AI vs Market Probabilities

• ChKS Chelm
  25%
• Draw
  0%
• Jastrzebski
  75%

Analysis

Our match winner prediction favors Jastrzebski based on several key factors. The quality gap between 7th-placed Jastrzebski and 11th-placed ChKS Chelm remains significant despite recent form fluctuations. Jastrzebski's comprehensive 3-1 victory in the reverse fixture demonstrates their tactical superiority and ability to handle ChKS Chelm's playing style. While ChKS Chelm has shown improved form recently, their home record remains poor with just 2 wins from 9 matches. Set handicap analysis suggests Jastrzebski should cover -1.5 sets given their superior squad depth and ChKS Chelm's tendency to lose heavily at home, averaging 2.67 sets conceded per match.

Recommendations

The primary value bet lies in Jastrzebski -1.5 sets, reflecting their superior quality and ChKS Chelm's poor home form. ChKS Chelm has lost 7 of 9 home matches, often by wide margins, making the set handicap attractive. Set betting markets favor outcomes where Jastrzebski wins 3-0 or 3-1, both realistic scenarios given their previous 3-1 victory and ChKS Chelm's defensive vulnerabilities. The away team's experience in handling pressure situations and their tactical flexibility provide additional confidence in covering the handicap. While ChKS Chelm's recent away form has improved, their home performances remain consistently poor, suggesting they struggle with expectation pressure when playing in front of their own supporters.

Half-Time Result Prediction

• ChKS Chelm

  Possible

• Draw

  Common

• Jastrzebski

  Likely

Other Markets

• Draw No Bet
• Asian Handicap
• First Goal Time
• Corners O/U

Analysis

Consider Over 3.5 sets as an alternative pick, given both teams' recent tendency toward competitive matches. ChKS Chelm's improved form suggests they won't capitulate easily, while Jastrzebski's recent inconsistency could lead to dropped sets. The exact score market offers value in 3-1 to Jastrzebski, mirroring their previous encounter and reflecting a scenario where ChKS Chelm competes but ultimately falls short. Total sets betting favors longer matches given both teams' recent patterns of extended encounters in crucial fixtures.