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Modena
Modena4th in SuperLega (16-6)
VS
Trentino
Trentino3rd in SuperLega (16-6)

Modena vs Trentino

Tuesday, May 5, 2026 · --:--

Modena Arena

Final
Modena
3–1
Trentino

Modena won

Our prediction was wrong
✗

Our Prediction

AI Match Analysis

Modena vs Trentino promises to be a captivating SuperLega clash at Modena Arena, featuring two playoff-bound teams separated by just one position in the standings. Both sides sit on 47 points with identical 2.14 points per game averages, making this a genuine toss-up between evenly matched opponents.

Modena enters with strong home form, having won 13 of 16 matches at Modena Arena this season. Their recent run includes impressive victories over Milano (3-1 and 3-0) and dominant sweeps against weaker opposition. However, they've struggled against top-tier teams, losing to Piacenza twice in their last five outings.

Trentino arrives after back-to-back sweeps over Monza (3-0 home and away), showcasing their ability to dominate inferior opponents. Their away record of 7 wins from 13 matches suggests resilience on the road, though recent losses to Lube Civitanova highlight vulnerabilities against elite competition.

The head-to-head record heavily favors Trentino, who have won 7 of the last 10 encounters, including a 3-1 victory at this venue in January. This psychological edge, combined with their superior recent form, gives them a slight advantage despite playing away from home.

Key Factors

Home Advantage

High

Last 10 head-to-head matchups

Modena (2)Trentino (8)
Jan 14, 26
(H)Modena3 - 1Trentino(A)
H
Dec 3, 25
(H)Trentino3 - 0Modena(A)
H
Jan 6, 25
(H)Modena1 - 3Trentino(A)
A
Oct 20, 24
(H)Trentino3 - 1Modena(A)
H
Mar 17, 24
(H)Trentino3 - 0Modena(A)
H
Mar 10, 24
(H)Modena2 - 3Trentino(A)
A
Mar 6, 24
(H)Trentino3 - 0Modena(A)
H
Feb 18, 24
(H)Trentino3 - 0Modena(A)
H
Dec 10, 23
(H)Modena3 - 1Trentino(A)
H
Mar 12, 23
(H)Trentino3 - 0Modena(A)
H

Expert H2H Analysis

AI Insight

Trentino dominates this rivalry with 7 wins from the last 10 meetings since 2023. Most significantly, they won 3-1 at...

Trentino dominates this rivalry with 7 wins from the last 10 meetings since 2023. Most significantly, they won 3-1 at Modena Arena in January 2026, demonstrating their ability to succeed on hostile territory. The pattern shows Trentino typically winning in straight sets or 3-1, while Modena's rare victories come via narrow 3-2 margins. Trentino's consistent ability to neutralize Modena's home advantage makes them favorites despite the venue.

Last 15 matches across all competitionsSuperLega matches highlighted

Modena

15 of 15 in SuperLega

W
W
W
W
L
W
L
L
W
W
W
W
W
W
L

Form Rating

7.3/10

Modena Form Analysis

Trending

Modena's 22 wins from 31 matches reflects solid consistency, with their 13-3 home record providing...

Modena's 22 wins from 31 matches reflects solid consistency, with their 13-3 home record providing genuine optimism for this fixture. Recent form shows mixed results against quality opposition - impressive 3-0 sweeps of weaker teams like Cuneo and Grottazzolina, but concerning losses to Piacenza. Their attacking efficiency remains strong, averaging 2.62 sets won per home match, though defensive lapses against top teams expose vulnerabilities. The 9-day rest period ensures peak physical condition, while their playoff position confirms sustained quality throughout the campaign.

Trentino

8 of 15 in SuperLega

W
W
L
L
L
L
L
W
L
W
L
L
W
W
L

Form Rating

4/10

Trentino Form Analysis

Analysis

Trentino's 18 wins from 27 matches demonstrates superior win percentage (66.7% vs 71.0%), though fewer...

Trentino's 18 wins from 27 matches demonstrates superior win percentage (66.7% vs 71.0%), though fewer games played. Their recent 3-0 sweeps of Monza highlight their ability to dominate when focused, while the 7-6 away record shows resilience in hostile environments. Key concern lies in their struggles against elite opposition - losses to Lube Civitanova and elimination from European competitions suggest mental fragility under pressure. However, their superior head-to-head record against Modena provides crucial psychological confidence for this away assignment.

Season Overview

2025/2026 Season

Record
Modena22-971.0%
Trentino18-966.7%
Sets Won
Modena2.5
Trentino2.3
Sets Lost
Modena1.5
Trentino1.3
info

No injury information available for volleyball

Player availability isn't provided by our data source for this sport.

More Predictions

All statistics and predictions are for informational purposes only. Please gamble responsibly.

Recent Form

Moderate

H2H Record

Favorable

Injury Impact

Low

Set Differential
Modena+0.9
Trentino+1.1

Modena vs Trentino - Match Analysis

Will Trentino win this match?

Trentino should edge this contest based on their overwhelming head-to-head dominance, winning 7 of the last 10 meetings including a 3-1 victory at Modena Arena in January. Despite identical league positions, their psychological advantage and proven ability to succeed at this venue gives them the edge over Modena's home court benefit.

Should I take Modena +1.5 sets?

Modena +1.5 sets offers decent value considering their home resilience and the competitive nature of this rivalry. Even in defeat, Modena often pushes matches to 4-5 sets at home, and their similar quality to Trentino suggests they won't be easily swept despite the unfavorable head-to-head record.

Will this match go over 3.5 sets?

Yes, over 3.5 sets looks highly likely given both teams' similar quality levels and competitive history. Their January meeting went 3-1, and most encounters in this rivalry extend beyond three sets. Both teams possess the attacking quality to win sets, making a four or five-set contest the most probable outcome.

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