poor road record this season.

Season Overview

2025/2026 Season

Record
Perugia26-292.9%
Lube Civitanova19-1065.5%
Sets Won
Perugia2.9
Lube Civitanova2.3
Sets Lost
Perugia0.9
Lube Civitanova1.5
info

No injury information available for volleyball

Player availability isn't provided by our data source for this sport.

More Predictions

All statistics and predictions are for informational purposes only. Please gamble responsibly.

Home Advantage

High

Recent Form

Strong

H2H Record

Even

Injury Impact

Low

Set Differential
Perugia+2.0
Lube Civitanova+0.9

Perugia vs Lube Civitanova - Match Analysis

Will Perugia win this match against Lube Civitanova?

Yes, Perugia should secure victory based on their exceptional home record (14-1), five-place league advantage, and head-to-head dominance. Their 92.9% win rate this season combined with Civitanova's poor away form (7-8) makes the home side clear favorites. Perugia's superior attacking efficiency and passionate home support at Perugia Arena will likely prove decisive in this SuperLega clash.

Should I take Perugia -1.5 sets in this match?

Perugia -1.5 sets offers strong value given their dominant home performances and Civitanova's away struggles. The home side has won 60% of recent head-to-head meetings by 2+ sets, while their home efficiency (2.93 sets won vs 0.87 conceded) suggests they can cover this handicap. Civitanova's away record of averaging just 1.93 sets won per match supports backing Perugia to win convincingly.

Will this match go over 3.5 sets?

This match will likely stay under 4.5 sets rather than over 3.5, as Perugia's home dominance typically produces decisive victories. Their recent pattern shows 3-0 sweeps against weaker opposition and 3-1 wins against quality teams. While Civitanova can compete, their away struggles and Perugia's efficiency suggest a four-set victory for the home side is most probable, making under 4.5 sets the better value.

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