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Monza
Monza
VS
Padova
Padova

Monza vs Padova

Saturday, Feb 14, 2026 · --:--

Monza Arena

Final
Monza
3–0
Padova

Monza won

✓Our prediction was correct

Our Prediction

AI Match Analysis

Our Monza vs Padova prediction favors the home side in this SuperLega clash at Monza Arena. Monza enters with mixed recent form, securing 4 wins from their last 10 matches including a dominant 3-0 sweep of Grottazzolina in their most recent outing. Their home record shows promise with 4 wins in 9 matches and a superior set differential compared to their away struggles. Padova arrives with slightly better momentum, winning 3 of their last 5 matches including impressive victories over Grottazzolina (3-2) and Cisterna (3-2). However, their away form remains concerning with just 2 wins in 9 road matches and averaging only 0.78 sets per away game. The head-to-head history strongly favors Monza, who won their most recent encounter 3-1 in December 2025. Monza's home advantage and superior historical record against Padova make them the preferred volleyball picks for this encounter. Expert picks suggest backing the hosts to secure victory in what should be a competitive four-set affair, with volleyball betting tips pointing toward Monza's ability to capitalize on home court advantage.

Key Factors

Home Advantage

Moderate

Last 10 head-to-head matchups

Monza (8)Padova (2)
Dec 8, 25
(H)Padova1 - 3Monza(A)
A
Feb 2, 25
(H)Monza3 - 1Padova(A)
H
Nov 10, 24
(H)Padova3 - 0Monza(A)
H
Feb 24, 24
(H)Padova1 - 3Monza(A)
A
Dec 17, 23
(H)Monza3 - 0Padova(A)
H
May 7, 23
(H)Monza3 - 0Padova(A)
H
Apr 22, 23
(H)Monza3 - 0Padova(A)
H
Feb 19, 23
(H)Monza2 - 3Padova(A)
A
Nov 27, 22
(H)Padova0 - 3Monza(A)
A
Feb 12, 22
(H)Padova0 - 3Monza(A)
A

Expert H2H Analysis

AI Insight

Monza dominates this head-to-head matchup with an impressive recent record against Padova. In their last meeting in December 2025, Monza...

Monza dominates this head-to-head matchup with an impressive recent record against Padova. In their last meeting in December 2025, Monza secured a convincing 3-1 away victory at Padova, demonstrating their tactical superiority. Over the past two seasons, Monza has won both encounters, including a 3-1 home triumph in February 2025. The set scoring patterns show Monza typically wins decisively, either sweeping 3-0 or winning 3-1. Padova's lone recent success came in November 2024 with a 3-0 home victory, but this appears to be an outlier in an otherwise one-sided rivalry favoring Monza.

Last 15 matches across all competitionsSuperLega matches highlighted

Monza

14 of 15 in SuperLega

W
L
W
L
L
L
L
L
W
W
W
L
L
L
L

Form Rating

3.3/10

Monza Form Analysis

Trending

Monza's recent form shows inconsistency but with encouraging signs at home. They've managed 4 wins...

Monza's recent form shows inconsistency but with encouraging signs at home. They've managed 4 wins from their last 10 matches, including quality victories over strong opponents like Modena (3-0) and Lube Civitanova (3-1) at home. Their home record of 4 wins in 9 matches (44.4% win rate) significantly outperforms their dismal away form (20% win rate). The team averages 1.67 sets per home match compared to just 1.1 on the road, highlighting their reliance on home court advantage. Recent performances show they can compete with top-tier teams when playing at Monza Arena, though they've struggled against elite sides like Trentino and Perugia. Their set differential at home (-4) is manageable compared to their away struggles (-14), suggesting they're competitive in familiar surroundings.

Padova

15 of 15 in SuperLega

L
W
W
L
L
L
L
L
W
L
L
L
W
L
L

Form Rating

2.7/10

Padova Form Analysis

Analysis

Padova enters this match with improved recent form, winning 3 of their last 5 matches...

Padova enters this match with improved recent form, winning 3 of their last 5 matches including impressive comeback victories. Their 3-2 win over Grottazzolina and 3-2 victory against Cisterna demonstrate resilience in tight matches. However, their away record remains deeply concerning with just 2 wins in 9 road matches (22.2% win rate). They average only 0.78 sets per away game with a devastating -17 set differential on the road. Recent away performances include heavy defeats to Verona (0-3) and Lube Civitanova (0-3), showing they struggle significantly when traveling. While their home form is respectable (40% win rate), the stark contrast in performance levels suggests they're heavily dependent on familiar surroundings. Their ability to push matches to five sets could be crucial, but their away struggles make them vulnerable.

Season Overview

2025/2026 Season

Record
Monza6-1331.6%
Padova6-1331.6%
Sets Won
Monza1.4
Padova1.3
Sets Lost
Monza2.3
Padova2.6
info

No injury information available for volleyball

Player availability isn't provided by our data source for this sport.

More Predictions

All statistics and predictions are for informational purposes only. Please gamble responsibly.

Recent Form

Moderate

H2H Record

Favorable

Injury Impact

Low

Set Differential
Monza-0.9
Padova-1.3

Monza vs Padova - Match Analysis

Will Monza win this match?

Yes, Monza should secure victory based on their superior head-to-head record and significant home advantage. They've won both recent encounters against Padova and perform much better at Monza Arena (44.4% home win rate vs 22.2% away for Padova). Their historical dominance in this matchup, combined with Padova's poor away form (averaging just 0.78 sets per road match), strongly supports a Monza victory in this SuperLega encounter.

Should I take Monza -1.5 sets?

Monza -1.5 sets offers solid value given their historical dominance over Padova and the visitors' away struggles. Padova averages only 0.78 sets per away match with a -17 set differential on the road, while Monza has typically beaten them decisively (3-0 or 3-1 in recent meetings). The handicap reflects Monza's ability to control matches at home against teams they match up well against, making this a reasonable risk-reward proposition.

Will this match go over 3.5 sets?

This match should reach at least four sets despite Monza's expected victory. Padova has shown improved competitiveness recently, pushing matches to four or five sets even in defeats. Their recent 3-2 victories demonstrate they can win individual sets against quality opposition. While Monza should win overall, Padova's ability to compete in sets combined with the competitive nature of SuperLega suggests this match will extend beyond a straight sweep.

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