AI vs Market Probabilities

• Modena
  72%
• Draw
  0%
• Milano
  28%

Analysis

The match winner prediction favors Modena based on their exceptional home form versus Milano's poor away record. Modena's 88.9% home win rate contrasts sharply with Milano's 44.4% away success rate, creating a significant statistical advantage. Set handicap analysis supports Modena -1.5 sets, given their tendency to win home matches convincingly, averaging 2.78 sets won per home fixture. Milano's recent away struggles, including straight-set defeats to top teams, suggest they may struggle to take sets off Modena at home. The home court advantage at Modena Arena becomes decisive in this mid-table encounter.

Recommendations

The primary value bet lies in Modena -1.5 sets, reflecting their dominant home performances and Milano's away struggles. Set betting markets favor Modena's ability to win convincingly at home, where they rarely drop more than one set. Milano's poor away form, averaging just 1.78 sets won per away match, suggests limited resistance. The total sets market offers value in Under 4.5 sets, as Modena's home dominance typically results in 3-1 or 3-0 victories. Milano's recent straight-set defeats away from home support this assessment, making the under an attractive proposition.

Half-Time Result Prediction

• Modena

  Likely

• Draw

  Common

• Milano

  Possible

Other Markets

• Draw No Bet
• Asian Handicap
• First Goal Time
• Corners O/U

Analysis

Consider Over 3.5 sets as an alternative, given the competitive head-to-head history where matches often extend to 4-5 sets. The exact score market presents value in Modena 3-1, reflecting their typical home winning pattern while acknowledging Milano's ability to compete for individual sets. Team A -1.5 sets offers solid value based on home/away form differentials and recent performance trends in this matchup.