AI vs Market Probabilities

• Norwid Czestochowa
  25%
• Draw
  0%
• Belchatow
  75%

Analysis

Our match winner prediction favors Belchatow based on superior form metrics and head-to-head dominance. Set handicap analysis reveals Belchatow's efficiency in closing matches, making them strong candidates to cover -1.5 sets against Norwid's vulnerable home defense. The away team's 37.5% road win rate significantly exceeds Norwid's 33% home success rate, indicating quality differential. Belchatow's recent 3-1 victory over Norwid demonstrates tactical superiority that should translate to this reverse fixture. Key factors include Belchatow's better set differential, attacking consistency, and Norwid's struggles against quality opposition at home.

Recommendations

The primary value bet centers on Belchatow -1.5 sets, given their historical dominance and Norwid's home vulnerabilities. Set betting markets favor Belchatow's ability to win 3-0 or 3-1, patterns consistent with their recent performances against similar opposition. Norwid's poor home set differential of 1.33 won versus 2.44 conceded suggests limited resistance capacity. Alternative value exists in Under 4.5 sets, as Belchatow typically closes matches efficiently without extended battles. The away team's superior squad depth and tactical discipline should prevent the competitive five-set scenarios that benefit weaker home teams. Market inefficiencies likely undervalue Belchatow's true winning probability given venue bias.

Half-Time Result Prediction

• Norwid Czestochowa

  Possible

• Draw

  Common

• Belchatow

  Likely

Other Markets

• Draw No Bet
• Asian Handicap
• First Goal Time
• Corners O/U

Analysis

Consider Over 3.5 sets if Norwid's home crowd provides unexpected momentum in early sets. Total sets betting offers value given both teams' tendency toward four-set matches in competitive scenarios. Exact score 3-1 Belchatow represents solid alternative given their recent pattern against mid-table opponents. First set winner markets may favor Norwid due to home court energy, though Belchatow's superior conditioning typically prevails in later sets.